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Блог компании DayTraderClub | Америка сегодня. Занятость, безработица и деловая активность.

Первая пятница месяца данными по занятости вне сельскохозяйственного сектора традиционно создает колебания на рынке. Аналитики верили в положительное развитие, увеличение числа рабочих мест, ожидаюния были на 161 тысяче за январь 2017, на 3% больше, чем в прошлом месяце:
Америка сегодня. Занятость, безработица и деловая активность.


Уровень безработицы при этом ожидался без изменений на отметке 4.7%, так же, как и в предыдущем месяце:
Америка сегодня. Занятость, безработица и деловая активность.


Новости вышли ещё более оптимистичными, чем ожидали аналитики, произошло увеличение до 227 тыс рабочих мест, но при этом немного огорчили данные по безработице, увеличившись до 4.8%.


Вдобавок ко всему ожидается интрига  в индексе деловой активности, маленький прорыв выше уровня 57.2 перебьёт все значения 2016 года, но аналитики остаются осторожны в своих оценках и ждут небольшое снижение к отметке 56.9:
Америка сегодня. Занятость, безработица и деловая активность.


Все новости: 

Америка сегодня. Занятость, безработица и деловая активность.
Данные: DTC News, Briefing, Interactive, Economics, Public Sources
165 комментариев
  Ralph Lauren downgraded to Outperform from Buy at CLSA  (76.61)
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  QuintilesIMS downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank  (78.21)
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  Altria downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg  (71.45)
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  AmeriGas Partners downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill  (49.69)
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  AMAG Pharma downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen  (21.70)
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  USD Partners downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA/Merrill  (15.85)
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  Precision Drilling upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan  (5.60)
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 Employment Report Preview — January 2017

The employment picture is one of the most important guides for the Federal Reserve in setting its monetary policy and for the market in driving growth expectations. That's why the Employment Situation Report for January will be the market's focal point on Friday.

Why it's important?

  • The Employment Situation Report provides a comprehensive look at the state of the U.S. labor market
  • A really strong report could raise concern that the Fed is going to have to be more aggressive in tightening policy in 2017 than previously expected; conversely, a weak report will challenge some of the market's bullish assumptions about 2017 growth prospects and reinforce its prevailing view that the Fed isn't likely to raise the fed funds rate more than twice this year.
    • Note: The ADP Employment Change Report for January (+246,000) was much stronger than expected
  • The employment report helps drive economists' forecasts for GDP primarily by way of the aggregate earnings data that feeds into consumer spending expectations
  • The employment report carries a political charge as (un)employment and earnings trends help shape the policy narrative
  • The policymaking implications, and implications for U.S. economic growth, contained in this report give it market-moving cachet both here and abroad
    • The Briefing.com consensus estimate for average hourly earnings growth calls for a 0.3% increase in January That would leave average hourly earnings up 2.8% year-over-year, or slightly below the 2.9% year-over-year growth rate seen in December, which was the highest since May 2009.

What's expected by Briefing.com consensus?

  • Nonfarm payrolls: 170,000 (prior 156,000)
  • Nonfarm private payrolls: 175,000 (prior 144,000)
  • Unemployment rate: 4.7% (prior 4.7%)
  • Avg. hourly earnings: +0.3% (prior +0.4%)
  • Avg. workweek: 34.3 (prior 34.3

The report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET

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  Eaton downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan  (70.02)
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  Array Biopharma downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan  (10.87)
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  Apache downgraded to Underperform at Macquarie  (59.09)
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  Hub Group target raised to $48 at Cowen; Market Perform  (44.15)Cowen raises their HUBG tgt to $48 from $41. Solid growth from all divisions, especially brokerage helped propel Hub to a solid 4Q16 EPS beat. The logistics pipeline is coming through and should continue to do so at least in the near term. New sales strategies in brokerage and IM are proving fruitful. Covering rail cost increases in 2017 remains a big question though. Firm remains cautious on Hub and note M&A is still likely on the horizon.
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  TerraForm Global downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie  (4.50)
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  TerraForm Power downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie  (11.79)
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  Paylocity upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA/Merrill  (29.92)
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  Goldcorp downgraded to Hold at Canaccord Genuity  (16.40)
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  lululemon athletica downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts  (66.52)
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  PAREXEL downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank  (63.93)
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  PerkinElmer downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill  (53.85)
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  European Markets Update: DAX +0.3%, FTSE +0.4%, CAC +0.9%

Major European indices trade in the green with France's CAC (+0.9%) showing relative strength. A pair of European Central Bank members, Peter Praet and Benoit Coeure, spoke about monetary policy, but neither gave much thought to the recent uptick in inflation. The euro (1.0732) and the pound (1.2489) are both down about 0.3% against the dollar.

  • In economic data:
    • Eurozone December Retail Sales -0.3% month-over-month (expected 0.3%; last -0.6%); +1.1% year-over-year (consensus 1.8%; previous 2.5%). January Services PMI 53.7 (consensus 53.6; last 53.6)
    • Germany's January Services PMI 53.4 (expected 53.2; last 53.2)
    • UK's January Services PMI 54.5 (expected 55.8; previous 56.2)
    • France's January Services PMI 54.1 (consensus 53.9; last 53.9)
    • Spain's January Services PMI 54.2 (expected 54.8; previous 55.0)
    • Italy's January Services PMI 52.4 (consensus 52.5; previous 52.3). January CPI +0.2% month-over-month, as expected (last 0.4%); +0.9% year-over-year, as expected (last 0.5%)

---Equity Markets---

  • Germany's DAX is higher by 0.3%. Continental leads with a 4.0% gain while Deutsche Bank is up 1.1% after announcing plans to cut staff. Allianz and Munich Re are both up near 0.8% while Lufthansa, Daimler, and BASF lag. The three names are down between 0.4% and 0.7%.
  • UK's FTSE has climbed 0.4% amid strength in financials. Barclays, Prudential, RBS, Lloyds Banking, RSA Insurance, and Standard Life are up between 1.2% and 3.0%. Miners trade in negative territory with Glencore, Rio Tinto, Antofagasta, and BHP Billiton down between 2.9% and 3.8%.
  • France's CAC outperforms with a gain of 0.9%. Michelin has jumped 2.8% after announcing plans to raise European tire prices. Financials like AXA, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, and Societe Generale have added between 0.4% and 2.4%. ArcelorMittal lags, trading lower by 1.7%.
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  Axovant Sciences initiated with a Outperform at Cowen  (11.96)
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  Early premarket gappersGapping up: PXLW +19.4%, DATA +14.2%, IPCI +13.8%, CERU +12.8%, FTNT +11.9%, MDCO +10.5%, ESPR +10%, PCTY +8.5%, SDRL +7.7%, BPY +7.7%, PFSI +5.6%, HMC +5.1%, AVIR +5%, ESL +4.6%, IXYS +4.2%, CY +3.8%, V +3.7%, CENT +2.7%, BCS +2.2%, AMGN +2.1%, PANW +2%, LYB +1.9%, ETFC +1.8%, BAC +1.7%, AIV +1.7%, GS +1.6%, C +1.6%, ESS +1.6%, WFC +1.3%, CLX +1.3%, RIG +1.2%, XPLR +1.2%, THG +1.2%, F +1%, WETF +0.9%, MA +0.7%, CS +0.7%, ING +0.7%, AMTD +0.6%

Gapping down: DECK -22.2%, IDXG -19%, FEYE -16.7%, GIMO -16.5%, GPRO -13.2%, XGTI -12.7%, NEOS -12.1%, HBI -9.7%, ELY -8.9%, ATHN -7.6%, RUBI -6.3%, SBGL -5.5%, ACET -5.2%, AMZN -4%, MWA -3.9%, VALE -3.6%, BBL -3.4%, RIO -3.4%, BHP -2.9%, GFI -2.8%, AMBA -2.6%, PMT -2.5%, VR -1.9%, PSX -1.9%, CLF -1.8%, MT -1.7%, HIG -1.7%, RTEC -1.5%, X -1.4%, AG -1.3%, FCX -1.2%, VOD -1%, GOLD -1%, GDX -1%, SLW -0.9%, PAAS -0.9%, SLV -0.9%, BRS -0.9%, ABX -0.7%, SYMC -0.5%, CMG -0.5%
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 Overnight Treasury Summary

Treasuries Slip Ahead of Jobs Report, China Manufacturing Activity Slows

  • U.S. Treasuries are ticking lower this morning as traders gird themselves for the January jobs report. Overnight, eurozone services purchasing managers' index data showed improvement in France and Germany partially offset by slower growth in Italy and Spain. China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI fell more than expected for January but the Chinese New Year's effect on the barometer is unclear. Inflationary pressures in China are mounting, according to the details of the report. Russia's central bank kept its main policy rate at 10.00% and announced that it will spend $1.9 bln over the next month to weaken the rouble (USD/RUB: -0.19% to 59.29). In addition to the Employment Situation Report this morning, we have the 10:00 ET release of the ISM Services Index, which surveys purchasing managers in the dominant U.S. service sector. The S&P 500 is set to open up 0.09% to 2,283.1 and the U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.30% to 100.09
  • Yield Check:
    • 2-yr: unch at 1.21%
    • 5-yr: +1 bp to 1.94%
    • 10-yr: +1 bp to 2.49%
    • 30-yr: +1 bp to 3.10%
  • International News:
    • China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI fell more than expected to 51.0 for January from 51.9 for December. December's reading was a 47-month high
      • Subindices for new orders and output weakened while prices paid and selling prices hovered near five-year highs
      • Manufacturing accounts for more than 50% of output in China, so it is much more significant than manufacturing PMIs are in the U.S. and Europe
      • The Caixin survey polls fewer large, state-owned enterprises (SOEs) than the official manufacturing PMI
    • India's Nikkei Services PMI jumped to 48.7 for January from 46.8 for December. The impact of the 2016 ban on using certain denominations of currency may be receding
    • South Africa's Standard Bank PMI retreated to 51.3 for January from a two-year high of 51.6 in December
    • Russia's central bank kept its benchmark policy rate at 10.00% today, thwarting economists' expectation for a cut of 50 basis points
      • Policymakers said that inflation would hit their target of 4% by the end of this year
      • Separately, the central bank said that it would spend $1.9 bln over the next month to weaken the rouble. Economists downplayed the potential effect of these operations, saying that external factors will drive the rouble's FX rate
    • The eurozone's services PMI for January was revised up to 53.7 from the preliminary reading of 53.6. December's print was also 53.7
      • Weakness in Italy and Spain was offset by upward revisions to France and Germany's services PMIs
      • Separately, eurozone retail sales fell 0.3% m/m in December (+1.1% y/y), missing forecasts for a rebound after November's 0.6% drop
    • The U.K.'s services PMI fell more than expected to 54.5 for January from 56.2 for December
    • Brazil's IPC-Fipe Inflation Index rose by just 0.32% m/m in January, missing forecasts and slowing from December's 0.72% growth
      • Brazil's Markit Services PMI remained at 45.1 in January, missing estimates for improvement. Readings below 50 indicate contraction in the service sector
  • Data out Friday:
    • January Employment Situation Report (08:30 ET)
    • January ISM Services (10:00 ET)
    • December Factory Orders (10:00 ET)
  • Fed Speaker:
    • Chicago Fed President Evans (FOMC voter) (09:15 ET)
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 Veeco Instruments upgraded to Buy from Hold at Needham  (24.85)
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  On The Wires
  • Asterias Biotherapeutics (AST) announced the company is extending the expiration date of certain warrants. The decision to extend the warrants takes into consideration Asterias' recent announcement of positive interim efficacy results from its ongoing SCiStar Phase 1/2a clinical trial that showed additional motor function improvement at 6 months and 9 months following administration of 10 million AST-OPC1 cells in patients with complete cervical spinal cord injuries (AIS-A patients). Further data will become available in the third quarter of 2017 evaluating 12-month safety and efficacy results for this AIS-A 10 million cell cohort, as well as 6-month efficacy and safety data for the currently-enrolling AIS-A 20 million cell and AIS-B 10 million cell cohorts. In addition, Asterias announced that as of December 31, 2016, the company's cash and cash equivalents totaled $19.8 million (unaudited) and its cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale securities totaled $35.1 million (unaudited).
  • Oxford Performance Materials announced that it has closed on an additional round of strategic investment from Hexcel Corporation (HXL). In May 2016, OPM and Hexcel announced an initial strategic investment from Hexcel of $15 million. The second round of investment from Hexcel is $10 million, for a total equity investment of $25 million to date.
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  Array Biopharma target raised to $13 at Stifel — Still positive on fundamentals & longer-term optionality   (10.87)Stifel raises their ARRY tgt to $13 from $8. While acknowledging strategic speculation has buoyed ARRY shares following the 4Q16 presentation of P3 COLUMBUS data and last month's Takeda/Ariad transaction, they believe a thorough review of the assumptions driving their model validates their confidence in supporting further valuation upside from here. Lingering regulatory risk associated with a potential June 2017 FDA approval in NRAS-mutant melanoma, the ability to sufficiently differentiate as a third-to-market entrant in what is a modestly-growing U.S. BRAF-mutant melanoma market, and the ability to dial-up a P3 win in the ongoing BEACON trial (BRAF-mutant mCRC) represent, in their opinion, manageable sources of risk to their longer-term estimates. They believe the number of other opportunities currently excluded from their (and Consensus) models — including ARRY-382, ARRY-797, NF1, BRAF-mutant NSCLC, MEK+PD-1/L1 — provide sufficient optionality to justify upside beyond the $11/share fundamental valuation implied by the binimetinib/encorafenib estimates now driving their model.
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  CNX Coal Resources LP downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan  (18.40)
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  Chipotle Mexican Grill upgraded to Hold from Sell at Maxim Group  (423.30)
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  Xylem upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Boenning & Scattergood  (48.80)
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  NVIDIA initiated with a Underperform at CLSA; tgt $115  (115.39)
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  Gigamon target lowered to $38 at Needham — Sharply lower guide should set base for recovery  (32.10)Needham lowers their GIMO tgt to $38 from $48. Firm thinks the guide looks overly cautious. They encouraged mgmt to make doubly sure they wouldn't miss twice and to scrub the numbers extremely thoroughly, but firm had not expected this sharp a reduction. Given the number of sales hires over the last 6 months and the investment internationally, mgmt expects to re-establish a 20%+ growth trajectory by CY2H. They want to ensure they are low enough to be able to see improvement from here. Firm believes this market is a strong growth sector and that GIMO can regain 20%+ growth. The Street is likely to be highly skeptical till the turnaround manifests.
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  Mobile Mini target raised to $38 at Needham  (34.25)Needham raises their MINI tgt to $38 from $34 after posted a fairly strong 4Q EPS beat with revenues that weren't particularly impressive although generally met our expectations. On the positive front, firm is encouraged by increasing FCF, solid core operational progress with activations ticking up, prior salesforce issues moving to the background, a relatively healthy non-res. construction envm't, and continued value-prop validation in Retail. On the negatives (i.e., FX, expected higher bonus/options), they view most as ~temporary speed bumps ahead of what should be above-average contribution margins that flow through in '18. Consequently, they do tweak down their 2017 ests but focus on strong FCF generation and strong EBITDA growth in 2018; Buy.
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  Chipotle Mexican Grill upgrade details — to Hold at Maxim Group; tgt raised to $390  (423.30)Maxim Group upgrades CMG to Hold from Sell and raises their tgt to $390 from $280 following the release of 4Q16 (December) results. Although CMG's 4Q16 results were roughly inline with downwardly revised expectations, CMG's two-year stacked comp improved considerably in January. More importantly, firm was encouraged to see this recovery being built on non-discounted sales. Labor costs remain a concern, though they believe productivity gains to serve to mitigate these costs. They also believe «Chipotle 2.0» represents an opportunity for sales upside, though caution NT investments may be needed to support this initiative. Although firm argues risks remain to the downside, notably co's exposure to high-wage urban markets and the potential for tariffs to affect food costs, they now argue the worst may be over, and that the share should be priced inline with multiples closer to LT averages.
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  Tableau Software target raised to $30 at Maxim Group  (48.21)Maxim Group raises their DATA tgt to $30 from $24. Competitive discussion on call leaves firm believing positioning remains weak and thus maintaining Sell rating; March 7th & 8th Seattle bus tour should provide more color. Impressive 10% beat, but consensus was lowered by 10% following disappointing September quarter and DSOs rise above seasonal levels. Mar quarter guidance beats the consensus view, but still implies license revenue will decelerate further even when adjusting for increases in ratable license bookings exposure. CY17 midpoint guidance effectively maintained, FCF color should drive consensus lower, but does raise firm's FCF estimate and tgt; Sell.
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  China Lodging initiated with a Outperform at Credit Suisse; tgt $66  (55.76)
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  On The Wires
  • Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) announced it had entered into an agreement with Intuit (INTU), which allows Wells Fargo customers who use financial management tools such as QuickBooks Online, Mint, and TurboTax Online to use an innovative application-programming interface when importing their bank account information.
  • Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) and TDK Corporation announced the completion of the previously announced joint venture under the name RF360 Holdings Singapore PTE. Ltd… The joint venture will enable Qualcomm's RFFE Business Unit to deliver RF front-end (RFFE) modules and RF filters into fully integrated systems for mobile devices and fast-growing business segments, such as Internet of Things, automotive applications, connected computing, and more. The business being transferred constitutes a part of the TDK SAW Business Group activities.
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 S&P futures vs fair value: +1.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -8.60.

Equity futures are modestly higher this morning as investors eye the release of the January Employment Situation Report (Briefing.com consensus 170k), which will cross the wires at 8:30 am ET. The S&P 500 futures trade two points above fair value. 

Banks are up in pre-market trade after a Wall Street Journal report that President Trump plans to sign an executive action to scale back the Dodd-Frank Act today. The action is part of a broader plan to dismantle much of the regulatory system put in place following the financial crisis.

U.S. Treasuries are currently under modest pressure after finishing yesterday's session flat. The benchmark 10-yr yield is one basis point higher at 2.48%. 

Crude oil holds a slim gain this morning, up 0.3% at $53.68/bbl. The energy component's uptick may be attributed to, at least in part, the possibility of new sanctions on Iran after the country's latest missile test launch.

In addition to the Employment Situation Report for January, Friday's economic data will include December Factory Orders (Briefing.com consensus 1.4%) and ISM Services (Briefing.com consensus 57.0). Both reports will be released at 10:00 am ET.

In U.S. corporate news:

  • Amazon (AMZN 809.00, -30.95): -3.7% after missing revenue estimates and issuing disappointing guidance.
  • Visa (V 85.25, +2.95): +3.6% after beating top and bottom line estimates.
  • Amgen (AMGN 163.20, +3.62): +2.3% after reporting better than expected earnings and revenue.
  • Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG 424.00, +0.70): +0.2% after beating earnings estimates and reporting in-line revenues.
  • Hanesbrands (HBI 20.40, -2.31): -10.2% after missing top and bottom line estimates and issuing below-consensus guidance. 
  • GoPro (GPRO 9.54, -1.43): -13.0% after reporting worse than expected revenues and providing disappointing guidance.

Reviewing overnight developments: 

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended the week on a mixed note. Japan's Nikkei unch, Hong Kong's Hang Seng -0.2%, China's Shanghai Composite -0.6%, India's Sensex +0.1%.
    • In economic data:
      • China's January Caixin PMI 51.0 (consensus 51.8; last 51.9)
      • Hong Kong's January Manufacturing PMI 49.9 (last 50.3). December Retail Sales -2.9% year-over-year (last -5.5%)
      • South Korea's December Current Account surplus expanded to KRW8.57 billion from KRW7.05 billion
      • New Zealand's ANZ Commodity Price Index -0.1% month-over-month (last 0.7%)
      • India's Nikkei Services PMI 48.7 (last 46.8)
    • In news:
      • The yen slumped to 113.15 against the dollar after the Bank of Japan intervened in the bond market to keep the 10-yr Japanese Government Bond yield below 0.11%. This marked the first intervention since the central bank stated its desire to keep the 10-yr yield around 0.0%.
      • In China, the People's Bank of China raised short-term interest rates at the conclusion of the Chinese Lunar New Year Golden Week.
  • Major European indices trade in the green with France's CAC showing relative strength. Germany's DAX +0.3%, UK's FTSE +0.4%, France's CAC +0.9%.
    • In economic data:
      • Eurozone December Retail Sales -0.3% month-over-month (expected 0.3%; last -0.6%); +1.1% year-over-year (consensus 1.8%; previous 2.5%). January Services PMI 53.7 (consensus 53.6; last 53.6)
      • Germany's January Services PMI 53.4 (expected 53.2; last 53.2)
      • UK's January Services PMI 54.5 (expected 55.8; previous 56.2)
      • France's January Services PMI 54.1 (consensus 53.9; last 53.9)
      • Spain's January Services PMI 54.2 (expected 54.8; previous 55.0)
      • Italy's January Services PMI 52.4 (consensus 52.5; previous 52.3). January CPI +0.2% month-over-month, as expected (last 0.4%); +0.9% year-over-year, as expected (last 0.5%)
    • In news:
      • A pair of European Central Bank members, Peter Praet and Benoit Coeure, spoke about monetary policy, but neither gave much thought to the recent uptick in inflation.
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  InterActiveCorp target raised to $84 at Needham  (72.84)Needham raises their IAC tgt to $84 from $75. Firm notes IAC put together a solid quarter with rev and EBITDA upside from HomeAdvisor, and Publishing and Applications contributing incremental rev upside. While overall FY17 rev growth decelerates due to the selling of Shoebuy and Princeton Review and continuing drag from Applications and Publishing, firm expects strong +30% revenue growth from HomeAdvisor and solid 15% Dating revenue growth from the Match Group. They also expect EBITDA margin expansion from HomeAdvisor and Match Group to propel EBITDA growth 14% in FY17. Firm's SOTP analysis continues to indicate upside to IAC's current share price; Buy.
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  Paylocity target lowered to $40 at Needham — 2Q beats; ACA overhang remains but core business healthy  (29.92)Needham lowers their PCTY tgt to $40 from $58 after reporting a very good 2Q, with solid rev out-performance from recurring revs and better than expected margin leverage with its $0.08 EPS out-performance. Although the future of ACA and the revenue associated with compliance remain a near-term headwind for PCTY, a deeper dive into co's results show a strong core business ( +33% Y/Y FY17E rev growth) and a compelling valuation at 4.1x EV/FY18 total revs or 4.3x EV/FY recurring revs for a company expected have double digit EBITDA margins and high 20% rev growth in FY18. New modules continue to enhance the PCTY's product portfolio and firm expects can drive consistent ARPU growth during the next several years as highlighted by the strong initial uptake in co's new Recruiting module; Buy.
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  Pixelworks upgraded to Buy from Hold at Lake Street  (3.14)
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SPY шорт на зкрытие гепа
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 European Summary

Eurozone Service Sector Growth Revised Upward

  • European sovereign debt yields are mostly higher this morning after a relief rally on Thursday (prices move inversely to yields). The eurozone's services PMI for January was revised up a tick to 53.7, indicating solid expansion in services activity, but growth in the U.K.'s services sector slowed. That report is helping U.K. gilts to outperform eurozone bonds. Eurozone retail sales were reported to have fallen for the second straight month in December
  • European Economic Data:
    • The eurozone's services PMI for January was revised up to 53.7 from the preliminary reading of 53.6. December's print was also 53.7
      • France: January revised up to 54.1 from 53.9 (52.9 in December)
      • Germany: January revised up to 53.4 from 53.2 (54.3 in December)
      • Italy: 52.4 for January (52.3 in December)
      • Spain: 54.2 for January (55.0 in December)
    • Eurozone retail sales fell 0.3% m/m in December (+1.1% y/y), missing forecasts for a rebound after November's 0.6% drop
    • The U.K.'s services PMI fell more than expected to 54.5 for January from 56.2 for December
    • Inflation in Turkey rose to 9.2% y/y in January from 8.53% in December, well above expectations. USD/TRY is down 0.09% to 3.7348 today. The lira's sharp depreciation following last summer's political turmoil along with the central bank's accommodation has pushed inflation up to its current level from the central bank's 5% target
  • Yield Check:
    • France, 10-yr OAT: +3 bps to 1.07%
    • Germany, 10-yr bund: +1 bp to 0.44%
    • Greece, 10-yr note: -3 bps to 7.44%
    • Italy, 10-yr BTP: +4 bps to 2.27%
    • Portugal, 10-yr PGB: +7 bps to 4.16%
    • Spain, 10-yr ODE: +3 bps to 1.67%
    • U.K., 10-yr gilt: unch at 1.39%
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  The Medicines Co (MDCO), Sanofi (SNY), Amgen (AMGN) high following positive Repatha data from Amgen last night: Analyst color  (38.00)
  • Chardan notes Amgen (unrated) announced the ~27,500 patient FOURIER cardiovascular outcomes study (CVOT) testinganti-PCSK9 monoclonal antibody inhibitor, Repatha, met its primary and key secondary endpoint. Given the positive topline results and the likely permanent injunction of Neutral-rated Regeneron's (REGN, SNY) PCSK9 inhibitor, Praluent, they reiterate their long-held belief that Amgen (with marketed Repatha) and partners, the Medicines Company (MDCO, Buy) and Alnylam (ALNY, Buy) (with phase III inclisiran), are the best ways to invest in the theme of the emergence of PCSK9 inhibitors. With the news overnight they reiterate their view of MDCO as a Chardan top pick for 2017.
  • H.C. Wainwright notes MDCO spiked up at least $5.60 (14.7%) on the long-awaited release of top-line data from FOURIER, Amgen's (AMGN; not rated) large cardiovascular outcomes trial (CVOT) of its marketed PCSK9 inhibitor, Repatha (evolocumab), with clear positive read-throughs to MDCO's lead pipeline asset, inclisiran (PCSK9si), given the same mechanism of action (MOA) leads to a putative (and quite likely) class effect. Detailed results from FOURIER are under strict embargo until they are presented at the American College of Cardiology (ACC) 66th Annual Scientific Session Late-Breaking Clinical Trials session in Washington, D.C. on Friday, March 17 believe the combination of full data from ORION-1 and FOURIER represents a truly substantial catalyst event for MDCO shares, and recommend investors consider either establishing or adding to their MDCO positions ahead of the conference embargo release in March.
  • MDCO +9%, AMGN +2.6%, ALNY +0.3%… competitors REGN +1%, SNY +0.1%
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  Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:

  • PXLW +19.4%, DATA +15.1%, FTNT +13%, PCTY +8.5%, BPY +7.7%, PFSI +5.6%, AVIR +5%, ESL +4.6%, IXYS +4.2%, V +3.9%, CY +3.6%, CLX +2.9%
  • HMC +2.9%, CENT +2.7%, AMGN +2.5%, AIV +1.7%, ESS +1.6%, XPLR +1.2%, THG +1.2%

M&A news:

  • CERU +13.9% (likely on continued M&A sepculation (strategic alternatives announced Feb 1))

Select financial names showing strength amid headlines that President Trump will begin acting today on plans to reduce regulatory burdens on the financial sector, with the review review Dodd-Frank and reversal of the Fiduciary Rule:

  • BCS +2.5%, BAC +1.7%, GS +1.6%, C +1.4%, CS +0.7%, ING +0.7%

Other news:

  • MDCO +10.5% (following Amgen's Repatha update and earnings)
  • IPCI +10.4% (announces FDA acceptance for filing of NDA for Rexista (oxycodone hydrochloride extended release), an abuse deterrent opioid analgesic for the treatment of moderate to severe pain)
  • ESPR +10% (following Amgen's Repatha update and earnings)
  • SDRL +6.1% (modestly rebounding following recent weakness)
  • AMGN +2.5% (announces Repatha significantly Reduced the risk of cardiovascular events in FOURIER Outcomes Study — Landmark Repatha Cardiovascular Outcomes Study meets primary and key secondary endpoint)
  • PANW +1.7% (in sympathy with FTNT earnings
  • MA +1.3% (in sympathy with V earnings)
  • REGN +1% (following Amgen's Repatha update and earnings)

Analyst comments:

  • RIG +1.3% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse )
  • AMTD +1.3% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse)
  • F +0.9% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays )
  • FCAU +0.7% (upgraded to Equal Weight at Barclays)
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  Gigamon color on quarter — Needham & Stifel  (32.10)
  • Needham — Needham notes the co's guide looked overly cautious. Needham encouraged management to make doubly sure they wouldn't miss twice & to scrub the numbers extremely thoroughly, but they had not expected this sharp of a reduction. Given the number of sales hires over the last 6 months & the investment internationally, management expects to re-establish a 20%+ growth trajectory by CY2H. Needham stated they are sharply cutting their estimates. Needham wants to ensure they are low enough to be able to see improvement from here. Needham also stated they believe this market is a strong growth sector and that GIMO can regain 20%+ growth. Lastly, Needham concluded that The Street is likely to be highly skeptical until the turnaround manifests.
  • Stifel — Given the ongoing challenges & uncertainties around customer pushouts, Stifel stated they maintain their Hold rating. T-Mobile represented just under 10% of sales in 2016, or an estimated $29.5 mln. Their research continues to anticipate T-Mobile will represent a headwind in 2017, although Stifel notes that service provider spending could remain robust in a 100G upgrade cycle with other recent service provider wins having the potential to offset headwinds. Stifel also noted that Europe was a bright spot in the quarter, growing 43% y/y and 108% q/q, with a new VP of sales just joining the region.

— Shares of GIMO -13% pre-market.

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  FireEye: Color on Qtr  (12.97)
  • Stifel Research lowers tgt to $17 from $20. FireEye reported 4Q16 results that came in below Street expectations on both billings and revenue. While operational efficiencies and lower sales commissions helped drive a greater than $0.10 EPS beat and positive operating cash flow, a variety of factors continue to pressure the company's execution, including: 1) Ongoing transitions within the salesforce; 2) A continued push away from traditional appliance sales in favor of recurring subscriptions, which will drive continued pressure on the company's product revenue; 3) Finally, a handful of large deals slipped out of Q4, and while firm does not believe these were competitive displacements, they did serve to further pressure the billings numbers in the quarter.
  • First Analysis upgrades FEYE to equal weight from underweight. Firm believes thesis--that a buying environment favoring broader platform players combined with significant cost-cutting would make it difficult to both reaccelerate growth and reach targeted profitability--has played out following the company's disappointing Q4 revenue results and guidance. With the stock down materially and below firm's $11 price target, it feels there is upside potential and downside risks are now more balanced.

Shares of FEYE are down approx 19% in reaction to earnings.

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 On The Wires
  • Iron Compass issued a statement saying that, as a meaningful stockholder of Simpson Manufacturing (SSD), it remains highly concerned about the actions taken by the Board of Directors of the Company over the last six months and its reactive tactics in response to our efforts to improve corporate governance.
  • Inspired Entertainment (INSE) expects to begin to deploy its Virtual Sports products in Greece, following OPAP's reiteration of an agreement first announced in September 2016. Inspired will work as a technology supplier, deploying its Virtual Sports products both online and across OPAP's extensive retail network. The rollout, currently expected to commence in the 1H17, will initially focus on Virtual Football (soccer), with other sports planned to follow.
  • PriceSmart (PSMT) announced that on February 1, 2017, it acquired approximately 242,000 square feet (22,500 square meters) of land in Santa Ana, Costa Rica upon which the Company plans to construct a new warehouse club. This new warehouse club is currently planned to open in the fall of 2017.
  • Bluebird bio (BLUE) announced treatment of the first patient under the amended study protocol in HGB-206, the company's Phase 1 study of its LentiGlobin Drug Product in patients with severe sickle cell disease. This study now incorporates several changes to the study protocol with the goal of increasing production of therapeutic anti-sickling hemoglobin.
  • DigitalGlobe (DGI) announced that the WorldView-4 satellite successfully completed in-orbit testing and calibration and began serving its first direct access customer on Feb. 1. Additional direct access customers will be added to WorldView-4 service throughout 2017.
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  Pernix Therapeutics to resume trading at 08:30
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  Cypress Semi target raised to $15 from $14 at Craig Hallum; Buy  (11.85)
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 Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:

  • DECK -20.7%, FEYE -18.3%, GIMO -14.3%, GPRO -13.7%, HBI -9.7%, ELY -8.9%, ATHN -8%, ACET -5.2%, AMZN -4.3%
  • MWA -3.9%, (Increases diviend 33%, Announces up to $250 mln share repurchase (Included prior repurchase); Names J. Scott Hall CEO)
  • GFI -2.8%, PMT -2.5%, VR -1.9%, HIG -1.7%, AN -1.7%, RTEC -1.5%, WY -1.4%, BRS -0.9%, PSX -0.7%, WETF -0.5%

Select metals/mining stocks trading lower:

  • VALE -4%, RIO -3.6%, BBL -3.4%, BHP -3%, CLF -2.2%, X -1.8%, MT -1.7%, FCX -1.5%, AKS -1.5%, AG -1.4%, SLW -1.4%, GOLD -1.2%, PAAS -1%, ABX -1%

Other news:

  • IDXG -21.3% (commences common stock offering)
  • XGTI -12.7% (intends to offer for sale shares of its common stock and warrants to purchase its common stock in an underwritten public offering; size not disclosed), NEOS -10.3% (provides corporate update in conjunction with today's common stock offering; co sees Q4 revs just short of estimates; commences common stock offering; size not disclosed)
  • RUBI -6.3% (indicated lower following block trade pricing)
  • SBGL -4.2% (reports H1 gold production in-line with LY; also expressed its intention to raise a between a minimum of $750 mln and $1 bln dollars in the equity capital markets)
  • HTBX -4.1% (files prospectus supplement pursuant to which it may sell shares of its common stock having an aggregate offering price of up to $17.5 mln)
  • AMBA -2.6% (following GPRO earnings)
  • VOD -1% (continued weakness following yday's earnings)

Analyst comments:

  • CLVS -6.1% (downgraded to Sell at Chardan Capital Markets)
  • ARRY -2% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan)
  • LULU -1.5% (downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts)
  • RL -1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS)
  • PRXL -0.8% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup; downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
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 Jobs Report Beats Estimates… S&P futures vs fair value: +2.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -9.00.

The S&P 500 futures trade two points above fair value.

Just in, January nonfarm payrolls came in at 227,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 170,000. The prior month's reading was revised to 157,000 from 156,000. Nonfarm private payrolls added 237,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 175,000. The unemployment rate increased to 4.8% (Briefing.com consensus 4.7%).

Average hourly earnings increased 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus +0.3%), while the previous month's reading was revised to 0.2% (from 0.4%). The average workweek was reported at 34.4 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 34.3. The previous month's reading was revised to 34.4 (from 34.3).

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  Visa: Color on Quarter  (82.30)
  • Stifel raises their V tgt to $105 from $93. They view Visa's fiscal 1Q results quite positively as our optimistic views on reaccelerating top-line growth played out even better than expected. Although this was partially due to timing, Visa also offset a stiffer FX headwind and saw improving underlying growth. With additional upside from strong trends F2Q-to-date and cash repatriation (mgmt delayed $2B debt issuance), they continue to favor V over MA and reiterate their Top Pick. However, after results from both cos this week, the valuation gap has largely closed so their preference for Visa over MA has narrowed but they still favor Visa on upside in Europe.
  • RBC notes Visa reported FQ1/17 results that were above expectations (especially for EPS) and reiterated guidance despite greater FX headwinds as volume and cross-border trends appear to be accelerating.
  • V +4% at new all time high premarket; MA +0.6% premarket.
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 Gapping up/down: DATA +15%, FTNT +13%, V +4%, CLX +3% and HMC +3% after earnings, banking stocks trading higher after reports of Dodd-Frank review; DECK -21%, FEYE -18%, GPRO -14% after eanings

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:

  • PXLW +19.4%, DATA +15.1%, FTNT +13%, PCTY +8.5%, BPY +7.7%, PFSI +5.6%, AVIR +5%, ESL +4.6%, IXYS +4.2%, V +3.9%, CY +3.6%, CLX +2.9%
  • HMC +2.9%, CENT +2.7%, AMGN +2.5%, AIV +1.7%, ESS +1.6%, XPLR +1.2%, THG +1.2%

M&A news:

  • CERU +13.9% (likely on continued M&A sepculation (strategic alternatives announced Feb 1))

Select financial names showing strength amid headlines that President Trump will begin acting today on plans to reduce regulatory burdens on the financial sector, with the review Dodd-Frank and reversal of the Fiduciary Rule:

  • BCS +2.5%, BAC +1.7%, GS +1.6%, C +1.4%, CS +0.7%, ING +0.7%

Other news:

  • MDCO +10.5% (following Amgen's Repatha update and earnings)
  • IPCI +10.4% (announces FDA acceptance for filing of NDA for Rexista (oxycodone hydrochloride extended release), an abuse deterrent opioid analgesic for the treatment of moderate to severe pain)
  • ESPR +10% (following Amgen's Repatha update and earnings)
  • SDRL +6.1% (modestly rebounding following recent weakness)
  • AMGN +2.5% (announces Repatha significantly Reduced the risk of cardiovascular events in FOURIER Outcomes Study — Landmark Repatha Cardiovascular Outcomes Study meets primary and key secondary endpoint)
  • PANW +1.7% (in sympathy with FTNT earnings
  • MA +1.3% (in sympathy with V earnings)
  • REGN +1% (following Amgen's Repatha update and earnings)

Analyst comments:

  • RIG +1.3% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse )
  • AMTD +1.3% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse)
  • F +0.9% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays )
  • FCAU +0.7% (upgraded to Equal Weight at Barclays)

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:

  • DECK -20.7%, FEYE -18.3%, GIMO -14.3%, GPRO -13.7%, HBI -9.7%, ELY -8.9%, ATHN -8%, ACET -5.2%, AMZN -4.3%
  • MWA -3.9%, (Increases diviend 33%, Announces up to $250 mln share repurchase (Included prior repurchase); Names J. Scott Hall CEO)
  • GFI -2.8%, PMT -2.5%, VR -1.9%, HIG -1.7%, AN -1.7%, RTEC -1.5%, WY -1.4%, BRS -0.9%, PSX -0.7%, WETF -0.5%

Select metals/mining stocks trading lower:

  • VALE -4%, RIO -3.6%, BBL -3.4%, BHP -3%, CLF -2.2%, X -1.8%, MT -1.7%, FCX -1.5%, AKS -1.5%, AG -1.4%, SLW -1.4%, GOLD -1.2%, PAAS -1%, ABX -1%

Other news:

  • IDXG -21.3% (commences common stock offering)
  • XGTI -12.7% (intends to offer for sale shares of its common stock and warrants to purchase its common stock in an underwritten public offering; size not disclosed), NEOS -10.3% (provides corporate update in conjunction with today's common stock offering; co sees Q4 revs just short of estimates; commences common stock offering; size not disclosed)
  • RUBI -6.3% (indicated lower following block trade pricing)
  • SBGL -4.2% (reports H1 gold production in-line with LY; also expressed its intention to raise a between a minimum of $750 mln and $1 bln dollars in the equity capital markets)
  • HTBX -4.1% (files prospectus supplement pursuant to which it may sell shares of its common stock having an aggregate offering price of up to $17.5 mln)
  • AMBA -2.6% (following GPRO earnings)
  • VOD -1% (continued weakness following yday's earnings)

Analyst comments:

  • CLVS -6.1% (downgraded to Sell at Chardan Capital Markets)
  • ARRY -2% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan)
  • LULU -1.5% (downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts)
  • RL -1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS)
  • PRXL -0.8% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup; downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
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  Pixelworks upgrade details — to Buy at Lake Street; tgt raised to $4  (3.14)Lake Street upgrades PXLW to Buy from Hold and raises their tgt to $4 from $3 as Pixelworks posted another solid print and achieved GAAP profitability. Firm thinks co has illustrated the model is now right-sized and believe the stock can work higher from here as investor focus shifts from the balance sheet to the improving fundamentals. PXLW had already positively pre-announced so the focus was on guidance, which came in well above expectations. Further, mgmt is targeting for y/y rev growth (ex EOL rev ) and for profitability throughout the year. Although mobile rev remains small (2% of rev) and is unlikely to be a significant contributor this year, firm thinks growth in the projector business and EOL rev can provide the bridge until a potentially larger contribution in 2018. They also think this should be enough to satisfy investors in the NT and allow the stock to work higher.
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  Filings, Offerings and Pricings

Filings:

  • DuPont (DD) files for debt securities and common stock shelf offering

Offerings:

  • Heat Biologics (HTBX) files prospectus supplement pursuant to which it may sell shares of its common stock having an aggregate offering price of up to $17.5 mln through FBR Capital Markets & Co
  • Interpace Diagnostics (IDXG) commences common stock offering; size not disclosed
  • Pacific Biosciences (PACB) announces intention to offer and sell up to an aggregate offering price of $60 mln of shares of its common stock from time to time, through an 'at the market offering'
  • Top Ships (TOPS) enters into Common Stock Purchase Agreement with Kalani Investments, pursuant to which the Company may sell up to $3,099,367 mln of shares of its common stock to Kalani over a period of 24 months
  • xG Technology (XGTI) announces that it intends to offer for sale shares of its common stock and warrants to purchase its common stock in an underwritten public offering; size not disclosed

Pricings:

  • Axovant Sciences (AXON 11.96) enters into a $55.0 million debt financing agreement; in connection, the co issued Hercules Capital (HTGC) a warrant to purchase up to 274,086 of its common shares at an exercise price of $12.04/share
  • Neos Therapeutics (NEOS 5.80) prices 5 mln share offering at $5.00/share
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  Fortinet: Color on Quarter  (33.18)
  • RBC Capital Mkts raises their FTNT tgt to $35 from $30 Results were ahead on license outperformance that flowed through to the bottom line. Following the Q2/16 preannouncement and continued uncertainty in Q3/16, results and a firming outlook into FY/17 are likely to be better received by investors; Sector Perform rating.
  • Stifel raises tgt to $36 from $30 after Fortinet announced 4Q16 results that came in ahead of consensus estimates across all major financial metrics. During the period, Fortinet saw billings growth re-accelerate from the 16.0% y/y clip recorded in Q3 to 21.6% y/y, and while they acknowledge the fact that this outperformance was driven at least in part by growing demand for the co's enterprise bundles, they believe this sequential re-acceleration in growth to be more a function of the record 39 deals >$1mn closed in Q4. However, they do not consider the potential for incremental sales cycle extensions to be strictly macro-driven, as they believe that there remains significant potential for Fortinet's ramping salesforce to experience growing pains similar to those that hampered the company's Q3 performance as they continue to mature. That being said, they were pleased with the co's Q4 performance that more closely aligned with the strength noted within their Q4 VAR Survey.
  • FTNT +13% testing 2016 highs near 37 premarket.
    • HACK peers: PANW +1.7%, IMPV 0.5%, FEYE -20%.
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  Cimarex target raised to $170 from $155 at Stifel on Delaware Basin data  (132.62)
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  Colfax target raised to $45 from $42 at Stifel — Orders solidify, margins move up, markets improve modestly  (40.53)
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  S&P futures vs fair value: +8.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.60.

The S&P 500 futures trade eight points above fair value.

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended the week on a mixed note. The overnight session was fairly quiet, but the yen slumped to 113.15 against the dollar after the Bank of Japan intervened in the bond market to keep the 10-yr Japanese Government Bond yield below 0.11%. This marked the first intervention since the central bank stated its desire to keep the 10-yr yield around 0.0%. In China, the People's Bank of China raised short-term interest rates at the conclusion of the Chinese Lunar New Year Golden Week.

  • In economic data:
    • China's January Caixin PMI 51.0 (consensus 51.8; last 51.9)
    • Hong Kong's January Manufacturing PMI 49.9 (last 50.3). December Retail Sales -2.9% year-over-year (last -5.5%)
    • South Korea's December Current Account surplus expanded to KRW8.57 billion from KRW7.05 billion
    • New Zealand's ANZ Commodity Price Index -0.1% month-over-month (last 0.7%)
    • India's Nikkei Services PMI 48.7 (last 46.8)

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei settled just above its flat line, ending the week lower by 2.8%. Apple supplier Fujikura surged 12.4% while Sony, Furukawa, Chiba Bank, Shinsei Bank, Suzuki Motor, and Komatsu climbed between 1.3% and 5.0%.
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng shed 0.2%, extending this week's decline to 1.0%. Want Want China was the weakest performer, falling 1.7%. Financials were among the laggards with Bank of East Asia, BoC Hong Kong, HSBC, ICBC, and Ping An Insurance posting losses between 0.4% and 1.1%. China Life Insurance bucked the trend, climbing 1.7%.
  • China's Shanghai Composite reopened after a week-long closure, surrendering 0.6%. Sinomach Automobile, Shanghai Material Trading, Jiangxi Copper, and Giti Tire lost between 2.9% and 3.9%.
  • India's Sensex added 0.1%, extending its weekly gain to 4.5%. Most financials displayed strength with SBI, AXIS Bank, and HDFC Bank rising between 0.6% and 1.7% while ICICI Bank fell 1.5%.

Major European indices trade in the green with France's CAC (+1.0%) showing relative strength. A pair of European Central Bank members, Peter Praet and Benoit Coeure, spoke about monetary policy, but neither gave much thought to the recent uptick in inflation. The euro (1.0742) and the pound (1.2490) are down 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, against the dollar.

  • In economic data:
    • Eurozone December Retail Sales -0.3% month-over-month (expected 0.3%; last -0.6%); +1.1% year-over-year (consensus 1.8%; previous 2.5%). January Services PMI 53.7 (consensus 53.6; last 53.6)
    • Germany's January Services PMI 53.4 (expected 53.2; last 53.2)
    • UK's January Services PMI 54.5 (expected 55.8; previous 56.2)
    • France's January Services PMI 54.1 (consensus 53.9; last 53.9)
    • Spain's January Services PMI 54.2 (expected 54.8; previous 55.0)
    • Italy's January Services PMI 52.4 (consensus 52.5; previous 52.3). January CPI +0.2% month-over-month, as expected (last 0.4%); +0.9% year-over-year, as expected (last 0.5%)

---Equity Markets---

  • Germany's DAX is higher by 0.5%. Continental leads with a 4.2% gain while Deutsche Bank is up 1.8% after announcing plans to cut staff. Allianz and Munich Re are both up near 1.0% while Lufthansa, Daimler, and BASF lag. The three names are down between 0.1% and 0.3%.
  • UK's FTSE has climbed 0.6% amid strength in financials. Barclays, Prudential, RBS, Lloyds Banking, RSA Insurance, and Standard Life are up between 1.2% and 3.1%. Miners trade in negative territory with Glencore, Rio Tinto, Antofagasta, and BHP Billiton down between 2.1% and 3.4%.
  • France's CAC outperforms with a gain of 1.0%. Michelin has jumped 3.0% after announcing plans to raise European tire prices. Financials like AXA, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, and Societe Generale have added between 0.4% and 2.2%. ArcelorMittal lags, trading lower by 1.2%.
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  Weatherford upgraded to Buy from Hold at Loop Capital  (5.77)
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  AGNC investment target lowered to $20 at Maxim Group — Comprehensive loss drives tangible book value down  (18.83)Maxim Group lowers their AGNC tgt to $20 from $21.50 due to lower tangible book value. They believe mortgage REIT (mREIT) valuations are too low (about 0.9x book value). In their view, Agency mREIT stocks should trade at least at 1.0x book value in this environment.
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  Amazon target lowered to $900 from $950 at Morgan Stanley  (839.95)
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  Motorola Solutions target raised to $94 from $89 at Goldman  (81.00)
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  FirstCash target lowered to $52 from $57 at JMP Securities  (43.15)
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  Wynn Resorts target raised to $110 from $98 at Goldman  (97.38)
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  IPO Radar: Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) & Ramaco Resources (METC) Price IPOs; IC Power (ICP) WithdrawsIPOs Opening Today:
  • Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP): The limited partnership formed to own & acquire mineral royalty interests in oil & natural gas properties in US priced its 5.0 million unit IPO at $18, below the $19-$21 expected range.
  • Ramaco Resources (METC): The miner of metallurgical coal in West Virginia, Virginia, and southwestern Pennsylvania priced its 6.0 million share IPO at $13.30, the mid-point of the $12-$15 expected price range.


Withdrawn IPOs:

  • IC Power (ICP): The owner, developer and operator of power facilities located in key power generation markets in Latin America, the Caribbean and Israel withdrew its 25.9 million share IPO, citing «market conditions.»


Postponed IPOs: 

  • Braeburn Pharmaceuticals (BBRX): The commercial stage pharmaceutical company developing long-acting medications for disorders of central nervous system has postponed its 7.7 million share IPO. It was expected to price within a range of $18-$21 and open for trading this morning.
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  Snap-On target raised to $205 from $190 at Wunderlich  (166.98)
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  Wolverine downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts  (23.03)
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 On The Wires
  • Amyris (AMRS) provides an update on certain aspects of its business and financial results for 2016. «We are pleased to have achieved a record year of revenue growth, and of having completed all of the 2016 strategic milestones we set out to, and we continue to make good progress on our debt structure by having resolved our near-term debt maturity issues in pushing out approximately $44 million in debt as announced just before year end,» said John Melo, Amyris President & CEO. «Also, we are meeting our expectations in securing collaborations that will result in future product sales and this is accelerating our growth rate.»
  • The Carlyle Group (CG) has acquired a minority interest in FS, a provider of value-added services, mobile applications and content in Brazil and Latin America. The funds for the investment came from the Carlyle South America Buyout Fund and the Carlyle Peru Fund. Terms of the transaction, which was completed on December 29, 2016, were not disclosed.
  • Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) hereby reports that representatives of the minority shareholders with the largest holdings of the Company's shares have submitted a «Shareholders' Agreement», subscribed by five pension and retirement funds, in which such minority shareholders have nominated Mr. CARLOS GUSTAVO CANO SANZ as an independent member of the Board of Directors of the Company. Pursuant to the Majority Shareholder's Declaration, the nomination of Mr. CANO as an independent member of the Board of Directors and selected by the minority shareholders is to be included as the ninth item in the program that will be submitted for consideration at the Extraordinary Shareholders' Meeting. 
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  Ingredion downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at a boutique firm  (115.81)
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  Ultratech downgraded to Hold at The Benchmark Company on the Veeco (VECO) takeout; tgt $28.64  (28.20)
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 S&P futures vs fair value: +7.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +1.10.

The stock market is poised for a higher open as the S&P 500 futures trade eight points (0.4%) above fair value.

The Employment Situation Report for January was released this morning and it was mixed as nonfarm payrolls beat consensus estimates, but average hourly earnings fell short of expectations.

Nonfarm payrolls came in at 227,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 170,000. The prior month's reading was revised to 157,000 from 156,000. Nonfarm private payrolls added 237,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 175,000. The unemployment rate increased to 4.8% (Briefing.com consensus 4.7%).

Additionally, average hourly earnings increased 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus +0.3%), while the previous month's reading was revised to 0.2% (from 0.4%). The average workweek was reported at 34.4 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 34.3. The previous month's reading was revised to 34.4 (from 34.3).

U.S. Treasuries have ticked up following the jobs report, while the U.S. Dollar Index (99.71, -0.12) has slipped 0.1%. The benchmark 10-yr yield is down four basis points at 2.43%.

On the earnings front, Amazon (AMZN 806.20, -33.75) has headlined this morning's earnings activity after the company reported worse than expected earnings per share results and issued disappointing guidance after yesterday's close. Shares of AMZN have retreated 3.8% in pre-market trade.

Conversely, banks are ticking up this morning after The Wall Street Journal reported that President Trump plans to sign an executive order to scale back the Dodd-Frank Act today. The action is part of a broader plan to reduce some of the regulations put in place following the financial crisis. JPMorgan Chase (JPM 86.23, +1.64), Wells Fargo (WFC 56.75, +1.00), and Bank of America (BAC 23.18, +0.46) are all up between 1.8% and 2.0%.

Friday's economic data will also include December Factory Orders (Briefing.com consensus 1.4%) and ISM Services (Briefing.com consensus 57.0). Both reports will be released at 10:00 am ET.

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  Activision Blizzard target raised to $53.90 from $50.87 at The Benchmark Company ahead of Q4 earnings  (40.47)
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  Magellan Midstream downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts  (80.02)
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  On The Wires
  • Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) that its subsidiary, PT Freeport Indonesia (PT-FI), continues to seek approval from Indonesian authorities for the export of its copper concentrates, consistent with its rights under its Contract of Work (COW). To date, this approval has not been granted.  Richard C. Adkerson, FCX President and Chief Executive Officer, and Chappy Hakim, PT-FI President Director, said: «We have been actively engaged with Indonesian governmental authorities to enable full operations at PT-FI to continue without disruption. This would be in the best interests of all stakeholders, including the Government of Indonesia, our large work force, the local community, local suppliers and Freeport's shareholders. We are disappointed that this matter remains unresolved and are concerned about the negative impacts for all stakeholders, especially for our workforce and the local economy. We encourage the Government to enable our full operations to continue without disruption and to provide the required assurances to support our long-term investment programs so these negative impacts can be avoided.»
  • The Board of Directors of Intesa Sanpaolo (ISNPY) passed a resolution authorising the sale of a stake representing a total of around 4.88% of the Bank of Italy's share capital. The stake will be sold at its nominal value, which is equal to its carrying value, for an amount of around €366 million.
  • Energy XXI Gulf Coast (EGXG) announced that Michael S. Reddin has been appointed interim Chief Executive Officer and President, effective immediately. This follows the decision by John D. Schiller to depart from his roles as Director, CEO and President of EGC. Mr. Schiller has agreed to serve as an advisor to the Board during the transition. Further, EGC's Chief Financial Officer Bruce Busmire will be departing to pursue other interests. Chief Accounting Officer Hugh Menown will become the interim CFO.
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  MasTec opens higher by 10% — strength attributed to positive comments form sell side shop regarding approval of Rover Pipeline  (39.45 3.71)
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  Hearing Bloomin' Brands was downgraded to Negative from Mixed at OTR Global  (16.97 -0.08)
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  Hearing Aceto was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Craig Hallum  (16.88 -1.99)
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  Hearing Macy's was downgraded to Negative from Mixed at OTR Global  (30.68 -0.04)
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  Kennametal upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Global Securities; tgt raised to $50 from $28  (37.39 +0.68)
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  Hearing IDEXX Labs was downgraded to Sell from Hold at Feltl & Co.  (139.98 +0.91)
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  Hearing BCE Inc was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord Genuity  (44.12 -0.03)
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 Opening Market Summary: Averages Open Friday Higher

The stock market opened Friday's session higher with all three major averages posting gains. The S&P 500 is up 0.5%.

Financials (+1.3%) are the early leader, by a sizable margin, following reports that President Trump will be issuing an executive action to scale back the Dodd-Frank Act today. The move is expected to increase the earnings prospects for companies in the financial space.

Conversely, the consumer discretionary sector is at the bottom of the leaderboard after a negative reaction to Amazon's (AMZN 812.99, -26.85) quarterly earnings report. The company, which is the sector's largest component by weight, is down 3.2% in early action.

U.S. Treasuries are higher this morning following the release of the Employment Situation Report for January. The benchmark 10-yr yield is down three basis points at 2.45%.

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  Financial related names seeing strength ahead of expected executive order by President Trump to roll back Dodd-Frank/fiduciary ruleStocks showing strength: GS +2.7%, MS +2.3%, DB +1.8%, JPM +1.6%, WDC +1.3%, BAC +1.2%, C +1.3%, WFC +1.3%, SCHW +1.3%, TROW +1.2%, TCS +1.0%, BEN +0.7%, LM +0.3%
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 Economic Summary: Nonfarm Payrolls above expectations as Unemployment rate ticks up to 4.8%

Economic Data Summary:

  • January Nonfarm Payrolls 227K vs Briefing.com consensus of 170K; December was revised to 157K from 156K
  • January Nonfarm Private Payrolls 237K vs Briefing.com consensus of 175K; December was revised to 165K from 144K
  • January Unemployment Rate 4.8% vs Briefing.com consensus of 4.7%; December was 4.7%
  • January Average Hourly Earnings 0.1% vs Briefing.com consensus of 0.3%; December was revised to 0.2% from 0.4%
  • January Average Hourly WorkWeek 34.4 vs Briefing.com consensus of 34.3; December was revised to 34.4% from 34.3
    • The key takeaway is that this is one of those so-called «Goldilocks» reports since it is strong enough to keep participants thinking good things about the economy, but not strong enough to convince the market to think it means the Fed is now going to be in a hurry to raise the fed funds rate.
  • December Factory Orders vs Briefing.com consensus of 1.4%; November was -2.4%
  • January ISM Services vs Briefing.com consensus of 57.0; December was 57.2%

Upcoming Economic Data:

  • December Trade Balance due out Monday at 8:30 (Briefing.com consensus of; November was -$45.2 bln)
  • December JOLTS — Jobs Openings due out Monday at 10:00 (Briefing.com consensus of; November was 5.5522 M )
  • December Consumer Credit due out Monday at 15:00 (Briefing.com consensus of; November was $24.5 bln)

Other International Events of Interest

  • Eurozone December Retail Sales -0.3% month-over-month (expected 0.3%; last -0.6%); +1.1% year-over-year (consensus 1.8%; previous 2.5%). January Services PMI 53.7 (consensus 53.6; last 53.6)
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  Fortinet (FTNT +14%) leading security stocks higher (HACK +0.6%) after strong report/guidance   (37.73 +4.55)
  • FTNT +13.77% PANW +2.75% PFPT +2.65% ZIXI +1.69% QLYS +1.38% RPD +1.14% CUDA +1.12% SYMC +1.10% SCWX +1.04% MIME +0.75% HACK +0.56% CHKP +0.28% QQQ +0.14% IMPV -0.47% VRNS -0.34%
  • FEYE -16.62% hit an all time low after another disappointing quarter.
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FCX
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 SINA
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 EA
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 EDU
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 через минут 5-8 будем готовится на селик
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акции не растущие есть?
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 NKE
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 ATI
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 RIO
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 VFC
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 АТИ от вивапчика смотрим как она там себя вести будет 
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 ALXN
AOS
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 MO
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 TECK
 GRMN
 WMT 66,5 уровень
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EXC слабый
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ED
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 IP
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 ABT
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 x
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 NVDA
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 MS
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 AET
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 MCK
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ADSK
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 MRK
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 ETRM
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 PM посильнее рынка выглядит
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  насдак может утянуть нас вниз
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 FB
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 NFLX шорт от ,20
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  Magellan Midstream downgrade details — to Neutral at UBS; tgt $81  (78.94 -1.08)UBS downgrades MMP to Neutral from Buy and sets target price at $81. Firm feels MMP remains in an enviable position as being well contracted, lower than peer average leverage, and above peer average coverage ratio growing ~8% during the next two years. That said, MMP currently trades at 18.2x P/LP DCF a ~59% premium to its peers and at current levels they believe much of the potential is priced in.
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  Ralph Lauren downgrade details — to Neutral at UBS; tgt lowered to $76  (77.44 +0.83)UBS downgrades RL to Neutral from Buy and lowers their tgt to $76 from $107. Firm notes the abrupt departure of CEO Stefan Larsson —significantly reduces their conviction in their FY18-FY20 forecasts. RL's June '16 analyst day turnaround plan was encouraging to firm largely due to an experienced turnaround CEO with a plan to renovate RL's antiquated supply chain & reverse years of visibly elevated SG&A spend—which they viewed as a strong EPS upside story despite lack of clear direction on revs. The incremental rev obscurity from deterioration in US end markets recently + the sudden CEO departure significantly increases the risk to our top line forecasts, and offsets much of EPS opportunity from improving margins that were underpinnings of firm's Buy rating.
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 Int'l Consolidated Airlines reports group traffic in January increased by 4.4% YoY; Group capacity measured in Available Seat Kilometres rose by 5.1%  (12.11 -0.02)
  • Group premium traffic for the month of January increased by 6.9 per cent compared to the previous year.
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  Follow Up: Treasury issues release regarding new Iran sanctions  (11.56 +0.01)
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  Early Options Activity

Taking an early look at the options market, we found the following names that may be worth watching throughout the day for further indication of investor expectations given their options volume and implied volatility movement.

Stocks seeing volatility buying (bullish call buying/bearish put buying):

Calls:

  • AZN Sep 30 calls are seeing interest with 2420 contracts trading vs. open int of 33.2K, pushing implied vol up around 2 points to ~32% — we noted activity in the Sep 30 calls last month (see 1/31 13:33 OPTNX). Co is presenting numerous times over the next two months.  Co reported earnings earlier this week and is expected to report its next quarterly earnings report early May.

Puts:

  • KORS Feb 40 puts are seeing interest ahead of earnings next week, February 7 before the open with 1040 contracts trading vs. open int of 1440, pushing implied vol up around 6 points to ~64% -- Last month, Bloomberg reported that Coach and Michael Kors might make a bid for Kate Spade. Also last month, renewed KORS M&A speculation circulated.

Stocks seeing volatility selling:

  • ADNT, TUES, WY implied vol is lower following earnings/guidance

Sentiment: The CBOE Put/Call ratio is currently: 1.06… VIX: (11.16, -0.77, -6.4%).
February 17 is options expiration — the last day to trade February equity options.
*Please use the Talk to Us link at the top of the page to provide feedback on this comment as well as the OPTNX comments.

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  Sector Summary: Technology (XLK +0.60%) trading higher today, modestly ahead of the broader market

The tech sector — XLK — trades modestly ahead of the broader market. Semiconductors, meanwhile, display relative strength as the SOX index trades +0.35%. Within the SOX index, MSCC (+1.57%) outperforms, while NVDA (-0.43%) lags. Among other major indices, the SPY is trading 0.58% higher, while the QQQ +0.22% and the NASDAQ -0.33% trade opposite on the session. Among tech bellwethers, HPE (+3.53%) is showing relative strength, while AMX (-1.01%) lags.

Notable gainers following earnings:

  • CSC (+10.0%) reported better than expected Q3 EPS and revs, MTD (+5.6%), V (+4.6%) reported better than expected Q1 EPS and revs, MSI (+1.4%)

Notable laggards following earnings:

  • FEYE (-14.9%) reported mixed Q4 results; guided Q1 EPS and revs below market expectations, GPRO (-12.3%) reported better than expected Q4 EPS but worse than expected revs; guided Q1 revs below market expectations, GIMO (-6.8%), AMZN (-3.3%)

Gainers on news:

  • CALL (+5.4%) co announced it reached an agreement with David Kanen and Kanen Wealth Management LLC in connection with the Company's 2016 Annual Meeting of Shareholders; pursuant to the agreement, Kanen has withdrawn its proposed slate of director nominees for election.
  • RSYS (+0.5%): Nierenberg Investment Management lowered its active stake to 6.9% following the recent sale of approximately 471k shares.
  • VIAV (+0.1%) co was awarded approx $26.4 mln Defense Logistics Agency contracts.

Laggards on news:

  • XGTI (-8.3%) co announced that it intends to offer for sale shares of its common stock and warrants to purchase its common stock in an underwritten public offering; size not disclosed.
  • SPRT (-1.3%) co CFO & COO Roop Lakkaraju announced resignation to pursue another opportunity.
  • INSG (-0.9%) co announced that in connection w/ its proposed sale of Novatel Wireless, the parties have voluntarily withdrawn and re-filed the Joint Voluntary Notice; co still expects the closing of the Sale to occur in 1Q17.
  • LQDT (-0.8%) co decided to exit its TruckCenter land based, live auction and retail business in order to focus its time and resources on its online marketplace strategy.

Among notable analyst upgrades:

  • FTNT (+12.1%) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray
  • AMTD (+1.0%) to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse
  • PXLW (+10.2%) to Buy from Hold at Lake Street
  • FEYE (-14.9%) to Equal Weight from Underweight at First Analysis Sec
  • CDK (+1.2%) to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley
  • PCTY (+15.0%) to Buy from Underperform at BofA/Merrill
  • VECO (+5.0%) to Buy from Hold at Needham

Among notable analyst downgrades:

  • GPRO (-12.3%) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird
  • FEYE (-14.9%) to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray
  • GPRO (-12.3%) to Underperform from Mkt Perform at Raymond James
  • TERP (-0.1%) to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie
  • UTEK (+0.9%) to Hold from Buy at The Benchmark Company
  • BCE (-0.2%) to Hold from Buy at Canaccord Genuity

Scheduled to report earnings Monday morning:

  • WEX
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  Stericycle shares dropping in recent trade — lower by -3.3%  (7414 -2.70)
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  Lazard target raised to $48 at UBS — Positive outlook is consistent with other boutiques; potential catalysts remain  (43.54 +0.40)UBS raises their LAZ tgt to $48 from $44. LAZ remains optimistic on the M&A market despite uncertainty around the new admin's policy plans, the impact of Brexit, and other macro issues that could slow announcements as client dialogue remains robust and CEOs are more confident. As a result, firm is revising their advisory rev growth outlook higher, although that elevated uncertainty around US policy changes could result in limited growth until they become clearer (they assume 2H17). Notably, restructuring activity seems unlikely to pick up in the near term but it is firm's sense that policy changes related to border-tax adjustments or interest deductibility could be a catalyst for that business over time; Buy.
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  National Beverage shares higher in recent trade amid positive newsletter mention  (52.88 +1.41)
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  ACADIA Pharmaceuticals — volume alert  (37.18 +1.95)
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  ACADIA Pharmaceuticals spike attributed to vague speculation of interest from AstraZeneca (AZN)  (37.47 +2.24)
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  Notable movers of interest: DATA +16.6% on Q4 EPS and revenue beats, guidance

The following are some of today's most notable movers of interest, categorized by market capitalization (large cap over $10 billion and mid cap between $2-10 billion) and ranked by % change (all stocks over 100K average daily volume).

Large Cap Gainers

  • V (86.75 +5.41%): Reports Q1 earnings and revenues beat; reaffirms outlook while increasing FX headwind.
  • CLX (125.66 +4.51%): Shares rise on Q2 EPS beat.
  • AMGN (166.61 +4.41%): Reports Q4 EPS and revenue beats; reports positive Repatha data.

Large Cap Losers

  • CMG (410.59 -3%): Shares drop despite Q4 EPS beat; reaffirms outlook.
  • MMP (78.8 -1.52%): Shares fall despite Q4 EPS and revenue beats; co guides FY17 EPS below consensus.
  • TWTR (17.62 -0.9%): Shares drop after rising yesterday on report form Fox's Gasparino that his banking sources think Twitter will be sold this year, but at a lower level.

Mid Cap Gainers

  • DATA (56.23 +16.64%): Beats on Q4 EPS and revenue; guides Q1 and FY17 revenues above consensus. 
  • MDCO (44.31 +16.61%): Trades higher following Amgen (AMGN) positive Repatha data from last night.
  • FTNT (37.57 +13.23%): Shares rise on Q4 EPS and revenue beats; guides FY17 EPS above consensus.

Mid Cap Losers

  • FEYE (10.88 -16.11%): Reports Q4 revenue miss; guides Q1 EPS and revs below consensus; CFO resigns.
  • HBI (19.41 -14.53%): Shares fall on Q4 EPS and revenue misses; guides Q1 EPS and revenue below consensus.
  • ATHN (113.42 -10.44%): Reports Q4 revenue miss.
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  Stocks/ETFs that traded to new 52 week highs/lows this session — New highs (211) outpacing new lows (41)Stocks that traded to 52 week highs: AC, ACLS, ACV, ADBE, ADES, ADSK, AFAM, AFG, AGC, AGD, ALLY, AMAT, ANTM, APO, ARW, ASGN, AVK, AXP, BDJ, BGX, BHBK, BIF, BNS, BOX, BSBR, BST, BSX, CALA, CARB, CBA, CBM, CC, CDK, CDNS, CEN, CENT, CENTA, CFX, CGNX, CHI, CIBR, CLCD, CM, CNK, CNP, COMM, CRESY, CSC, CTR, CVGI, CY, DCP, DEX, DPZ, DSCI, DSL, DSU, ECOL, ECPG, EFR, EFT, ENBL, ENIA, ENR, ENVA, EQM, ESL, ETV, EXEL, FBNC, FEM, FEP, FIG, FLL, FMO, FORM, FOX, FRA, FRME, FTAI, FTNT, GBNK, GCAP, GER, GKOS, GMZ, GSBD, HCI, HII, HIX, HSKA, HTHT, HUBG, HYH, IAC, IDXX, IFV, ING, INSM, INXN, IRS, ITI, ITUB, IXYS, JFR, JGH, JRO, KB, KEM, KKR, KLAC, KLIC, KYN, LUK, MAN, MASI, MCHP, MCY, MDCO, MERC, MIE, MIXT, MKSI, MMC, MSCI, MTD, MTDR, MTG, MTN, MTU, NAKD, NCZ, NEOT, NOA, NTG, NVEE, NYT, OLN, OOMA, ORI, PAH, PAM, PBT, PFBC, PFN, PIM, PPR, PRI, PXLW, PZE, QQEW, QQQX, QTEC, RACE, RAI, RDN, RDVY, RE, RESI, ROBO, RP, RVT, RY, RYN, SAN, SASR, SCM, SF, SGM, SGMS, SHLO, SIGI, SJT, SMM, SMTC, SNPS, SODA, SOXX, SSP, STAY, STM, SWX, SWZ, SYMC, TDY, TEGP, TEI, TEO, TEP, TER, TGS, TSEM, TSU, TTWO, TYG, UBNT, UNM, USA, USB, UTEK, UTHR, V, VIDI, VNTV, VVC, VXUS, WCG, WNC, WRB, YUM, ZTS

Stocks that traded to 52 week lows: ACUR, BPTH, BSTG, CBIO, CORI, COSIQ, CRI, DCTH, DRNA, DRWI, DXLG, FCEL, FEYE, FRO, GBSN, GEC, GIII, HBI, ICLD, KIM, KIRK, NAO, NEOS, OHRP, OXM, RL, RRTS, RT, SMRT, SOL, SPWH, TUES, TVIX, UAA, VFC, VMEMQ, VNR, VRA, VSTO, WKHS, XNET

Thinly-Traded Stocks (ADV below 45k) that traded to 52 week highs on High Volume: AIQ, ASRV, BANX, BBGI, BYBK, CEE, CIVB, CLBH, CLCT, CVV, CWBC, CZFC, DAIO, DNBF, ENFC, ESXB, EWZS, FBZ, FEMS, FSZ, FUND, HBK, IROQ, JMP, KMDA, LAND, LGI, MBCN, MMAC, MNDO, MSON, MTLS, NWFL, OCIP, PBNC, PLSE, PLUS, SBBX, SBCP, SBFG, SEV, SGF, SHI, SRV, SYNL, TRCB, TSBK, UBFO                                                                                                                                                                    

Thinly-Traded Stocks (ADV below 45k) that traded to 52 week lows on High Volume: AXSM, JMU, LUB, SRSC, VTGN

ETFs that traded to 52 week highs: AMJ, EPP, EWA, EWO, IGV, KIE, OEF, REMX, SOXX

ETFs that traded to 52 week lows: NIB, VXX
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 Today's biggest % gainers/losersThe following are today's top 20 percentage gainers and top 20 percentage losers, categorized by sectors (over $300 mln market cap and 100K average daily volume).

Today's top 20 % gainers
  • Healthcare: MDCO (44.57 +17.29%), CBM (59.35 +16.37%), AXON (13.04 +9.03%), MTD (466.34 +7.54%), ACAD (37.69 +6.98%)
  • Industrials: MTZ (38.9 +9.58%), HUBG (47.98 +8.66%)
  • Consumer Discretionary: M (33.31 +8.43%)
  • Information Technology: PCTY (35.27 +17.88%), DATA (56.4 +17%), FTNT (37.5 +13.02%), CSC (68.89 +9.44%), CY (12.83 +8.27%)
  • Financials: PFSI (19 +11.76%), ENVA (15.35 +10.04%), MTU (6.96 +7.41%)
  • Energy: BRS (20.36 +19.34%), WFT (6.2 +7.45%), SDLP (4.47 +7.16%), PES (6.38 +7.14%)
Today's top 20 % losers
  • Healthcare: ATHN (113.76 -10.17%), ACET (17.17 -9.01%), LCI (19.9 -8.32%)
  • Materials: CLF (8.61 -6.47%), VALE (9.87 -5.28%)
  • Industrials: SKYW (33.8 -8.15%), RRTS (6.98 -5.16%), AVH (7.22 -5%)
  • Consumer Discretionary: DECK (46.09 -17.01%), HBI (19.33 -14.91%), GPRO (9.6 -12.53%), RGS (12.2 -10.1%), ELY (9.97 -9.28%), GIL (24.09 -5.16%), BOOT (11.37 -4.85%), WWW (21.93 -4.78%)
  • Information Technology: FEYE (10.84 -16.42%), RUBI (7.8 -8.02%), GIMO (30.58 -4.75%)
  • Financials: WETF (9.43 -7.64%)
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  Today's most active stocksThe following are today's most active stocks ranked by volume and relative volume, categorized by sectors (over $300 mln market cap and 100K average daily volume).

Today's top 20 volume
  • Healthcare: PFE (11.62 mln +0.72%)
  • Materials: FCX (21.97 mln -3.78%), VALE (14.54 mln -5.28%), CLF (12.53 mln -6.47%), AKS (10.76 mln +2.15%)
  • Industrials: GE (10.95 mln -0.29%)
  • Consumer Discretionary: M (23.53 mln +8.43%), HBI (19.95 mln -14.91%), F (18.82 mln +2.28%), JCP (10.63 mln +1.71%)
  • Information Technology: AMD (26.63 mln -1.18%), V (16.23 mln +5.15%), FEYE (14.35 mln -16.42%), FB (12.61 mln +0.67%), CY (11.21 mln +8.27%), MSFT (9.88 mln +0.2%)
  • Financials: BAC (59.88 mln +2.29%)
  • Energy: WFT (22.58 mln +7.45%), CHK (12.45 mln +1.4%)
  • Consumer Staples: RAD (9.94 mln +2%)
Today's top relative volume (current volume to 1-month average daily volume)
  • Healthcare: MDCO (4.77x +17.29%), CBM (2.97x +16.37%), ACET (2.82x -9.01%)
  • Industrials: SKYW (3.62x -8.15%)
  • Consumer Discretionary: DECK (6.24x -17.01%), HBI (3.82x -14.91%), ISLE (3.54x +0.88%), M (2.95x +8.43%), ELY (2.57x -9.28%), CMG (2.43x -2.93%)
  • Information Technology: DATA (4.44x +17%), FEYE (3.23x -16.42%), CHUBK (2.58x -1.19%), UTEK (2.56x +0.89%), PCTY (2.5x +17.88%), CSC (2.41x +9.44%)
  • Financials: PDP (5.6x +0.98%), MTU (4.31x +7.41%)
  • Consumer Staples: CENT (3.13x -0.52%)
  • Telecommunication Services: WIN (2.73x +0.52%)
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  European Markets Closing PricesEuropean markets are now closed; stock markets across Europe performed as follows:
  • UK's FTSE: + 0.7%
  • Germany's DAX: + 0.2%
  • France's CAC: + 0.7%
  • Spain's IBEX: + 0.7%
  • Portugal's PSI: + 2.8%
  • Italy's MIB Index: + 1.2%
  • Irish Ovrl Index: + 0.6%
  • Greece ASE General Index: + 0.9%
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  Fiat Chrysler upgrade details — to Equal Weight at Barclays  (11.02 +0.12)Barclays upgrades FCAU to Equal Weight from Underweight. Although valuation seems almost full, there is too much support to remain UW: 1) FCA has leading NA exposure and will benefit from positive mix shift to SUVs/trucks; 2) Lack of tech might not weigh as much as previously expected as FCA will team up with other co's. 3) Potential disposals should also work as a support to ease balance sheet concerns.
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 Sector Summary: The Healthcare sector (+0.18%) is trading higher today, lagging the S&P 500 (+0.64%)Gainers on news:
  • The Medicines Co (MDCO +18.29%) positive Repatha data from Amgen last night
  • Axovant Sciences (AXON +8.7%) enters into a $55.0 million debt financing agreement; in connection, the co issued Hercules Capital (HTGC) a warrant to purchase up to 274,086 of its common shares at an exercise price of $12.04/share
  • ACADIA Pharma (ACAD +3.16%) vague speculation of interest from AstraZeneca (AZN)
Decliners on news:
  • Neos Therapeutics (NEOS -13.79%) provides corporate update in conjunction with today's common stock offering; co sees Q4 revs just short of estimates
  • Pernix Therapeutics (PTX -17.11%) provides an update on the Company's arbitration with GlaxoSmithKline (GSK); the arbitration tribunal issued opinions in favor of GSK, awarding it damages and fees in the amount of approximately $35 million
Gainers on earnings:
  • Cambrex (CBM +17.94%) beats by $0.19, beats on revs; issues 2017 guidance
  • Amgen (AMGN +3.65%) beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides FY17 EPS in-line, revs below consensus
Decliners on earnings:
  • athenaHealth (ATHN -10.6%) beats by $0.11, misses on revs; guides FY17 revs in-line
  • PerkinElmer (PKI -3.83%) reports Q4 (Dec) results, guides FY17 excluding the Medical Imaging business being divested
  • Pacific Biosciences (PACB -3.49%) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; announces intention to offer and sell up to an aggregate offering price of $60 mln of shares of its common stock from time to time, through an 'at the market offering'
Upgrades/Downgrades:
  • Array Biopharma (ARRY -3.76%) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan
  • Clovis Oncology (CLVS -4.01%) downgraded to Sell at Chardan Capital Markets; tgt $36
  • PARAXEL (PRXL -2.89%) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank
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  Ford Motor upgrade details — to Overweight at Barclays; tgt raised to $15  (12.55 +0.27)Barclays upgrades F to Overweight from Equal Weight and raises their tgt to $15 from $13. Firm's move to upgrade Ford is predicated on the idea that the stock will re-rate higher as investors better appreciate its relative advantages over peers in a border adjustment scenario. Moreover, Ford could also benefit on potential upside to its '17 guidance.
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 Today's biggest point gainers/losersBiggest point gainers: GS 240.19(9.78), CBM 60.2(9.2), DATA 56.23(8.02), MDCO 44.1(6.1), CSC 68.83(5.88), AMGN 165.26(5.68), PCTY 35.27(5.35), CLX 125.3(5.06), BLK 376.69(5.05), SIVB 175.26(4.33), V 86.54(4.24), FTNT 37.21(4.03), MSCI 92.8(3.89), PANW 149.43(3.86), HUBG 48(3.85), TDG 225.45(3.68), FDX 188.26(3.65), KEX 68.25(3.6), AMP 121.3(3.4), SNA 170.38(3.4), MTZ 38.8(3.3), BRS 20.3(3.24), ORLY 259.77(3.08), ANTM 160.41(2.75), FLT 150.74(2.69)

Biggest point losers: ATHN 112.81(-13.83), CMG 409.92(-13.38), DECK 46.14(-9.41), ESS 222.93(-3.41), HBI 19.31(-3.4), SRCL 73.77(-3.03), ADNT 62.12(-2.99), CRI 79.61(-2.84), REGN 357.84(-2.72), SAFM 92.02(-2.51), CLVS 62.96(-2.4), ALV 104.48(-2.32), ACET 16.65(-2.22), PKI 51.65(-2.2), FEYE 10.79(-2.18), SKYW 34.8(-2), KIRK 11.6(-2), LCI 19.83(-1.88), PRXL 62.07(-1.86), RIO 42.75(-1.86), VREX 28.54(-1.71), GIMO 30.43(-1.68), BHP 39.38(-1.56), ILMN 161.38(-1.51), ACIA 55.84(-1.5)
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 Charles Schwab target lowered to $44 at UBS — SCHW's pricing moves weigh on discount broker group  (40.41 +1.24)UBS lowers their SCHW tgt to $44 from $45. The highlight of SCHW's Winter Business Update today was clearly the company's announced pricing move in both trading commissions and index mutual funds. While SCHW's actions should not come as a total surprise as management has for years suggested that higher interest rates and profitability should lead to more competition, they expect uncertainty about further competitive moves to continue to weigh on valuations for the group. They prefer SCHW, which is least exposed to trading fees and positioned to benefit from potential client growth on the back of price actions.

ETFC, AMTD
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  GoPro target lowered to $5 at Dougherty & Company — Sell-through woes hit Q117 guide, lowering ests  (9.78 -1.19)Dougherty & Company lowers their GPRO tgt to $5 from $6. As firm expected, GoPro performed just fine in Q416 thanks to a global sell-in blitz. However, rev guidance for Q117 came in below expectations due to sell-through coming up short in Q416 and leaving excess inventory in the channel. As a result, GoPro is cutting cost again. Firm feels GoPro needs to shed much more cost than it is willing to admit. They believe the proper course of action here is a business designed around a 10% operating profit on annual camera sales of 3MM-4MM units; not barely making a profit on a hoped-for 5MM-6MM units. Valuation continues to look elevated considering shares have traded as low as 0.5 EV/S vs. the 1.3x it is currently trading at on firm's new FY17 reve est of $1.0B; Sell.
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  Entegris target raised to $23 from $20 at Dougherty & Company on another beat and raise qtr  (20.02 +0.57)
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  The Trade Desk: Abdiel Qualified Master Fund discloses a 6.2% passive stake  (28.81 -0.21) 
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  Rumor Round Up

Rumor Activity was active to close out the week.

  • Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF 8.63 -0.58) M&A chatter circulated.
  • There was speculation that NRG Energy (NRG 17.29 +0.58) has hired bankers to explore strategic alternatives.
  • WSJ reported that Hudson Bay (HBAYF 8.02 +0.28) is in M&A discussions with Macy's (M 32.76 +2.08).
  • Mylan (MYL 39.04 +0.04) vague M&A speculation circulated.
  • AstraZeneca (AZN 27.74 +0.18) for Acadia Pharm (ACAD 35.70 +0.47) M&A speculation made the rounds.

While many rumors circulate during the day, and the validity of the source of these rumors can be questionable, the speculation may increase volatility in the near term.

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  Areva SA approve terms of capital increases of AREVA SA and NewCo  (5.00 +0.23)
  • The capital increase of 3 billion euros of NewCo has been authorized by the General Meeting of NewCo, also held today.
  • The State will subscribe to the reserved capital increases of AREVA SA and of NewCo in the amounts of 2 billion euros and of a maximum of 2.5 billion euros respectively, once the two preconditions laid down in the European Commission's decision have been fulfilled.
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 Market Internals

The broader market is trading toward ending the week on a positive note, led higher today by the Dow Jones Industrial Average which is up 171 points (+0.86%) to 20055, the S&P 500 gains 15 (+0.68%) to 2296, and the Nasdaq Composite adds about 21 (+0.37%) to 5656. Action has come on higher than average volume (NYSE 330 vs. avg. of 323; NASDAQ 777 mln vs. avg. of 770), with advancers outpacing decliners (NYSE 2445/537, NASDAQ 2005/733) and new highs outpacing new lows (NYSE 147/15, NASDAQ 133/22).

Relative Strength:

Sugar-SGG +2.6%, US Fincl. Svcs.-IYG +2.5%, Banking-KBE +2.4%, Reg. Banking-KRE +2.4%, US Broker/Dealers-IAI +2.3%, Turkey-TUR +2.2%, Greece-GREK +1.8%, Financials-XLF +1.8%, New Zealand-ENZL +1.5%, Colombia-GXG +1.5%, Oil Svcs.-OIH +1.5%, Italy-EWI +1.4%, Thailand-THD +1.3%, S. Africa-EZA +1.3%.

Relative Weakness:

US Nat Gas-UNG -3.9%, Copper-JJC -2.9%, Steel-SLX -2.2%, Short-Term Futures-VXX -2.0%, Copper Miners-COPX -1.9%, Base Metals-DBB -1.6%, Cocoa-NIB -0.6%, British Pound-FXB -0.2%, Emrg. Mkts. M. East&Africa-GAF -0.2%, Peru-EPU -0.1%.

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  China Distance Education: YM Investment discloses a 17.27% active stake  (10.25 -0.06)
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 Sector Summary: Industrials trade slightly lower than the broader market

The Industrials sector (XLI) is trading +0.6% today, higher than the broader market (SPY +0.7%). In the Industrial Sector, Int'l Consolidated Airlines (ICAGY -0.2%) and Ryanair Hldgs (RYAAY +0.8%) report January traffic.

Earnings/Guidance

  • Esterline Techs (ESL +11.3%) reports Q1 earnings of $0.82 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.36 better than the  consensus of $0.46; revenues rose 3.7% year/year to $457.73 mln vs the $446.83 mln consensus.
    • Reaffirms guidance for FY17, sees EPS of $4.50-4.90, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $4.75 consensus; sees FY17 revs of $2.0-2.05 bln vs. $2.02 bln consensus.
  • Beacon Roofing Supply (BECN +3.7%) reports Q1 earnings of $0.44 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.01 better than the consensus of $0.43; revenues rose 2.6% year/year to $1 bln vs the $1 bln consensus.
    • Reaffirms FY17 revenue growth of 3-7% and is «comfortable with analysts FY17 EPS estimate of $2.33.
  • Mueller Water (MWA +2.1%) reports Q1 earnings of $0.04 per share, $0.02 worse than the consensus of $0.06; revenues rose 2.5% year/year to $167.2 mln vs the $200.37 mln consensus.
    • Subsequent to the quarter end, the Company's Board of Directors increased the quarterly dividend by 33 percent to $0.04 per share and authorized total share repurchases of up to $250 million, which includes a prior authorization.
  • Simpson Manufacturing (SSD -1.3%) reports Q4 earnings of $0.37 per share, in-line with the consensus of $0.37; revenues rose 8.4% year/year to $200.19 mln vs the $196.83 mln consensus.
    • Co estimates 2017 gross profit margin will be between approx 46.5% and 47.5%.

Additional Industrials reporting earnings/guidance: SKYW -4.8% HUBG +9.2% SAIA +0.5% SXI +0.7% RAVN +1.2% GRC +2.9% ACET -14.8% GENC +3.0%

News

  • Int'l Consolidated Airlines (ICAGY -0.2%) reports group traffic in January increased by 4.4% YoY; Group capacity measured in Available Seat Kilometres rose by 5.1%
    • Group premium traffic for the month of January increased by 6.9 per cent compared to the previous year.
  • Ryanair Hldgs (RYAAY +0.8%) reports January traffic increased 17% YoY
    • Load factor rose 2% points to 90%
    • Rolling annual traffic to Jan grew 15% to 118.3 mln customers

Broker Research

Upgrades

  • Kennametal (KMT +1.9%) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan.
  • Kirby (KEX +5.7%) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Wells Fargo.
  • Xylem (XYL +1%) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Boenning & Scattergood. 

Downgrades

  • Eaton (ETN +0.4%) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.

Other

  • JELD-WEN (JELD +2.9%) initiated with a Outperform at Wedbush.
  • RBC Capital Mkts raises their Xylem (XYL +1%) tgt to $56 from $55.
  • Cowen raises their Hub Group (HUBG +9.3%) tgt to $48 from $41.
  • Needham raises their Mobile Mini (MINI +0.8%) tgt to $38 from $34.
  • Colfax (CFX +2.7%) target raised to $45 from $42 at Stifel.
  • Kennametal (KMT +2%) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Global Securities; tgt raised to $50 from $28.
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 Deckers Outdoor target lowered to $60 at Canaccord Genuity following Q3 miss  (46.24 -9.30)Canaccord Genuity lowers their DECK tgt to $60 from $70 noting, «While we are disappointed by the reduced EPS guidance,we believe management is taking the right steps for the brand (despite the near-term pain) by closing under-performing stores, optimizing distribution, and expanding into new channels. As such, we believe the ~25% after market sell-off is overdone.»
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 Sector Summary: Energy leads the broader market higher, crude rallies ahead of today's rig count, & natural gas snaps its 3-session streak

The Energy Sector (XLE, +0.9%) outpaces the broader market (SPY, +0.7%) in afternoon trading. Crude oil (USO, +0.1%) futures reverse their initial morning losses & are trading higher ahead of rig count data scheduled to be released in about 11 minutes. Lastly, natural gas (UNG, -3.5%) futures snapped their 3-session streak, on track to end pit trading at a fresh multi-month low.

Baker Hughes (BHI, -1.5%) rig count data will be released today at 1 pm ET.

  • Last week, data showed that the number of active oil rigs increased for the second consecutive week, resuming a multi-month climb to highs not seen since Nov 2015.
  • 15 oil rigs were added last week, bringing the total to 566 US oil rigs. The number of gas rigs increased by 3 to 145 rigs.
  • This brings the total number of active oil and gas rigs to 712, an increase of 18. The total count is now higher by 93 rigs, compared to the same period last year.

Color on this week's price action in crude:

Crude futures reversed initial morning losses and are trading near session highs ahead of today's rig count data. This latest move can be attributed to the US announcing sanctions related to Iran's missile test two days ago, adding geopolitical support to oil prices.

  • Crude is also garnering support from statements this morning from Russian Energy Minister Novak, discussing that about 1.4 mln barrels per day of oil output has already being cut as part of the OPEC/non-OPEC deal announced last year.
  • Yesterday morning, Russian energy minister Novak stated Russian companies may cut oil output quicker than previously thought, adding that Russia is fully committed to the global agreement.
    • These latest upbeat comments from Russia came on the heels of Energy Ministry data on Feb 1, which showed that Russian oil output has declined by 100k barrels/day in Jan.
  • Earlier in the week on Tuesday, oil prices were initially supported by data that showed OPEC oil producers are sticking to the agreed-upon output cuts, with OPEC compliance above 80% so far. OPEC has reduced collective output by over 1 mln barrels/day out of their expected portion of the collective output cut of 1.2 mln barrels/day.
  • It is also worth noting that on Feb 1 crude oil rallied strong into the close of pit trading, ending at its highest level of the session. The move was attributed to comments out of Washington from the National Security Advisor regarding tensions between the US & Tehran increasing after Iran tested a missile, raising the possibility of future sanctions that could potentially curb Iranian oil supply.

Notable Gainers:

  • Oil & Gas Drilling & Exploration: Pioneer Energy Services (PES, +8%)
  • Equipment and services: Hornbeck Offshore Services (HOS, +7%)
  • Independent oil & gas: Matador Resources (MTDR, +7%)
  • Major-integrated: Eni (E, +3%)
  • Refining & Marketing: Renewable Energy Group (REGI, +3%)
  • Pipelines: Energy Transfer Equity (ETE, +5%)

Notable Laggards:

  • Oil & Gas Drilling & Exploration: Vanguard Natural Resources (VNR, -24%)
  • Equipment and services: Ion Geophysical (IO, -2%)
  • Independent oil & gas: Fieldpoint Petroleum (FPP, -8%)
  • Major-integrated: Petrobras Argentina (PZE, -5%)
  • Pipelines: Magellan Midstream Partners (MMP, -2%)

In Current Trade:

  • Mar WTI crude oil futures: up about $0.24 around the $53.80/barrel level (+0.5%)
  • Mar natural gas futures: down about $0.12 around the $3.07/MMBtu level (-3.8%)
  • Mar RBOB gasoline futures: up about $0.02 around $1.55/gallon (+1.2%)
  • Mar heating oil futures: up about $0.01 around $1.69/gallon (+0.6%)

Earnings/News

  • Phillips 66 (PSX, -1%) missed by $0.30
    • Reported Q4 adj earnings of $0.16 per share, $0.30 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.46.
    • «We expect to generate additional free cash flow and create shareholder value as we complete major growth projects in 2017. Our portfolio of refining, midstream, chemicals and marketing assets positions us to capture opportunities across the value chain.»
    • Phillips 66 continues to execute its plan to grow higher-valued businesses, while remaining committed to disciplined capital allocation. Capital spending for 2016 was $2.8 bln, including $461 mln at PSXP. This funded sustaining capital, acquisitions, growth projects in Midstream, and return-enhancing investments in Refining.
  • Transglobe Energy (TGA, +1%) announced a 2017 capital budget of $56.4 mln and production +30-55% to 15.5 to 18.5 MBoepd
    • The 2017 capital program of $56.4 mln (before capitalized G&A) includes $40.2 mln for Egypt and $16.8 mln (C$22.4 mln) for Canada.
  • Bellatrix Exploration (BXE, -0.2%) announced an extension of the continued listing and trading of its common shares on the NYSE until its annual meeting currently planned for May 17, 2017.

Broker Calls

  • Weatherford (WFT, +7%) upgraded to Buy at Loop Capital
  • Transocean (RIG, +3%) upgraded to Outperform at Credit Suisse
  • CNX Coal Resources (CNXC, -0.2%) downgraded to Neutral at JP Morgan
  • Magellan Midstream (MMP, -2%) downgraded to Neutral at UBS
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  Earnings Calendar for the week of February 6
  • Friday (February 3)
    • After-Hours: ATW       
  • Monday (February 6)
    • Pre-Market: SYY, TSN, NWL, CNA, HAS, MCY, DO, BWP, FGL, HAE, AINV, NAT, SALT, AMSC, IRMD, L
    • After-Hours: FOXA, TSO, JLL, NOV, RE, YRCW, FMC, RBC, CTLT, ALSN, PINC, MOD, FN, TLLP, HMN, MAC, KN, PAHC, OTTR, etc...
  • Tuesday (February 7)
    • Pre-Market: BP, GM, CAH, ADM, CNC, ARW, PAG, OMC, ACM, ARMK, WCG, CDW, EMR, FIS, TEN, AGCO, MOS, ABG, KORS, SPGI, ICE, GPK, AME, VMC, etc...
    • After-Hours: DIS, GILD, MDLZ, GNW, ORLY, AIZ, FTV, CSRA, PXD, CNO, SCSC, MCHP, ATO, PNRA, TTWO, AKAM, BWLD, EEFT, NUAN, HCSG, WAIR, NTGR, JKHY, KFRC, COHR, LITE, etc...
  • Wednesday (February 8)
    • Pre-Market: HUM, SNY, ABB, EXC, TWX, PFGC, AGN, CTSH, JEC, VOYA, ALK, OC, AXTA, BR, BCO, ARCB, CG, LPX, FLOW, GWR, etc...
    • After-Hours: PRU, SU, WFM, CTL, YUM, PPC, NSIT, FISV, CINF, CAA, GPRE, LGF.A, BGC, EFX, KS, UHAL, AHL, TBI, WGL, TTMI, BHE, ENS, HNI, TRMB, AEL, DNB, FLT, etc... 
  • Thursday (February 9)
    • Pre-Market: CVS, MFC, KO, BAM, CMI, TU, VIAB, TRI, OXY, DTE, COTY, BWA, WLTW, SEE, MAS, THS, NLSN, FAF, DAN, UFS, SON, ROP, GCI, TWTR, VSTO, CLF, BGCP, WOOF, TKR, TDC, etc...
    • After-Hours: ATVI, AGU, MHK, NWSA, NVDA, EXPE, NCR, WU, CERN, LPLA, CCJ, RGC, COLM, KMPR, ATR, ZAYO, BFAM, NE, P, CATM, VRSN, NUVA, VVI, JCOM, UBNT, YELP, ZNGA, etc...
  • Friday (February 10)
    • Pre-Market: CBG, AON, IPG, CPN, AXL, VTR, BPL, G, FSV, ESNT
    • After-Hours: KNL
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  Midday Market Summary: Averages Hold Early Gains at Midday

The market has forged solid gains in the first half of Friday's session on the foundation of appeasing economic data and strong sector leadership. The S&P 500 holds a 0.7% gain at midday.

The Employment Situation Report, which was released at 8:30 am ET this morning, came in just right; strong enough to keep participants thinking good things about the economy, but not strong enough to convince the market that the Fed is now going to be in a hurry to raise the fed funds rate. The 227,000 additions to nonfarm paryrolls (Briefing.com consensus 170,000) and the slight 0.1% uptick in average hourly earnings (Briefing.com consensus +0.3%) were the two main metrics driving the optimistic sentiment.

U.S. Treasuries ticked up immediately following report's release and still hold those gains this afternoon. The benchmark 10-yr yield is three basis points lower at 2.45%.

The financial sector (+1.9%) continues to provide solid sector leadership. The space's advance has stemmed from reports suggesting that President Trump will be acting on plans to reduce regulatory burdens on the financial sector today. Specifically, the movement will be aimed at scaling back the Dodd-Frank Act and reversing the Fiduciary Rule. This combination should improve the earnings prospects of the influential sector.

Conversely, the consumer discretionary sector sits at the bottom of today's leaderboard in the wake of a tough stretch of reports. The first blow came yesterday evening after Amazon (AMZN 814.46, -25.56), the sector's biggest component by market cap, reported worse than expected revenues and issued downbeat guidance. Elsewhere in the sector, Hanesbrands (HBI 19.30, -3.41), Chipotle (CMG 406.28, -17.01), and AutoNation (AN 50.77, -0.99) have also seen negative reactions to their latest earnings reports, while Macy's (M 32.50, +1.81) has spiked 5.9% on reports that Canada's Hudson's Bay has approached the company about a possible takeover.

The top-weighted technology sector has performed in line with the broader market thus far. Visa (V 86.34, +4.07) represented the sector on the earnings front last night, beating on the top and bottom lines. The company's shares have added 4.9% on the above-consensus results. The tech sector is fighting to end the week above its flat line, as the space currently holds a 0.1% week-to-date loss.

Today's economic data included January Employment Situation Report, January ISM Services, and December Factory Orders:

  • January Employment Situation Report
    • January nonfarm payrolls came in at 227,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 170,000. The prior month's reading was revised to 157,000 from 156,000. Nonfarm private payrolls added 237,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 175,000. The unemployment rate increased to 4.8% (Briefing.com consensus 4.7%).
    • Average hourly earnings increased 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus +0.3%), while the previous month's reading was revised to 0.2% (from 0.4%). The average workweek was reported at 34.4 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 34.3. The previous month's reading was revised to 34.4 (from 34.3).
    • The key takeaway is that this is one of those so-called «Goldilocks» reports since it is strong enough to keep participants thinking good things about the economy, but not strong enough to convince the market to think it means the Fed is now going to be in a hurry to raise the fed funds rate. The tempered growth in average hourly earnings, which dialed back year-over-year growth to 2.5% from 2.8% in December, is the focal point as it relates to the market's perspective on the Fed.
  • The ISM Services Index for January decreased to 56.5 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a downtick to 57.0. The prior month's reading was revised down to 56.6 from 57.2.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that growth in the services sector, which accounts for a much bigger slice of economic activity than the manufacturing sector does, persisted for the 85th straight month.
  • The Factory Orders Report for December showed an increase of 1.3% while the Briefing.com consensus expected a increase of 1.4%. The November reading was revised up to -2.3% from -2.4%.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that the December increase was led entirely by orders for nondurable goods (+3.1%). Paced by a 2.5% decline in transportation equipment orders, durable goods orders fell 0.5% in December.
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  Baker Hughes total U.S. rig count increased by 17 to 729 following last week's increase of 18  (61.84 -0.93)
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  President Trump officially signs executive order to begin roll back of Dodd-Frank/fiduciary rule will be delayed by 180 days (as expected)  (23.71 +0.47)(waiting for complete details from White House)… Related Stocks: GS, MS, DB, JPM, WDC, BAC, C, WFC, SCHW, TROW, TCS, BEN, LM
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  Unusual Options Activity

The following options are exhibiting notable trading, potentially indicating changing sentiment toward the underlying stocks, and/or potentially representing positioning for increased volatility.

Bullish Call Activity:

  • AZN Sep 30 calls (volume: 2470, open int: 33.2K, implied vol: ~30%, prev day implied vol: 29%)  — we noted activity in the Sep 30 calls last month (see 1/31 13:33 OPTNX). Co is presenting numerous times over the next two months. Co reported earnings earlier this week and is expected to report its next quarterly earnings report early May.  Astrazenca for ACADIA Pharmaceuticals M&A speculation circulated this morning.
  • HOLX Feb 40 calls (volume: 3460, open int: 640, implied vol: ~24%, prev day implied vol: 23%) — co reported earnings earlier this week and is expected to report its next quarterly earnings report late April.

Bearish Put Activity:

  • KORS Feb 40 puts are seeing interest ahead of earnings next week, February 7 before the open (volume: 1060, open int: 1440, implied vol: ~63%, prev day implied vol: 58%) -- Last month, Bloomberg reported that Coach and Michael Korsmight make a bid for Kate Spade. Also last month, renewed KORS M&A speculation circulated.
  • FITB Feb 26 puts (volume: 3340, open int: 4420, implied vol: ~26%, prev day implied vol: 24%) — co reported earnings late January and is expected to report its next quarterly earnings report mid-to-late April.

Sentiment: The CBOE Put/Call ratio is currently: 0.97… VIX: (10.95, -0.98, -8.2%).
February 17 is options expiration — the last day to trade February equity options.
*Please use the Talk to Us link at the top of the page to provide feedback on this comment as well as the OPTNX comments.

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  Events and conferences of interest for next weekEvents and conferences of interest for next week, February 6-10th are listed below. For a complete list of next week's events, please see the events calendar.

Monday

  • Canaccord Genuity Rare Disease Conference (February 6-7th)
    • Scheduled to appear: APTO, SBBP, TIG, AUPH, HCM, AKTX, KPTI, SELB, SCYX, SMMT
  • Credit Suisse 2017 18th Annual Financial Services Forum (February 6-8th)
    • Notable cos to appear: NYCB, GS, RF, BLK, DFS, USB, ETFC, STI, BX, SLM, MS, GHL, BAC, NDAQ, NAVI, ICE, PFG, CBOE, WFC, ZION
  • Investing in African Mining — Indaba (February 6-9th)
    • Notable co to appear: BTG

Tuesday

  • IOT Evolution Expo 2017 (February 7-10th)
    • Scheduled to appear: SQNS, AMZN, TCM, VZ, ACN, ARW, CAMP, CA:CF, CSCO, DVMT, F, GE, HTHIY, IBM, INTC, MSFT, NUAN, NMRX, SBGSY, SWIR, S, TRMB, USM, DGII, TMUS, SFE (Conference Agenda)
  • Spark Summit 2017 (February 7-9th)
    • Notable to appear: NVDA
  • Automotive Ethernet Congress (February 7-8th)
    • Scheduled to appear: LXFT, SMTC, SNE, ON, NXPI, CY, AAPL, BMWYY, AVGO, EADSY, DDAIY, DLPH, DNZOY, CDNS, PCRFY, POAHY, MENT (Conference Information)

Wednesday

  • Cowen and Co 38th Annual Aerospace, Defense and Industrials Conference (February 8-9th)
    • Scheduled to appear: KTOS, COL, RTN, GE, LMT, OSIS, KLXI, ARNC, LDOS, JCI, NOC, EGL, BA, SPR
  • Yahoo Finance All Markets Summit
    • Notable to appear: BLK, WFC, BCS, SCHW, SYMC, YHOO
  • 2017 MoneyShow Orlando Investor Conference
    • Scheduled to appear: AMTD, ABDC, MPW, ETFC, ACBFF, TBQBF, BKCC, CAPC, NNN, LMRK, MSRT, ALE, AFL, LTEA, PG, VPRB, CPU (Speakers)

Thursday

  • Keefe Bruyette and Woods Winter Financial Services Symposium (February 9-10th)
    • Scheduled to appear: ABCB, BANC, BANR, BMTC, BNCN, BOFI, BPFH, BRKL, UBNK, UBSI, SRCE, APO, ASB, BXS, OZRK, BHLB, BOKF, CBOE, CSFL, NBHC, ONB, CHFC, PACW, CNS, COLB, CBSH, CBU, CFR, CUBI, ETFC, EGBN, FCB, FBNC, FCF, FFBC, FHB, FHN, FIBK, FMBI, FBC, FULT, GCAP, GBCI, GBDC, GWB, GHL, HBHC, HAFC, HOMB, PNFP, HOPE, HLI, IBKC, INDB, IBKR, ICE, ISBC, LBAI, LAZ, MKTX, MBFI, NDAQ, NYCB, PBCT, PJC, RNST, BPOP, PFS, RJF, SFNC, SSB, SBSI, STL, SF, SYBT, SGBK, SIVB, SNV, TCB, TCBI, TOWN, TCAP, TRMK, UMBF, UMPQ, UBSH, UBNK, VLY, WD, WBS, WAL, WTFC, WSFS, FBP, WSBC, HTH, HAFC (Conference Agenda)
  • Among Investor Meetings: Intel (INTC) Investor Meeting at 13:00 ET
  • Fed Evans to speak today at 13:10 ET

Friday

  • China Trade Balance at 2:00 ET
  • IZEAFest (Feb 10-11th)
    • Scheduled to appear: GOOGHPE, VRA, CMG, IZEA
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  Power Solutions International scheduled to resume trading at 2:30 p.m. ET  (7.52 +0.07)See 13:45 comment for more details regarding strategic alternatives, resignation of independent public accounting firm and CFO leave of absence
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  Hearing FireEye was downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at FBN Securities  (10.98 -1.99)
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  SPY trading up 0.65%; Financials are leading the market higher and Cons. Disc. is the only sector in the red today
Sector Ticker % Change YTD % Change
Financials XLF 1.9% 2%
Cons. Staples XLP 0.9% 3%
Energy XLE 0.8% -3%
Telecom IYZ 0.8% 0%
Industrials XLI 0.6% 2%
Real Estate XLRE 0.6% 0%
Technology XLK 0.5% 5%
Healthcare XLV 0.3% 3%
Utilities XLU 0.2% 1%
Materials XLB 0.1% 5%
Cons. Disc. XLY -0.2% 4%
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  Sector Summary: S&P Consumer Discretionary Index -0.2%, underperforming the broader marketThe consumer discretionary group is slightly underperforming the broader market. The retail group is faring better with the Retail HOLDRS Trust (RTH) flat and the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) +0.7%.

Notable earnings/guidance

  • Trading higher following earnings/guidance: BEBE 19.2%, SFRGF 3.9% (Salvatore Ferragamo at investor day says its Group aims for a significant improvement of turnover and sales growth per square meter in its stores,of its profitability), HMC +1.8%, HSY +1%
  • Trading lower following earnings/guidance: DECK -17.5%, HBI -15.2%, CMG -4%, TUES -4.4%, AMZN -3.3%, AN -2.1%, DV -1.1%

Earnings/guidance secondary plays

  • Deckers earnings/guidance related weakness is weighing on footwear namesBOOT -6.7%, WWW -6.3%, GCO -0.7%, NKE -0.4%, DSW -0.2%
  • For profit education names are underperforming following DV earnings: UTI -1.8%, EDU -1.7%, DV -0.8%, CECO -0.4%, CPLA -0.4%, BPI -0.1%
In the news:
  • M 5.6% (reports of a potential approach from Hudson's Bay)
  • LZB 2% (to invest approx. $26 mln over a three-year period in its largest U.S. manufacturing facility, located in Dayton, TN)
  • SAM 1% (CEO/President to retire in 2018)
  • HTZ 2.9% and CAR 0.8% (AutoNation commentary regarding improvement in used-car margins is boosting auto rental names)
Analyst related:
  • UpgradesF 1.7% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays)
  • DowngradesBLMN 1.1% (higher despite being downgraded at OTR Global), LULU -0.9% (downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts),

Looking ahead:

  • On the earnings front: HAS, NWL, TSN report Monday before the open, FOXA Monday after the close.
  • GPS will be reporting Jan comps and prelim Q4 sales Monday after the close.
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  Hearing Gigamon was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill  (30.18 -1.91)
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