Dax

Dax June 13 continues to trade higher today, exceeding my target 8450 and now is howering at 78,6% retracement level. There is no reversal-down in sight  as I write this, and trading above 8500 would shift odds for more upside ahead. 

Dax June 13 has been expectedly trading higher trough the calm session amid closed banks in London. Price by now has retraced enough complete the whole upward correction.  But there is still  a decent probability that market could extend higher up to ~8450. Systematic signals are contradictive across the TFs.    
I think market has a significant downside potential  in days/weeks ahead.

Dax June 13 traded through a pretty choppy session today, with downward bias. Still there is a fair chance for a terminal swing higher to ~8450 in order to complete the upward correction.  Indicators on higher TFs (H1 & D1) remain firmly in the «sell» mode, though. 

Dax June 13 had a 300 points dynamic sell-off after reaching my stipulated targets above 8500. Taking into account the dynamics of the downmove, I am switching to the alternative wave count I've shown the other day — that is, the  Dax has topped on 22 May. This implies much more downside outright, with targets below 7400. Short term, a residual upswing to ~8450 is possible, but any such upside should be retraced down thereafter, immediately. Stay tuned

Market has sold-off after reaching stipulated technical targets, this could imply some downside for days to come. Yet it's too early to consider market ultimate top.
Stay tuned.





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On 8 May  I said that the probable target for the advance is about 8500. Today Dax June 13 traded at 8561 — high for the day so far. So that technical targets has been met today. Yet there is no indication for trend change, and we should assume that the trend is still up. Market could grind higher in coming weeks. I expect the rally to terminate by early June. The pending reversal should bring a tremendous downside potential. 

Американска бочка вернулась в годовой треугольничек. В апреле показывали цену около 98, ну по логике при выходе на верх выше этого уровня лонги надо грести, куда-то до 104 и далее



Американские быки жарят так, что у медведей уже дымится одно место. Хотя не удивительно, Бэн башляет, япы баляют, бриты башляют. Бабло то надо осваивать.
Три флага уже было, посмотрим будет ли ещё один или бесконечный безудержный рост так и будет продолжаться. Супер мега бычий рынок

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I think Dax June 13 is due for correction and that it's good level to take profit on longs. On larger timeframes, there likely will be at least one down-up sequence, in order to complete rally from 19th April's low. Targets for upside are around 8500. The less probable, but still possible option is for market to top out here and turn down decisively.

On April 23th I wrote: «Dax June 13 has rallied smartly, momentum has shifted decisively to the upside. Market is open for more upside in coming days/weeks, targets are above 8100» 

Today, Dax June 13 has hit the first stipulated target — 8100, a wooping 600+ points gain in just eight days. Rally doesn't look finished, but quite over-extended in the short-term, so I think it worths to take 1/2 chips out of the table.

Stay tuned.



 

As previously communicated, Eurex is in the midst of upgrading their trading architecture. Eurex is targeting Friday, May 3rd, 2013 to migrate the DAX. All DAX GTCs must be pulled prior to the close on Friday.
Eurex is targeting Wednesday, May 7th, 2013 to migrate the Euro Stoxx. All Euro Stoxx GTCs must be pulled prior to the close on Wednesday.