Hedge funds, according to COT data are very active in accumulating longing positions, and it fixed above the technical horizontal level on the daily chart.
Market makers could absorb that liquidity and unload it lower.
Moreover, the activity in Put options is stronger than in Calls and the minimum payouts level is also much lower. So I am 🐻 bearish in crude oil, if you also think so, put 👍 and have a nice Sunday!
Good evening, traders!
This week was good for trend following strategies, but bad for reversals. Trends make up 20-30% of market movements and exist only on historical charts, so it is very difficult to predict when they will occur.
Today I want to overview my unfavorable predictions and take your attention to the topic of how to avoid losses on the examples of the previous week.
Hello traders! My congratulations to you on Father's Day!
What happened in Crude Oil and natural gas that week? We will discuss in this short video.
And I want to make new forecasts in Copper (HG), Cocoa (CC), and New Zealand dollar (6N) according to new imbalances which happened that week.
Thank you very much for watching! And wish you a perfect week.
Hello traders, hope you are doing well 👍
Today I see two opportunities in Sugar (SB) and the Mexican Peso (6M). Let's start with the second one.
● The last strong involvement of sellers in this asset was on level 0,05546$. It matches with the commercial level also, where hedgers added more than 20% of short contracts in the past.
Market maker absorbed this position and apparently unloaded it along the way to break out of market highs. (Watch)
Now all the passengers are liquidated and we are ready to take bearish 🐻 movement when the ice line will be broken.
● According to Sugar (SB) vice-versa I see the buying opportunity. 🦬
After the involvement of sellers created by bid HFT volumes on the market bottom and after the divergence of Deltas. If the bearish parabola will be broken on Monday, hope to see the movement to the 26$ price zone. (Watch)
Hello dear traders!
● What will be next? now it is difficult to predict.
Nasdaq made an impudent bullish workout of the support 👏
The time has come! Sell in May and RUN away. 🏃♂️
Today I want to give you a long-term forecast.
I have a Bearish view on all American Indices S&P500 (ES), Nasdaq (NQ), and Dow Jones (YM).
● I never saw such a big amount of Bid HFTs with no one ASK, even a little!!! 😱
● The market made a breakout of the important resistance level on the daily chart and all the Bear passengers are exhausted to wait falling
Good evening, traders!
Today observed all the assets, but exceptionally don’t see potential understandable scenarios 🤷♂️ Everything went on Thursday and Friday.
🔹 British pound this week showed us how amazing involvement in buys looks like. (Watch)
How long does it take for the pattern to be created and how quickly should a decision be made on it, — only 15 minutes after the formation of HFT volumes. So fast reaction from the market makers limit orders.
Our mind is rather inert and in good situations, he especially begins to hesitate “Can we wait a little more, maybe a little more to see what will be around the corner?” As a result, the next 15-minute candle already changes the risk-reward ratio by 2 times! Not in our favor...
An excellent quote by Linda Raschke fits here: “In trading, as in fencing, there are either quick or dead.”
Markets operations are based more on psychology than on fundamentals, says El Weiss in Jack Schwager's book “The New Market Wizards”. “Markets are completely based on human psychology, and by charting markets, you are only converting human psychology into graphical form.”
Good evening, traders! 👋
Today I decided to make a video market forecast highlighting situations in British Pound (6B), Aussi (6A), Coffee (KC), Crude and Brent Oil (CL, BR).
Also measured possible continuations of scenarios that I executed in my previous Sunday forecast.
This 11-minute video is for you today
Thank you very much for watching.
Have a good week!
Good evening, TVT traders!
Today I have a few forecasts for you in Swiss Frank (6S), Dow Jones (YM), and Crude Oil (CL).
🔹 Swiss Frank (6S) has enough information to make a forecast that the price will go to test the zone 1.1150, where liquidity is concentrated. Despite we see that the price closed above commercial resistance, where hedge funds added their long position by 30% for the third week in a row. OI increased by +6,7%. Also, the trading week closed above technical resistances on the 15M charts. But no energy for further rising, and in such case downside movement is more probable. (Watch)
🔹 As for Dow Jones (YM) (Watch)
Good Sunday, traders!
Let's measure the market situation after this volatile week.
▪️ Last time we expected falling in Euro. This occurred not on Monday-Tuesday, but on Wednesday we had a downside reaction on 400 futures points. But then the market again returned to balance and returned almost all weekly losses. (Watch)
I think that it will continue falling, but of course Till FED by the 22 of March the market will be in a state of uncertainty and low liquidity.
▪️ Opinion about the grain market, particularly Corn (ZC) (Watch)