traders

Good evening, traders!

This week was good for trend following strategies, but bad for reversals. Trends make up 20-30% of market movements and exist only on historical charts, so it is very difficult to predict when they will occur. 

Today I want to overview my unfavorable predictions and take your attention to the topic of how to avoid losses on the examples of the previous week.

Hello dear traders! 

●  So brave Bears 🐻 started in S&P 500 and lost everything by the end of the week

●  What will be next? now it is difficult to predict.

Nasdaq made an impudent bullish workout of the support 👏 

Good evening, TVT traders! 

Today I have a few forecasts for you in Swiss Frank (6S), Dow Jones (YM), and Crude Oil (CL).

🔹 Swiss Frank (6S) has enough information to make a forecast that the price will go to test the zone 1.1150, where liquidity is concentrated. Despite we see that the price closed above commercial resistance, where hedge funds added their long position by 30% for the third week in a row. OI increased by +6,7%. Also, the trading week closed above technical resistances on the 15M charts. But no energy for further rising, and in such case downside movement is more probable. (Watch)

🔹 As for Dow Jones (YM) (Watch)

Good evening, traders!👋

Today I want to measure a Canadian Dollar (6C). 

▪️ So we see how the price came to the solid technical support on the daily chart. (watch) 

But look at significant block trades on the options market passed on strike 0,74. 

▪️ Moreover, on the 15M chart, we also came to double strong volumetric support zone. (watch) 

Good Sunday, traders!

According to the latest news from CFTC, fresh reports on a regular 3 days delay basis we will receive only after the middle of March. (( 

Until then they will recover for unreleased reports.

“Following the ION cyber-related incident, reporting firms are continuing to experience some issues submitting timely and accurate data to the CFTC. As a result, the weekly Commitments of Traders (CoT) report that normally would have been published on Friday, February 17, will be postponed.

“CFTC staff intends to resume publishing the CoT report as early as Friday, February 24, 2023. Staff will begin with the CoT report that was originally scheduled to be published on Friday, February 3, 2023. Thereafter, staff intends to sequentially issue the missed CoT reports in an expedited manner, subject to reporting firms submitting accurate and complete data.  Staff anticipates that, pending the timely, accurate and complete submission of backlogged data by reporting firms to the CFTC, these missed CoT reports will be published by mid-March.  After that, CoT report publication will resume its usual weekly schedule.”

For the next week, I don’t see some exciting pictures for today. Moreover, on Sunday we have Holyday in US and Canada.

Only Cocoa (CC) shows us interesting backgrounds for correction. (Watch) 

We need more movements to discover something interesting the next week.

Have a good Sunday!

Good afternoon, traders!

S&P 500 (ES)

The price closed below the huge Ask tick chain near 4100, not achieved to the supply zone, and made a fast pullback. I see shorting opportunity, that the price will reach the 4020 price level.

Silver (SI)

On Silver vice-versa we see a Bid tick imbalance and some accurate algorithmic purchases on Friday according to the cumulative delta quantitative (CDQ) which diverges with the volume delta (CD). The price is coiling in the long-range during last 2 months and has a high probability to move toward the upper boundary and break it.

Copper (HG)

Copper made a peculiar squeeze of buyers, created a Bid tick imbalance, and bounced back from a commercial level into the range. Hedge funds continue aggressively buying the asset, increasing their longs by 18% with the OI increase by 6%.

We see a very strong divergence between CDQ and CD, clear absorption of stoploss liquidity with algorithms.

So I am very bullish here. 

​​

​​Добрый вечер, трейдеры!  ✨

В эти выходные я возвращаюсь из Киева, где проводил вебинар для криптофонда «Ufuture» в Unit.City.  У меня нет времени делать воскресный утренний обзор, но вместо этого я хочу поделиться с вами 1-м видео из моего нового образовательного курса (англоязычного), над которым я сейчас работаю.

💻 Как я организую свое рабочее пространство 

Hallo, Traders! ☀️

This week I want to focus on Crude oil, Precious metals, also Agricultural products.

We see a significant increase in open interest, which means good opportunities for us. ☝️

Watch this 13 minutes video and be prepared 

​​Good day, traders! 👋

Is the market chaos or it is possible to predict it with pure accuracy?! 

There are a lot of discussions around this topic. And there is a very big amount of people who say that market is a casino and it is impossible to take advantage here if you are not an insider trader.

Really most of the time it is so, but the trick is that you don’t have to trade most of the time.

When you always supervise real-time data, you can objectively see and feel, when imbalance is critical and the boat is ready to reverse.

It is not some magic, happenstance, or second sight.

As an example, I wrote about the global Dollar index reversal on September 28 when the ask was 114,205 after which the price no longer reached this value. Also that day a new high of a global trend was established. 

So, I want to make a conclusion, that it is possible to predict markets. The biggest difficulty is to be patient and not to trade chaos. It sounds simple, but in practice, you need to train your psyche long enough not to do what is not necessary.