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Блог компании DayTraderClub | Америка сегодня. Заявки на пособия и объемы товарных запасов.

Объемы товарных запасов на складах продолжают увеличиваться. Аналитики прогнозируют сохранение темпов с небольшим замедлением к 0.9%:
Америка сегодня. Заявки на пособия и объемы товарных запасов.


Двадцатилетняя картина показывает, что товарные запасы подходят к критическим уровням и ближайшие несколько месяцев наступит смена тенденции:
Америка сегодня. Заявки на пособия и объемы товарных запасов.


Первичные заявки на пособия по безработице продолжают оставаться на своих минимальных значениях:
Америка сегодня. Заявки на пособия и объемы товарных запасов.


После часа дня по NY градус волатильности рынка будет задавать речь Эванса по процентной ставке.


Аналитики прогнозируют новый показатель на уровне 247 тысяч, вблизи предыдущего значения:
Америка сегодня. Заявки на пособия и объемы товарных запасов.


Все новости: 
Америка сегодня. Заявки на пособия и объемы товарных запасов.
Данные: DTC News, Briefing, Interactive, Economics, Public Sources
131 комментарий
0
  Asian Markets Close: Nikkei -0.5%, Hang Seng +0.2%, Shanghai +0.5%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a mostly higher note while Japan's Nikkei (-0.5%) underperformed. The index responded to an uptick in the yen during yesterday's Wall Street session, but the Japanese currency (112.36) has retraced the bulk of yesterday's advance, trading lower by 0.4% against the greenback. The People's Bank of China decided to forego reverse repurchase operations for the fifth consecutive session while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand left its key interest rate at 1.75%, as expected.

  • In economic data:
    • Japan's December Core Machinery Orders +6.7% month-over-month (expected 3.1%; last -5.1%); +6.7% year-over-year (expected 4.6%; previous 10.4%). M2 Money Stock +4.1% year-over-year (consensus 4.0%; last 4.0%). Machine Tool Orders +3.5% year-over-year (last 4.4%)
    • Australia's December HIA New Home Sales +0.2% month-over-month (last 6.1%)
    • New Zealand's December Building Consents -7.2% month-over-month (last -9.6%)

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei lost 0.5%, returning to its closing level from Tuesday. Hitachi, Ebara, Fuji Heavy Industries, JTEKT, Yokohama Rubber, Nissan Motor, Toyota Motor, Honda, and Mazda Motor posted losses between 1.9% and 8.1%. On the upside, SUMCO, Konami, DeNa, and J Front Retailing added between 1.7% and 6.2%.
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 0.2% even though more than half of its components ended lower. Belle International jumped 5.1% while property names like China Resources Land, Sino Land, China Overseas, and Cheung Kong Property Holdings added between 0.2% and 4.7%.
  • China's Shanghai Composite climbed 0.5%. Tibet Urban Development & Investment, Chengdu Xuguang Electronics, Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electronic Apparatus, and Luenmei Quantum rose between 5.4% and 7.4%.
  • India's Sensex ticked up 0.1%. Infosys, ITC, and Wipro all gained near 1.0% apiece. Tata Consultancy jumped 2.7% while financials lagged. ICICI Bank, AXIS Bank, SBI, and HDFC Bank all lost near 0.5%.

---FX---

  • USDJPY +0.4% to 112.36
  • USDCNY -0.1% to 6.8657
  • USDINR -0.2% to 66.846
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  Jones Energy reports Total proved oil reserves at year-end 2016 were 23.6 MMBbl, -7.6% Y/Y; establishes an initial capital budget of $275 million for 2017  (4.75)

Jones Energy's year-end 2016 proved reserves based on SEC pricing and definitions were 105.2 MMBoe, of which 59% were classified as proved developed reserves.

  • Total proved oil reserves at year-end 2016 were 23.6 MMBbl compared to year-end 2015 proved oil reserves of 25.4 MMBbl.

Co has established an initial capital budget of $275 million for 2017, comprised of $232 million drilling and completion capital expenditures and the remainder allocated to workovers, leasing and field maintenance projects.

  • Of the total D&C budget, 47% is dedicated to ongoing drilling activity in the Merge.

Co produced 1.8 MMBoe (~19,200 Boe/d) in 4Q16 and an estimated 7.0 MMBoe (~19,200 Boe/d) for the full year.

  • Oil volumes comprised 23% of production for Q4 and 24% for the full year.
  • NGL volumes accounted for 32% of the fourth quarter production and full year volumes.
  • Production in 4Q16 was within guidance, but was negatively affected by weather, completion delays, and mechanical issues.
  • Jones Energy met production forecasts for the fourth quarter and full year of 2016 despite these delays and impacts.
  • ~seven wells were carried into 1Q17 for completion.
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  Douglas Emmett upgrade details — to Hold at Stifel; tgt raised to $38  (38.68)Stifel upgrades DEI to Hold from Sell and raises their tgt to $38 from $30 as, despite buying the Blackstone portfolio at a sub 4% in-place cap rate and using mostly leverage in doing so, the sheer growth in rental rates (27.5% GAAP, 11.0% cash in 2016) and Net Asset Value creation occurring outweighs these issues. During 2016, firm was cautious on DEI's leverage strategy and the strength of its operating markets to their detriment. Firm believes a similar outlook of strong rental rate growth in 2017 is warranted and are therefore more bullish on DEI's prospects in spite of its current valuation.
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  BATS Global beats on bottom line, misses on top line; expects acquisition by CBOE to close in Q1  (34.63)
  • Q4 adj. EPS $0.40 vs. $0.33 consensus and $0.30 last year; revenue +7% to $105.4 mln vs. $108.4 mln consensus.
  • Remained on track to close the transaction with CBOE Holdings (CBOE) by the end of the first quarter of 2017.
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  Fifth Street Senior Floating Rate reports Net investment income of $0.20, Capital IQ consensus $0.22  (10.13)
  • Net asset value per share of $10.86.
  • FSFR's Board of Directors determined the fair value of our investment portfolio at December 31, 2016 to be $540.1 million, as compared to $573.6 million at September 30, 2016. Total assets were $590.2 million at December 31, 2016, as compared to $622.4 million at September 30, 2016.
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  Baker Hughes upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna  (61.16)
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  Louisiana-Pacific upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson  (21.00)
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  Versum Materials initiated with a Hold at Argus  (28.69)
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  Ascendis Pharma initiated with a Outperform at Credit Suisse; tgt $28  (22.22)
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  Ulta Beauty initiated with a Hold at Loop Capital; tgt $285  (272.82)
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  Star Bulk Carriers downgraded to Hold from Buy at Pareto Securities; $9 tgt  (8.56)
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  Take-Two among stocks with favorable commentary on Wednesday's Mad Money  (53.71)

Stocks with favorable mention: AAPL, AGN, AMZN, BLK, CSCO, DIS, GE, GOOGL, PLAY, PNRA, TTWO

Stocks with unfavorable mention: AUO, ELY, PFE
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  Overseas Research Calls

Upgrades: 

  • Neste Oyj (NTOIF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS
  • Tod's SpA (TDPAY) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas
  • Software AG (STWRY) upgraded to Hold from Reduce at Kepler

Downgrades: 

  • Thomas Cook (TCKGY) downgraded to Reduce from Hold at Numis
  • Hugo Boss AG (BOSSY) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas
  • Banco Santander (SAN) downgraded to Underperform from Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas
  • Danone (DANOY) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Davy Research

Miscellaneous: 

  • None of note
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  European Markets Update: FTSE +0.3%, DAX +0.7%, CAC +0.9%

Major European indices trade higher across the board even though Greece-related concerns have returned to the surface in recent days. The International Monetary Fund has maintained that debt relief for Greece will be needed, but European officials remain against reducing the troubled country's debt burden. Yesterday afternoon, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said Greece would have to leave the euro in order to win a debt cut. Greece is due to make its next debt payment in July, but will be unable to do so if it doesn't receive the next installment of its bailout from the eurozone. The disbursement of the bailout tranche will not occur until the Troika completes a review of the Greek fiscal situation, which has been delayed.

  • In economic data:
    • Germany's December trade surplus EUR18.40 billion (expected surplus of EUR21.40 billion; last surplus of EUR21.80 billion). December Imports 0.0% month-over-month (expected -1.0%; last 3.5%) and December Exports -3.3% month-over-month (consensus -1.1%; last 3.9%)
    • Swiss January Unemployment Rate held at 3.3%, as expected

---Equity Markets---

  • UK's FTSE is higher by 0.3% with financials and energy-related names showing relative strength. BP and Royal Dutch Shell hold respective gains of 1.3% and 0.9% while Provident Financial, Prudential, Standard Life, Barclays, RSA Insurance, RBS, and HSBC are up between 0.7% and 1.4%.
  • Germany's DAX trades up 0.7% as gains in most components offset losses in financials. Bayer leads with a gain of 2.7% while automakers Daimler and BMW show respective gains of 1.3% and 0.9%. Volkswagen trails its peers, hovering near its flat line. On the downside, Deutsche Bank is down 0.2% and Commerzbank has slid 3.1% in reaction to disappointing results.
  • France's CAC outperforms with a gain of 0.9%. Societe Generale and AXA show respective gains of 2.6% and 2.1% after SocGen reported above-consensus results. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole are both up near 0.8%. Automakers Peugeot and Renault have given up 1.0% apiece.
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  Radware target raised to $18 from $14 at Needham following earnings  (15.48)
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  On The Wires
  • Wi-LAN (WILN) announced that the Toronto Stock Exchange had accepted its Notice of Intention to Make a Normal Course Issuer Bid. Pursuant to the Notice, WiLAN may purchase for cancellation up to 4,000,000 issued and outstanding WiLAN common shares representing approximately 3.46% of the 115,633,550 Common Shares in the public float as of December 31, 2016 through the facilities of the TSX and/or alternative Canadian trading platforms.
  • Houston American Energy (HUSA) acquires a 25% working interest in two lease blocks covering 717.25 acres in Reeves County, Texas. The interest was acquired from Founders Oil & Gas III, LLC for a purchase price of $5,500 per net mineral acre, or a total of $986,000. Additional adjacent acreage is expected to be acquired in the coming weeks by Founders, with Houston American acquiring an interest in the same, to bring the total acreage position to approximately 800 gross acres.
  • Volvo Buses (VLVLY) has secured its largest ever order for complete solutions for electric bus traffic. The Belgian cities of Charleroi and Namur have together ordered 90 Volvo 7900 Electric Hybrid buses as well as 12 charging stations. The buyer is public transport company TEC Group. The charging stations will be delivered by ABB.  The order from TEC Group covers 55 buses for Charleroi and another 35 buses for Namur. ABB will supply 4 charging stations to Charleroi and 8 charging stations for Namur. Delivery and installation will get under way this autumn. After the delivery, the TEC Group will have ordered in total 101 Volvo electric hybrids and 15 ABB charging stations.
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  Trimble target raised to $33 at Needham  (30.24)Needham raises their TRMB tgt to $33 from $27 following the Q4 print and Q1 guidance. From a macro perspective, the global economy appears to be improving ex-certain geos, including the U.S. Admittedly, uncertainty reigns regarding potential impact from any new policies from the Trump administration (i.e., possible infrastructure +ve, possible tariff wars -ve) Net, despite this uncertainty, firm sees TRMB as likely poised to continue to show improving performance as '17 progresses. While shares aren't cheap by historical standards, given current premiums seen on cyclical proxy cos like DE and CAT, they see them as reasonable.
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  TASER announces two acquisitions to launch a new artificial intelligence group called «Axon AI»; financial details not disclosed  (26.54)

«We believe it's time for video data to move to the center of public safety records systems, with far richer and more transparent information than historic text-only systems,» said Rick Smith, CEO and co-founder of TASER. «Axon AI is focused on extracting usable information from these video records, automatically populating our new RMS system. AI will significantly streamline these business processes so officers can focus on what matters: their operational environment. Axon AI will also greatly reduce the time spent preparing videos for public information requests or court submission. This will lay the foundation for a future system where records are seamlessly recorded by sensors rather than arduously written by police officers overburdened by paperwork,» concluded Smith.

  • TASER acquired Dextro, Inc, the first computer-vision and deep learning system to make the visual contents in video searchable in real time. Agencies and departments will have the ability to quickly isolate and analyze the most important seconds of footage from massive amounts of video data. This acquisition will form the technology backbone of the new Axon AI platform.
  • The company also acquired from Fossil Group, Inc. the computer vision team that was part of Fossil Group's acquisition of Misfit, Inc. The team includes machine-vision researchers focused on improving the accuracy, efficiency and speed of processing images and video.
  • Together, these acquisitions will broaden TASER's industry-leading DEMS (Digital Evidence Management System) to enable customers to gain more insight from video, photos and audio to improve training, operations and community engagement.
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  Alnylam Pharma target lowered to $68 at Needham; Buy  (40.63)Needham lowers their ALNY tgt to $68 from $98 after co provided a quarterly corporate update yesterday. Near-term milestones include fitusiran and inclisiran Phase 3 initiations as well as updates from Phase 2 trials of patisiran and inclisiran. Most important milestone this year is Phase 3 patisiran outcome in Sept 2017. Mgmt has recently placed greater emphasis on lead programs in TTR, Hemophilia, and Porphyria, but firm notes RNAi platform and earlier stage programs still hold substantial long-term value. Reiterate BUY, but they are reducing tgt to reflect lower estimates from removal of ALN-CC5 from model and current risk envm't (25x 2022 EPS 25% annual discount).
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  Early premarket gappersGapping up: SKYS +75.8%, JAGX +44.1%, AVNW +15.9%, OSUR +15.8%, RELV +14.7%, PAYC +10.5%, ZEN +10.1%, IMPV +9.6%, PCMI +9.1%, WSTL +8.4%, FLT +8.2%, PRLB +6.7%, SCSS +6.2%, MDSO +6.1%, LLNW +5.4%, IAG +4.9%, TSLA +3.8%, CXW +3.5%, RLGT +3.4%, STB +3.2%, VIA +3%, CMP +2.9%, EFX +2.5%, AOSL +2.5%, GPRE +2.2%, CVS +1.9%, TU +1.9%, NVO +1.8%, SNY +1.7%, SNY +1.7%, NOK +1.6%, FORM +1.6%, AZN +1.4%, GSK +1.4%, BA +1.3%, BP +1.3%, VOD +1.2%, AU +1.2%, TOT +1.2%, DECK +1.1%, SAN +1.1%, HMY +1.1%, CLF +1.1%, RAI +1.1%, ALNY +1%, RMR +0.9%, PSEC +0.8%, CRAY +0.8%, OHI +0.7%, AFG +0.7%, YUM +0.6%, RDS.A +0.5%

Gapping down: LPSN -15.2%, TWTR -10.8%, MTRX -10.6%, MB -10.5%, SNCR -10.3%, IRBT -9.9%, BGC -8%, QLYS -7.1%, SRRA -7%, OII -7%, CREE -5.7%, STRL -5.6%, FSC -5.5%, ECHO -5.3%, CDE -5.2%, LQDT -5.2%, ENSG -5%, TYL -4.8%, VSTO -4.8%, MXL -4.1%, GLUU -3.6%, TBI -3.6%, KS -3.4%, ENTA -3.3%, UHAL -3%, MC -3%, FISV -2.6%, SNN -2.5%, REGN -2.1%, FCX -2.1%, PPC -2.1%, REGN -2.1%, AMGN -1.9%, BANC -1.9%, GLAD -1.7%, AGTC -1.5%, WFM -1.4%, CTL -1.4%, PDS -1.3%, MCHP -1.1%, FSLR -1%, JE -1%, PYPL -0.9%, KR -0.9%, DNKN -0.9%
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  Puma shares higher by 2% after it reported Q4 results/provided FY17 outlook  (308.41)
  • Co reported Q4 EPS of (EUR 0.31) vs (EUR 0.29) last year; revs +10.2% YoY to EUR 3.626 bln, up 7.1% YoY.
  • The operating result grew by 30.2% to € 14.1 million. This development is a result of the increase of sales and the improvement of the gross profit margin in the quarter.
  • The Asia/Pacific region was also a strong driver of the overall growth of PUMA in 2016. Sales were up by 8.5% currency adjusted to € 904.5 million (+10.5% reported).
  • The gross profit margin improved 20 basis points from 45.5% last year to 45.7% for the full year 2016.
  • FY17: 
    • For the full year 2017 we expect that currency-adjusted net sales will increase at a high single-digit rate. The gross profit margin is forecasted to improve to approximately 46.0% (2016: 45.7%). Operating expenses are expected to increase at a mid to high single-digit rate, as PUMA will continue to invest in marketing, in the modernization and expansion of the owned and operated retail store network and in IT-infrastructure. At the same time, management will continue to place a strong emphasis on strict control of other operating costs.
    • At the current exchange rate levels, PUMA's management expects that the operating result will improve significantly in 2017, thanks to operating leverage, as sales will increase stronger than OPEX, combined with a slightly improved gross profit margin. EBIT for the full year 2017 is therefore expected to come in between € 170 million and € 190 million. Net earnings will also continue to improve significantly in 2017.
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  Arlington Asset Investment target lowered to $16.50 at Maxim Group; Buy  (14.89)Maxim Group lowers their AI tgt to $16.50 from $19. In 4Q16, interest rates increased unexpectedly and materially post-election, driving down the price of bonds, including RMBS. Whereas AI's Agency RMBS portfolio decreased in value by ($7.27) per share, AI's hedges increased in value by only $5.73 per share (due to spread widening), so AI's book value declined 13.9%, to $16.21. Firm's new price target of $16.50, down from $19.00, equates to 1.0x AI's book value, the valuation level below which they believe mortgage REITs should not trade in this envm't.
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  Eagle Bancorp upgraded to Buy from Hold at Sandler O'Neill  (59.95)
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  Time Warner downgraded to Hold from Buy at Drexel Hamilton  (96.60)
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 Overnight Treasury Summary

Treasuries Trade Down from Wednesday's Highs Ahead of Bond Auction

  • U.S. Treasury yields are moving higher this morning in a curve-steepening trade as global equities rally and the U.S. Dollar adds 0.02% to 100.30. International economic data showed that Germany's trade surplus narrowed more than expected to EUR18.4 bln in December and housing markets remained strong in the U.K. and Australia during the same month. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its main policy rate at 1.75% as expected, but the central bank's guidance was more dovish than expected and that sent the kiwi lower (NZD/USD: -0.21% to 0.7217). Today's U.S. session features a $15 bln 30-year Treasury auction and some mild economic data releases. The Fed speakers are not particularly significant because they either don't vote (St. Louis Fed President Bullard) or their vote is unlikely to tip the scales in favor or against a rate hike (Chicago Fed President Evans). The S&P 500 is set to open up 0.09% to 2,296.8
  • Yield Check:
    • 2-yr: +1 bp to 1.16%
    • 5-yr: +2 bps to 1.83%
    • 10-yr: +3 bps to 2.35%
    • 30-yr: +3 bps to 2.98%
  • News:
    • Japan sold JPY800 bln ($7.14 bln) of 30-year JGBs with an average yield of 0.907% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.23
      • While the auction's reception was not all that strong, the 10-year JGB yield trade below 0.08% for the first time this month
      • The Bank of Japan has intervened in the JGB market three times since last Friday to purchase JGBs with maturities from five to 10 years
      • Separately, Core Machinery Orders jumped by 6.7% m/m in December (6.7% y/y), beating estimates and reversing November's 5.1% drop
    • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its Official Cash Rate at 1.75%, as expected. The central bank's near-term outlook was more dovish than expected although the RBNZ now forecasts an average policy rate of 1.8% through June 2019, up from 1.7%
    • Australi's HIA New Home Sales Index edged 0.2% higher m/m in December after a 6.1% gain in November
    • In the U.K., the RICS House Price Balance rose to 25% for January from 23% for December, slightly beating forecasts
    • Norway's GDP grew 1.1% q/q in the fourth quarter, beating forecasts after a 0.6% drop in Q3
    • Switzerland's unemployment rate remained at a seasonally adjusted 3.3% in January, as expected
    • Germany's trade surplus narrowed more than expected to EUR18.4 bln in December from EUR21.8 bln in November. The narrowing was driven by a larger-than-expected decline in exports (3.3% m/m)
    • Greece's unemployment rate was steady at 23% in November
  • Data out Thursday:
    • Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending 2/4 and Continuing Jobless Claims for the week ending 1/28 (08:30 ET)
    • December Wholesale Inventories (10:00 ET)
    • Natural Gas Inventories for the week ending 2/4 (10:30 ET)
  • Treasury Auction:
    • $15 bln 30-year Treasury auction (results at 13:00 ET)
  • Fed Speakers:
    • St. Louis Fed President Bullard (non-FOMC voter) (09:10 ET)
    • Chicago Fed President Evans (FOMC voter) (13:10 ET)
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  Tyler Tech target lowered to $197 at Maxim Group — EPS growth to be tempered by investments in NWS  (145.99)Maxim Group lowers their TYL tgt to $197 from $210 following earnings. Firm noted NWS' win rates were much lower than TYL's traditional software products and management plans to increase R&D by about 15% or $6 million in 2017 in order to strengthen its competitive positioning. TYL was awarded $211 million of contract awards during 4Q16, up 20% year over year though much of the growth was the result of the NWS acquisition. They continue to argue TYL is well positioned to win several large court and justice procurements in 2017. Based on the higher projected R&D, firm lowers their adjusted EPS ests to $3.87 (from $4.06) in 2017 and to $4.39 (from $4.67) in 2018; Buy.
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  Imperva target raised to $52 at RBC Capital Mkts — Back in the groove  (42.90)RBC Capital Mkts raises their IMPV tgt to $52 from $45. Results demonstrated improved execution and the leverage apparent in the new, leaner model. Numbers move higher, but expectations remain in check as we approach several quarters of easing comps.

IMPV +9% at four month high premarket.
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  On The Wires
  • Tata Steel (TATLY) has signed a definitive sale agreement to sell its Specialty Steels business to Liberty House Group for a total consideration of GBP 100 mln.
  • Fortinet (FTNT) together with Ixia (XXIA) announced the results of Ixia's CloudStorm and BreakingPoint testing solutions used to validate the performance of Fortinet's recently announced FortiGate 3980E and 7060E enterprise firewalls. Ixia's rigorous testing methodology resulted in Fortinet's FortiGate 3980E enterprise firewall demonstrating 1 Tbps (Terabit per second) firewall performance, and the FortiGate 7060E enterprise chassis firewall delivering 100 Gbps (Gigabit per second) of NGFW throughput. The testing results, along with the first public demonstration of the performance testing, will be available in the Fortinet booth #3627 during the RSA Conference scheduled for February 13th — 17th, 2017.
  • Earlier this year, PREIT (PEI) announced it had reached agreement with Sears (SHLD) to recapture three stores, Capital City, Woodland and Magnolia Malls. The Company has executed leases for all three of these locations as part of a continued portfolio improvement effort. The following details relate to the extensive Woodland Mall repositioning plans.
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 S&P futures vs fair value: +3.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.60.

Equity futures point to a higher open on Thursday amid an uptick in global markets. The S&P 500 futures trade three points above fair value.

U.S. Treasuries have squandered most of yesterday's gains this morning. The benchmark 10-yr yield is three basis points higher at 2.35%.

Conversely, crude oil has extended Wednesday's uptick in the overnight session. The energy component is currently up 0.7% at $52.73/bbl.

Thursday's economic data will include Initial Claims (Briefing.com consensus 250,000) at 8:30 am ET and December Wholesale Inventories (Briefing.com consensus 1.0%) at 10:00 am ET.

In U.S. corporate news:

  • Coca-Cola (KO 41.80, -0.22): -0.5% after disappointing guidance overshadowed above-consensus revenues.
  • CVS Health (CVS 78.70, +1.67): +2.2% after better than expected earnings overshadowed worse than expected revenues.
  • Ford Motor (F 12.30, -0.08): -0.7% after reporting that January sales in China declined 32.0% year-over-year.
  • Twitter (TWTR 17.05, -1.67): -8.9% after reporting worse than expected revenues and issuing below-consensus guidance.
  • Whole Foods Market (WFM 28.71, -0.59): -2.0% after missing revenue estimates and issuing downbeat guidance.

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a mostly higher note while Japan's Nikkei underperformed. Japan's Nikkei -0.5%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng +0.2%, China's Shanghai Composite +0.5%, India's Sensex +0.1%.
    • In economic data:
      • Japan's December Core Machinery Orders +6.7% month-over-month (expected 3.1%; last -5.1%); +6.7% year-over-year (expected 4.6%; previous 10.4%). M2 Money Stock +4.1% year-over-year (consensus 4.0%; last 4.0%). Machine Tool Orders +3.5% year-over-year (last 4.4%)
      • Australia's December HIA New Home Sales +0.2% month-over-month (last 6.1%)
      • New Zealand's December Building Consents -7.2% month-over-month (last -9.6%)
    • In news:
      • The People's Bank of China decided to forego reverse repurchase operations for the fifth consecutive session.
      • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand left its key interest rate at 1.75%, as expected.
  • Major European indices trade higher across the board even though Greece-related concerns have returned to the surface in recent days. The International Monetary Fund has maintained that debt relief for Greece will be needed, but European officials remain against reducing the troubled country's debt burden. UK's FTSE +0.3%, Germany's DAX +0.7%, France's CAC +0.9%.
    • In economic data:
      • Germany's December trade surplus EUR18.40 billion (expected surplus of EUR21.40 billion; last surplus of EUR21.80 billion). December Imports 0.0% month-over-month (expected -1.0%; last 3.5%) and December Exports -3.3% month-over-month (consensus -1.1%; last 3.9%)
      • Swiss January Unemployment Rate held at 3.3%, as expected
    • In news:
      • Yesterday afternoon, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said Greece would have to leave the euro in order to win a debt cut.
      • Greece is due to make its next debt payment in July, but will be unable to do so if it doesn't receive the next installment of its bailout from the eurozone. The disbursement of the bailout tranche will not occur until the Troika completes a review of the Greek fiscal situation, which has been delayed.
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  Louisiana-Pacific target raised to $26 at RBC Capital Mkts  (20.07)RBC Capital Mkts raises their LPX tgt to $26 from $25 to reflect a higher valuation multiple given their improved outlook on LP's growing siding business. With an impressive balance sheet, they believe LPX is well positioned to benefit from the ongoing US housing recovery; Top Pick.
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  O'Reilly Auto target raised to $304 at RBC Capital Mkts — 4Q results modestly better, guidance in line; Amazon concerns at bay for now  (272.93)RBC Capital Mkts raises their ORLY tgt to $304 from $296. Solid 4Q and in-line guidance. October and December were better with some election-related disruptions and milder temperatures impacting November. January was also affected by milder weather. Further, Amazon (AMZN) doesn't appear to be impacting the business as many feared. However, they still believe the potential for more modest comp/earnings growth than in recent years exists and the stock's multiple may still contract from current levels.
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  Panera Bread target raised to $255 at RBC Capital Mkts  (232.90)RBC Capital Mkts raises their PNRA tgt to $255 from $250. Panera's solid 4Q performance in an otherwise difficult operating environment gives further credibility to the company's growth initiatives and supports our thesis that the payoff from a multi-year growth cycle should drive EPS upside in 2017 and 2018.
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смотрю AKAM ATVI VIAB сегодня…
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Ihor Tyshchenko
0
Доброе утро
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Максим Лавров
0
 X вчера хорошо сходил от 34 под закрытие
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Максим Лавров
0
 Куда сегодня по рынку целитесь?
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Максим Лавров
0
 Снова шорт?))
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Максим Лавров
0
AAPL селл подсказывают с чата
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Максим Лавров
0
CVS
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sereja К
0
 GILD
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sereja К
0
 MCK лонг от 140
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sereja К
0
EXC на откат
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Алексей Михайлович
0
 HP
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sereja К
0
 LEN
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sereja К
0
снова рынок на хай вылез…
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sereja К
0
 лезу в покупки
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sereja К
0
 другого пока ничего не остается
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sereja К
0
 Хотя конечно в течении 20 минут ожидаю что рынок все таки загнется и покажет селл
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sereja К
0
 QCOM
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Алексей Михайлович
0
MU на закрытие гепа
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Максим Лавров
0
 HAL
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Максим Лавров
0
 TWTR
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Максим Лавров
0
DLTR
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Никита Строкин
0
 
  Arkansas Best target raised to $34 at Cowen following earnings  (30.70)Cowen raises their ARCB tgt to $34 from $25 noting ARCB delivered solid results on continued positive pricing and a modest tonnage improvement. Firm expects disciplined pricing to continue at ARCB and its LTL peers. This and the carrier's new corporate restructuring, which should yield savings, keep them constructive.
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  On The Wires
  • Ekso Bionics Holdings (EKSO) announced the worldwide launch of EksoPulse, an advanced cloud-based information technology platform that enhances the clinician, institutional and patient experience with the Ekso GT robotic exoskeleton. EksoPulse operates in conjunction with technologies from leading global companies to support the new system with EksoPulse Analytics.
  • Rolls-Royce (RYCEY) has won a $1.7bn order from Singapore Airlines for Trent 1000 engines to power 19 Boeing 787 Dreamliner aircraft. The engines will be covered by Rolls-Royce's flagship engine service, TotalCare, which improves engine reliability, increases time on wing, and maximises the engine's contribution to business performance.
  • Halcón Resources Corporation (HK) announced that it has commenced a cash tender offer for any and all of its outstanding $700 million 8.625% Senior Secured Notes due 2020. The tender offer is being made on the terms and subject to the conditions set forth in the offer to purchase dated February 9, 2017 and the related letter of transmittal and notice of guaranteed delivery.
  • Genius Brands International, Inc. «Genius Brands» (GNUS) has signed Fisher-Price, a subsidiary of Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ: MAT), as global master toy partner for the Company's all-new original CGI-animated preschool series, Rainbow Rangers, marking the first licensing partnership as Genius Brands develops its global licensing program and content distribution strategy.
  • Varian Medical Systems (VAR) announced it won a competitive bid to provide advanced radiotherapy technology and its Eclipse treatment planning system to six major hospitals in Shanghai. The company is scheduled to install its Edge radiosurgery suite in five affiliate hospitals of Shanghai Jiao Tong University this year. Varian will also install its Trilogy system within the Longhua Hospital Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine.
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  Viacom upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo  (42.07)
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 S&P futures vs fair value: +2.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.10.

The S&P 500 futures trade three points above fair value.

Just in, the latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 234,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 250,000. Today's tally was below the unrevised prior week count of 246,000. As for continuing claims, they rose to 2.078 million from the revised count of 2.063 million (from 2.064 million).

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  Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance:

  • SKYS +65.8%, (thinly traded), OSUR +23.4%, AVNW +15.9%, (thinly traded), TZOO +11.6%, PAYC +11%, ZEN +10.1%, MPAA +9.8%, CLF +9.8%, PCMI +9.5%
  • IMPV +9.3%, (also agrees to sell its Skyfence technology and service to Forcepoint, financial details not disclosed; acquires the assets of Camouflage Software)
  • WSTL +8.4%, FLT +7.8%, PRLB +6.5%, SCSS +6.2%, MDSO +6.1%, LLNW +5.4%, CXW +5.2%, LIVE +4.4%, ARRY +3.5%, ALNY +3.4%, RLGT +3.4%
  • VIA +3%, CMP +2.9%, FONR +2.7%, AOSL +2.5%, GPRE +2.2%, CVS +2.2%, MFC +2%, EFX +1.9%, TU +1.9%, CETX +1.9%, FORM +1.6%, CMI +1.6%
  • PTN +1.4%, WWE +1.4%, BGCP +1.3%, ROP +1.2%, RAI +1.1%, PSEC +1%, TOT +1%, RMR +0.9%, OHI +0.8%, CRAY +0.8%, AFG +0.7%, YUM +0.6%, PRU +0.5%

M&A news:

  • JAGX +69% (Jaguar Animal Health to merge with Napo Pharmaceuticals)
  • NOK +1.4% (to acquire Comptel for EUR 347 mln)

Other news:

  • ETRM +17.8% (publication of three-year data from the Company's VBLOC DM2 Study of vBloc Neurometabolic Therapy)
  • AQMS +16.1% (announces that Johnson Controls (JCI) finalized an agreement covering North America, China and Europe for its technology)
  • RELV +14.7% (thinly traded; announced that CardioSentials heart health supplement has earned a U.S. patent)
  • ACOR +12.3% (announces 'positive' Phase 3 data of CVT-301 'showing a statistically significant improvement in motor function in people with Parkinson's disease experiencing OFF periods)
  • VKTX +11.7% (announces 'positive' initial results from a proof-of-concept study of VK2809)
  • PPHM +9.9% (announces the publication of positive proof-of-concept data for a novel exosome-based cancer detection platform)
  • BANC +5.6% (Banc of California appoints Richard Lashley, co-founder of 6.9% holder PL Capital Advisors, to the Board and approves certain enhancements to corporate governance policies)
  • URRE +3.8% (announces its Special meeting not convened, nor adjourned to later date; RCF debt to be repaid from treasury)
  • STB +3.2% ( awarded new record $187 million contract )
  • SNY +2.3% (Regeneron Pharma confirms appeals court grants stay of permanent injunction for Praluent (alirocumab) during appeals process)
  • TSLA +2.1% (Reuters details that Tesla (TSLA) plans to pause factory production in California to prepare for Model 3)
  • XGTI +2.1% (prices offering of 1.75 mln shares of common stocks and warrants of up to 1.3 mln shares at $2.00 per share)
  • ETP +1.7% (received US Army Corps of Engineers easement to construct N Dakota pipeline (as expected — see Feb 7 comments); Dakota Access has now received all federal authorizations necessary to proceed)
  • BP +1.1% (in sympathy with TOT earnings)
  • RDS.A +1.1% (in sympathy with TOT earnings)
  • DECK +0.9% (following late move higher on Marcato active stake disclosure)
  • BA +0.8% (confirms that Singapore Airlines has commited to purchase 20 777-9s and 19 787-10 Dreamliners)

Analyst comments:

  • RMBS +2.8% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • FNV +0.7% (upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman)
  • ALV +0.6% (upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts)
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 European Summary

Greek 2-Year Yield Jumps Above 10%

  • European sovereign bonds are trading higher this morning as appetites grow for debt of the eurozone periphery ex-Greece. German bunds and U.K. gilts are lagging as Treasuries decline, which makes sense because the weakness in European government bonds over recent weeks did not affect Germany or the U.K. anyway. As mentioned, Greek debt is not rallying and, in fact, the Greek 2-year note yield is now above 10% after trading below 7% as recently as late January. There has been a brewing conflict between the IMF on the one hand and Greece's eurozone creditors (the European Stability Mechanism and European Financial Stability Facility) on the other. The IMF's most recent assessment of Greece's situation is that the debt burden will become explosive around 2022 and that further debt writedowns are necessary to stabilize the fiscal trajectory. Many European politicians see the IMF's participation in Greece's third bailout (this is the second review of that bailout) as a precondition for participation by the ESM and EFSF, so the IMF's concerns could be a deal-breaker. Klaus Regling, managing director of the ESM, wrote a piece in the Financial Times today, saying that the IMF is not taking into account the eurozone's resolve to keep Greece within the euro area. Greece's two-year note yield went as high as 37% in 2015, so 10% is not catastrophic although it does indicate that Greece's risk of default is much higher than it was three weeks ago
    • The IMF projects that Greece's primary surplus will rise to only 1.5% over the long run from 1% last year. The European creditors predict a primary surplus of 3.1%, so that is the size of the disagreement. The primary surplus is the government budget surplus before interest payments and so it quantifies the Greek government's ability to pay down debt
  • New Issuance:
    • The U.K. sold GBP2.50 bln of 30-year gilts with an average yield of 1.863% with a bid-to-cover of 1.63. The auction tailed by 0.5 basis points
  • European Economic Data:
    • Germany's trade surplus narrowed more than expected to EUR18.4 bln in December from EUR21.8 bln in November. The narrowing was driven by a larger-than-expected decline in exports (3.3% m/m)
    • Greece's unemployment rate was steady at 23% in November
    • In the U.K., the RICS House Price Balance rose to 25% for January from 23% for December, slightly beating forecasts
    • Norway's GDP grew 1.1% q/q in the fourth quarter, beating forecasts after a 0.6% drop in Q3
    • Switzerland's unemployment rate remained at a seasonally adjusted 3.3% in January, as expected
  • Yield Check:
    • France, 10-yr OAT: -3 bps to 0.97%
    • Germany, 10-yr bund: unch at 0.30%
    • Greece, 10-yr note: +10 bps to 7.72%
    • Italy, 10-yr BTP: -6 bps to 2.19%
    • Portugal, 10-yr PGB: -1 bp to 4.08%
    • Spain, 10-yr ODE: -6 bps to 1.63%
    • U.K., 10-yr gilt: +1 bp to 1.23%
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  Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:

  • SNCR -15.9%, LPSN -15.2%, FSC -13.4%, MTRX -10.6%, MB -10.5%, QLYS -9.1%, TWTR -8.9%, IRBT -8.8%, BGC -8%, VSTO -7.6%, SON -7.5%, OII -7%
  • MXL -6.9%, LQDT -6.8%, GLUU -6%, STRL -5.8%, (sees Q4 net loss of $5.5-6.5 mln and revs of $165-170 mln vs. $157.25 mln two analyst estimate; says results are 'very disappointing')
  • ECHO -5.3%, COTY -5.2%, ENSG -5%, TYL -4.8%, CDE -4.2%, TBI -3.6%, KS -3.4%, ENTA -3.3%, UHAL -3%, MC -3%, SNN -2.9%, FSFR -2.8%, FISV -2.6%
  • PPC -2.1%, KO -2.1%, GLAD -1.7%, AGTC -1.5%, MAS -1.5%, CTL -1.4%, PDS -1.3%, DTE -1.2%, REGN -1.2%, JE -1%, CX -0.6%, SEE -0.5%

Other news:

  • SRRA -9.1% (to offer shares of its common stock in an underwritten public offering; size not disclosed)
  • CREE -5.5% (CFIUS informed Infineon and Cree that the Wolfspeed transaction poses a risk to the national security of the United States)
  • AMGN -1.4% (Regeneron Pharma confirms appeals court grants stay of permanent injunction for Praluent (alirocumab) during appeals process)
  • REGN -1.2% (Regeneron Pharma confirms appeals court grants stay of permanent injunction for Praluent (alirocumab) during appeals process)
  • TM -1.2% (traded ~2% lower in Japan overnight)
  • HLI -1.1% (prices offering of 8 mln shares of common stock by co and selling shareholders at $29.25 per share)
  • FSLR -1% (awarded module supply contract for the 140 megawatt DC Sun Metals Solar Farm in North Queensland)
  • PYPL -0.9% (discloses that it has received subpoenas from the DOJ seeking the production of certain information related to the company's historical anti-money laundering program)
  • KR -0.9% (WFM sympathy)

Analyst comments:

  • SLW -1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman)
  • FCX -1% (resumed with a Neutral at JP Morgan)
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  Gapping up/down: TZOO +12%, CLF +10%, CVS +2% and TOT +1% after earnings, RMBS +3% after upgrade; TWTR -9%, MC -3%, FISV -3% and KO -2% after earnings

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance:

  • SKYS +65.8%, (thinly traded), OSUR +23.4%, AVNW +15.9%, (thinly traded), TZOO +11.6%, PAYC +11%, ZEN +10.1%, MPAA +9.8%, CLF +9.8%, PCMI +9.5%
  • IMPV +9.3%, (also agrees to sell its Skyfence technology and service to Forcepoint, financial details not disclosed; acquires the assets of Camouflage Software)
  • WSTL +8.4%, FLT +7.8%, PRLB +6.5%, SCSS +6.2%, MDSO +6.1%, LLNW +5.4%, CXW +5.2%, LIVE +4.4%, ARRY +3.5%, ALNY +3.4%, RLGT +3.4%
  • VIA +3%, CMP +2.9%, FONR +2.7%, AOSL +2.5%, GPRE +2.2%, CVS +2.2%, MFC +2%, EFX +1.9%, TU +1.9%, CETX +1.9%, FORM +1.6%, CMI +1.6%
  • PTN +1.4%, WWE +1.4%, BGCP +1.3%, ROP +1.2%, RAI +1.1%, PSEC +1%, TOT +1%, RMR +0.9%, OHI +0.8%, CRAY +0.8%, AFG +0.7%, YUM +0.6%, PRU +0.5%

M&A news:

  • JAGX +69% (Jaguar Animal Health to merge with Napo Pharmaceuticals)
  • NOK +1.4% (to acquire Comptel for EUR 347 mln)

Other news:

  • ETRM +17.8% (publication of three-year data from the Company's VBLOC DM2 Study of vBloc Neurometabolic Therapy)
  • AQMS +16.1% (announces that Johnson Controls (JCI) finalized an agreement covering North America, China and Europe for its technology)
  • RELV +14.7% (thinly traded; announced that CardioSentials heart health supplement has earned a U.S. patent)
  • ACOR +12.3% (announces 'positive' Phase 3 data of CVT-301 'showing a statistically significant improvement in motor function in people with Parkinson's disease experiencing OFF periods)
  • VKTX +11.7% (announces 'positive' initial results from a proof-of-concept study of VK2809)
  • PPHM +9.9% (announces the publication of positive proof-of-concept data for a novel exosome-based cancer detection platform)
  • BANC +5.6% (Banc of California appoints Richard Lashley, co-founder of 6.9% holder PL Capital Advisors, to the Board and approves certain enhancements to corporate governance policies)
  • URRE +3.8% (announces its Special meeting not convened, nor adjourned to later date; RCF debt to be repaid from treasury)
  • STB +3.2% ( awarded new record $187 million contract )
  • SNY +2.3% (Regeneron Pharma confirms appeals court grants stay of permanent injunction for Praluent (alirocumab) during appeals process)
  • TSLA +2.1% (Reuters details that Tesla (TSLA) plans to pause factory production in California to prepare for Model 3)
  • XGTI +2.1% (prices offering of 1.75 mln shares of common stocks and warrants of up to 1.3 mln shares at $2.00 per share)
  • ETP +1.7% (received US Army Corps of Engineers easement to construct N Dakota pipeline (as expected — see Feb 7 comments); Dakota Access has now received all federal authorizations necessary to proceed)
  • BP +1.1% (in sympathy with TOT earnings)
  • RDS.A +1.1% (in sympathy with TOT earnings)
  • DECK +0.9% (following late move higher on Marcato active stake disclosure)
  • BA +0.8% (confirms that Singapore Airlines has commited to purchase 20 777-9s and 19 787-10 Dreamliners)

Analyst comments:

  • RMBS +2.8% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • FNV +0.7% (upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman)
  • ALV +0.6% (upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts)

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:

  • SNCR -15.9%, LPSN -15.2%, FSC -13.4%, MTRX -10.6%, MB -10.5%, QLYS -9.1%, TWTR -8.9%, IRBT -8.8%, BGC -8%, VSTO -7.6%, SON -7.5%, OII -7%
  • MXL -6.9%, LQDT -6.8%, GLUU -6%, STRL -5.8%, (sees Q4 net loss of $5.5-6.5 mln and revs of $165-170 mln vs. $157.25 mln two analyst estimate; says results are 'very disappointing')
  • ECHO -5.3%, COTY -5.2%, ENSG -5%, TYL -4.8%, CDE -4.2%, TBI -3.6%, KS -3.4%, ENTA -3.3%, UHAL -3%, MC -3%, SNN -2.9%, FSFR -2.8%, FISV -2.6%
  • PPC -2.1%, KO -2.1%, GLAD -1.7%, AGTC -1.5%, MAS -1.5%, CTL -1.4%, PDS -1.3%, DTE -1.2%, REGN -1.2%, JE -1%, CX -0.6%, SEE -0.5%

Other news:

  • SRRA -9.1% (to offer shares of its common stock in an underwritten public offering; size not disclosed)
  • CREE -5.5% (CFIUS informed Infineon and Cree that the Wolfspeed transaction poses a risk to the national security of the United States)
  • AMGN -1.4%/ REGN -1.2% (Regeneron Pharma confirms appeals court grants stay of permanent injunction for Praluent (alirocumab) during appeals process)
  • TM -1.2% (traded ~2% lower in Japan overnight)
  • HLI -1.1% (prices offering of 8 mln shares of common stock by co and selling shareholders at $29.25 per share)
  • FSLR -1% (awarded module supply contract for the 140 megawatt DC Sun Metals Solar Farm in North Queensland)
  • PYPL -0.9% (discloses that it has received subpoenas from the DOJ seeking the production of certain information related to the company's historical anti-money laundering program)
  • KR -0.9% (WFM sympathy)

Analyst comments:

  • SLW -1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman)
  • FCX -1% (resumed with a Neutral at JP Morgan)
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  Engility upgraded to Buy from Hold at Noble Financial  (28.42)
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 S&P futures vs fair value: +2.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +1.40.

The S&P 500 futures trade two points above fair value.

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a mostly higher note while Japan's Nikkei (-0.5%) underperformed. The index responded to an uptick in the yen during yesterday's Wall Street session, but the Japanese currency (112.40) has retraced the bulk of yesterday's advance, trading lower by 0.4% against the greenback. The People's Bank of China decided to forego reverse repurchase operations for the fifth consecutive session while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand left its key interest rate at 1.75%, as expected.

  • In economic data:
    • Japan's December Core Machinery Orders +6.7% month-over-month (expected 3.1%; last -5.1%); +6.7% year-over-year (expected 4.6%; previous 10.4%). M2 Money Stock +4.1% year-over-year (consensus 4.0%; last 4.0%). Machine Tool Orders +3.5% year-over-year (last 4.4%)
    • Australia's December HIA New Home Sales +0.2% month-over-month (last 6.1%)
    • New Zealand's December Building Consents -7.2% month-over-month (last -9.6%)

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei lost 0.5%, returning to its closing level from Tuesday. Hitachi, Ebara, Fuji Heavy Industries, JTEKT, Yokohama Rubber, Nissan Motor, Toyota Motor, Honda, and Mazda Motor posted losses between 1.9% and 8.1%. On the upside, SUMCO, Konami, DeNa, and J Front Retailing added between 1.7% and 6.2%.
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 0.2% even though more than half of its components ended lower. Belle International jumped 5.1% while property names like China Resources Land, Sino Land, China Overseas, and Cheung Kong Property Holdings added between 0.2% and 4.7%.
  • China's Shanghai Composite climbed 0.5%. Tibet Urban Development & Investment, Chengdu Xuguang Electronics, Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electronic Apparatus, and Luenmei Quantum rose between 5.4% and 7.4%.
  • India's Sensex ticked up 0.1%. Infosys, ITC, and Wipro all gained near 1.0% apiece. Tata Consultancy jumped 2.7% while financials lagged. ICICI Bank, AXIS Bank, SBI, and HDFC Bank all lost near 0.5%.

Major European indices trade higher across the board even though Greece-related concerns have returned to the surface in recent days. The International Monetary Fund has maintained that debt relief for Greece will be needed, but European officials remain against reducing the troubled country's debt burden. Yesterday afternoon, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said Greece would have to leave the euro in order to win a debt cut. Greece is due to make its next debt payment in July, but will be unable to do so if it doesn't receive the next installment of its bailout from the eurozone. The disbursement of the bailout tranche will not occur until the Troika completes a review of the Greek fiscal situation, which has been delayed.

  • In economic data:
    • Germany's December trade surplus EUR18.40 billion (expected surplus of EUR21.40 billion; last surplus of EUR21.80 billion). December Imports 0.0% month-over-month (expected -1.0%; last 3.5%) and December Exports -3.3% month-over-month (consensus -1.1%; last 3.9%)
    • Swiss January Unemployment Rate held at 3.3%, as expected

---Equity Markets---

  • UK's FTSE is higher by 0.2% with financials and energy-related names showing relative strength. BP and Royal Dutch Shell hold respective gains of 1.1% and 0.7% while Provident Financial, Prudential, Standard Life, Barclays, RSA Insurance, RBS, and HSBC are up between 0.5% and 1.1%.
  • Germany's DAX trades up 0.4% as gains in most components offset losses in financials. Bayer leads with a gain of 2.3% while automakers Daimler and BMW show respective gains of 0.4% and 0.6%. Volkswagen trails its peers with a loss of 1.1%. Deutsche Bank has fallen 0.5% while Commerzbank has slid even further, giving up 2.4%, in reaction to disappointing results.
  • France's CAC outperforms with a gain of 0.6%. Societe Generale and AXA show respective gains of 2.7% and 1.2% after SocGen reported above-consensus results. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole are both up near 0.5%. Automakers Peugeot and Renault have given up 1.6% apiece.
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  Axalta Coating Systems downgrade details — to Hold at Gabelli & Co  (29.44)Gabelli & Co downgrades AXTA to Hold from Buy even after AXTA reported 4Q earnings largely in line with thier expectations. In mid-December when they highlighted AXTA as their best idea at $26.32 per share they stated «that as a top competitor within the Refinish industry, AXTA will take share and benefit from aftermarket demand growth of 1.2+ billion vehicles on the road, while the Light and Commercial Vehicle end-market pressure will be offset by cost cuts.» Firm continues to believe this, however note the potential for an even stronger dollar in tandem with global political risk that has led us to require a stronger margin of safety.
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  On The Wires
  • Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) announced two new fulfillment centers in Eastvale and Redlands, California, which will create more than 2,000 new full-time associate roles when opened.
  • SunLink Health Systems (SSY) announced today that it has extended its previously announced tender offer to purchase up to 3,000,000 of its common shares at a price of $1.50 per share (the «Offer») until 5:00pm ET on Friday, February 24, 2017, unless further extended or terminated by SunLink. Tenders of shares must be made on or prior to the expiration of the Offer and may be withdrawn at any time on or prior to the expiration of the Offer. The tender offer to purchase common shares was previously scheduled to expire at 5:00pm ET on February 8, 2017. As of 5:00 p.m. ET on February 8, 2017, 1,036,239 common shares have been tendered and not withdrawn. Holders of common shares who have already tendered their shares do not have to re-tender their securities or take any other action as a result of the extension of the expiration date of the Offer.
  • Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA) announced today that it has been awarded a $25 million Construction Manager/General Contractor (CM/GC) contract by the Utah Department of Transportation for the reconstruction of State Route 108 in Davis County, Utah, approximately 20 miles north of Salt Lake City. The contract will be included in Granite's fourth quarter 2016 backlog.
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  Penske Auto increases quarterly dividend to $0.30/share from $0.29/share  (51.80)
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  Filings, Offerings and Pricings

Filings:

  • Atkore International (ATKR) files for 8 mln share common stock offering by selling shareholders
  • Bioptix (BIOP) files for $20 mln mixed securities shelf offering
  • CNX Coal Resources LP (CNXC) files for $750 mln mixed securities shelf offering and 10.5 mln share secondary offering by selling unitholder CONSOL Energy (CNX)
  • Energy Transfer Equity (ETE) files for offering of $1 bln common units representing limited partner interests

Offerings:

  • Microchip (MCHP) to offer $1.5 bln of convertible senior subordinated notes due 2027 and $500 mln of convertible junior subordinated notes due 2037 in private placement
  • pSivida (PSDV) enters into an At Market Issuance Sales Agreement to create an at the market equity program under which it may offer and sell shares of its common stock having an aggregate offering price of up to $20 mln
  • Sierra Oncology (SRRA) intends to offer shares of its common stock in an underwritten public offering; size not disclosed

Pricings:

  • Houlihan Lokey (HLI 29.70) prices offering of 8 mln shares of common stock by co and selling shareholders at $29.25 per share
  • Moleculin Biotech (MBRX 1.50) prices underwritten public offering of mixed securities for gross proceeds of approx. $5 mln
  • Pretium Resources (PVG 12.07) prices offering $90 mln of 2.25% of Convertible Senior Subordinated Notes due 2022
  • xG Technology (XGTI 1.87) prices offering of 1.75 mln shares of common stocks and warrants of up to 1.3 mln shares at $2.00 per share
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  Transocean initiated with a Buy at R. F. Lafferty; tgt $21  (13.36)R. F. Lafferty initiates RIG with a Buy and price target of $21. Transocean has managed this current downcycle in the market by controlling costs and reducing obsolete rigs. With countless years of weak outlook, the oil industry is looking for recovery in offshore exploration and drilling in 2018. However, firm believes the equities of contract drillers will appreciate in anticipation of this impending recovery, as crude prices move closer to the $60 per barrel range. With further catalysts such as new rig contract wins, higher fleet utilization, and an increase in day-rate announcements by mgmt, firm believes the stock has significant upside from current levels.
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  S&P futures vs fair value: +2.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +2.10.

Thursday's session is on track for a slightly higher open as the S&P 500 futures trade three points above fair value.

Conversely, U.S. Treasuries are lower this morning, giving back nearly all of yesterday's gains. The benchmark 10-yr yield is currently three basis points higher at 2.36%.

On the earnings front, Coca-Cola (KO 41.27, -0.74) has slipped 1.9% in pre-market trade as disappointing guidance has outweighed the company's better than expected revenues. Twitter (TWTR 16.78, -1.94) is also lower in reaction to the company's latest earnings report. Shares of TWTR have plunged 10.0% after the company missed revenue expectations and issued below-consensus guidance.

Kellogg (K 74.50, +1.01), on the other hand, is up 1.4% this morning on better than expected earnings per share. CVS Health (CVS 78.69, +1.66), also from the consumer staples sector, is higher by 2.2% after beating earnings estimates and reaffirming 2017 earnings guidance.

Earlier this morning, the latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 234,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 250,000. Today's tally was below the unrevised prior week count of 246,000. As for continuing claims, they rose to 2.078 million from the revised count of 2.063 million (from 2.064 million).

Investors will also receive December Wholesale Inventories (Briefing.com consensus 1.0%) on Thursday. The report will cross the wires at 10:00 am ET.
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  Select Comfort target lowered to $20 at Wedbush   (19.77)Wedbush lowers their SCSS tgt to $20 from $22 on lower estimates. SCSS missed 4Q16 guidance and sell-side expectations on comps and EPS, while also issuing 2017 guidance below expectations. While the company's vertically integrated business model has advantages in this industry undergoing structural change, tough competition, continued investments and imperfect execution are dampening earnings growth and adding uncertainty to the outlook.
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  MINDBODY target raised to $30 at Imperial Capital  (25.15)Imperial Capital raises their MB tgt to $30 from $25 following Q4 earnings. Firm's tgt is a premium to the vertical software comp group, which firm believes is warranted given MB's potential for higher monetization from new products. They continue to see momentum in MB's core business and they see potential for new, high margin rev streams as co develops a dynamic transaction platform. While the stock might pause, digesting 4Q results and 2017 guidance, it is important to remember that 2016 revenue guidance and expected EBITDA profitability both improved steadily during the year; Outperform.
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  Micron upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA/Merrill  (24.21)
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  On The Wires
  • First Foundation (FFWM), First Foundation Advisors and First Foundation Bank, announced that it entered into a loan agreement with NexBank SSB that provides for a revolving line of credit for up to $25,000,000. The loan agreement matures in five years, with an option to extend the maturity date subject to certain conditions, and bears interest at 90 day LIBOR plus 350 basis points (3.50%). The Company's obligations under the loan agreement are secured by, among other things, a pledge of all of its equity in FFB.
  • First Data (FDC) and KeyBank (KEY) announced a new relationship designed to provide enhanced merchant services solutions to KeyBank's commercial, business, and government clients across the country. The partnership will allow KeyBank to offer First Data's entire portfolio of business tools, including the Clover platform which provides next-generation capabilities for business owners to accept payments, manage inventory, track sales, and access revenue-generating analytics and rewards programs.
  • Shutterstock (SSTK) and HubSpot (HUBS) announced that they have entered into a strategic partnership that will bring thousands of curated high-quality images from Shutterstock's collection to HubSpot customers worldwide.
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  Hearing Hawaiian Holdings was upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research  (51.55 +1.05)
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  Whirlpool underperforming early following cautious mention in Grant's newsletter  (173.22 -0.72)
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 Opening Market Summary: Stock Market Opens Thursday Higher

The stock market opened Thursday's session slightly higher with the S&P 500 holding a gain of 0.2%.

Energy (+0.7%) has led five of six cyclical spaces higher, while three of the five countercyclical sectors--consumer staples (-0.3%), utilities (-0.3%), and real estate (-0.1%)--trade lower. The consumer staples space has been hit hard by soft drink names after Coca-Cola (KO 41.00, -1.09) issued below-consensus guidance earlier this morning.

The energy sector's uptick has come amid a 1.6% gain in crude oil. The energy component has surpassed its overnight high in recent action, up 1.6% at $53.16/bbl.

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  Cliffs Natural Resources — - Earnings Mover showing relative strength as price breaks out over multi-week highs along the $10-level  (10.38 +0.86)Next level of interest is the December peak of 10.90.
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  Sector Summary: Technology (XLK +0.12%) trading higher today, modestly behind the broader market

The tech sector — XLK — trades modestly behind the broader market. Semiconductors, meanwhile, display relative weakness as the SOX index trades -0.01%. Within the SOX index, AMD (+1.62%) outperforms, while CAVM (-0.56%) lags. Among other major indices, the SPY is trading 0.24% higher, while the QQQ +0.16% and the NASDAQ +0.61% trade modestly higher on the session. Among tech bellwethers, VOD (+1.72%) is showing relative strength, while NTES (-1.29%) lags.

Notable gainers following earnings:

  • TYL (+8.1%) reported better than expected Q4 EPS, but worse than expected revs; guided FY17 EPS and revs below market expectations, TRMB (+5.3%), FISV (+1.3%)

Notable laggards following earnings:

  • TWTR (-11.5%) reported better than expected Q4 EPS, but worse than expected revs; guided advertising revs «to lag» audience growth; also guided Q1 adj EBITDA well below expectations, TU (-1.5%), CTL (-1.4%)

Gainers on news:

  • PAYC (+10.5%) co announced an additional $50 mln is available for repurchases through Jan 2019.
  • FSLR (+2.5%) co was awarded module supply contract for the 140 megawatt DC Sun Metals Solar Farm in North Queensland (Australia's largest solar project).
  • NOK (+1.0%) co to acquire Comptel for EUR 347 mln.
  • LDOS (+0.1%) co was awarded contract by the Defense Threat Reduction Agency to support its Cooperative Biological Engagement Program and Cooperative Threat Reduction Program through a worldwide Scientific & Technical Engagement Partnership program.

Laggards on news:

  • CREE (-5.8%) shares lower following Infineon (IFNNY) Wolfspeed update — CFIUS thinks transaction poses a risk to the national security.
  • MCHP (-2.4%) co to offer $1.5 bln of convertible senior subordinated notes due 2027 and $500 mln of convertible junior subordinated notes due 2037 in private placement.
  • PYPL (-0.2%) co in 10-K disclosed that it has received subpoenas from the DOJ seeking the production of certain information related to the company's historical anti-money laundering program.

Among notable analyst upgrades:

  • MU (+2.1%) upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA/Merrill
  • RMBS (+3.3%) to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan

Among notable analyst downgrades:

  • CREE (-5.7%) downgraded to Market Perform from Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities
  • GRUB (-2.0%) to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho
  • VNTV (-0.8%) to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
  • SNCR (-9.8%) to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank
  • QLYS (-3.8%) to Equal Weight from Overweight at First Analysis Sec

Scheduled to report earnings after the bell:

  • ATEN ATVI ASYS APDN APTI CARB ECOM CPSI CYBR DTRM EGAN ELLI EXPE HDP INFN JCOM MX MIME MPWR NCR UEPS NVDA P RSYS RPD SWIR TLND UBNT VRSN VSAT WEB WU YELP ZAYO ZIXI ZNGA

Scheduled to report earnings tomorrow morning:

  • G
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  Kitov Pharmaceuticals to resume trading at 10:45
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 Economic Summary: Jobless Claims below expectations; February Michigan Sentiment due out tomorrow at 10:00 ET

Economic Data Summary:

  • Weekly Initial Claims 234K vs Briefing.com consensus of 250K; Last Week was 246K
  • Weekly Continuing Claims 2.078 M vs Briefing.com consensus of; was revised to 2.063 M from 2.046 M
    • The key takeaway from the report is that employers appear reluctant to trim their payrolls, which is a reflection of the tightness in the labor market and the difficulty in finding new employees with the right skill set.
  • December Wholesale Inventories +1.0% vs Briefing.com consensus of 1.0%; 1.0% was 1.0%

Upcoming Economic Data:

  • January Export Prices Ex-Ag due out Friday at 8:30 (Briefing.com consensus of; December was 0.4%)
  • January Import Prices Ex-Oil due out Friday at 8:30 (Briefing.com consensus of; December was -0.2%)
  • February Michigan Sentiment — Final due out Friday at 10:00 (Briefing.com consensus of 97.9; January was 98.5)
  • January Treasury Budget due out Friday at 14:00 (Briefing.com consensus of; December was $55.2 bln)

Upcoming Fed/Treasury Events:

  • $15 bln 30 Year Treasury Bond auction at 13:00 ET
  • Fed's Evans to speak today at 13:10 ET

Other International Events of Interest

  • Germany's December trade surplus EUR18.40 billion (expected surplus of EUR21.40 billion; last surplus of EUR21.80 billion). December Imports 0.0% month-over-month (expected -1.0%; last 3.5%) and December Exports -3.3% month-over-month (consensus -1.1%; last 3.9%)
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  Natural gas storage data summaryWorking gas in storage was 2,559 Bcf as of Friday, February 3, 2017, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net decrease of 152 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 325 Bcf less than last year at this time and 45 Bcf above the five-year average of 2,514 Bcf. At 2,559 Bcf, total working gas is within the five-year historical range.
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  Airline stocks showing strength following meeting with President Trump (see prior comments)  (28.26 +0.44)Airline stocks showing strength include: SKYW +7.6% (also raised dividend), AAL +3.1%, LUV +2.8%, JBLU +2.5%, DAL +2.2%, UAL +2.1%, ALK +0.1%
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  Sector Summary: S&P Consumer Discretionary Index +0.4%, in-line with the broader marketThe consumer discretionary group is in-line with the broader market in early trade, while the retail group continues to outperform. Retail HOLDRS Trust (RTH) +0.4% (+1.3% over past two days) and the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) +1.2% (+2.7% over the past two days) on the heels of positive NRF report and increased opposition to the pending border tax. 

Notable earnings/guidance: 
  • Trading higher following earnings/guidance: THS +11%, WWE +8.5%, GCI +8.3%, DNKN +7.3%, TZOO +5.8%, VIAB +5.3%, K +3.5%, WFM +2.4%, YUM +1.6%, LGF.A +0.6%, MPAA +0.6%
  • Trading lower following earnings/guidance: BZH -7.4%, LE -5.6% (Lands' End reports downside prelim Q4 EPS loss of (1.67)-($1.85) vs $0.51 consensus; sees Q4 revs of $459.3 mln vs $456.98 Consensus estimate), CAA -4.8%, NSANY -2.3%, KO -2%, CVS -1.3%, MNI -0.5%

Earnings/guidance secondary plays:

  • Food processing names are higher following K / THS earnings: PF 1.3% KHC 1.2% CPB 1%
  • Grocers strength coinciding with WFM reversal: SVU +3.7%, SFM +3.3%, WMK +2.5%, WFM +2.6%, KR +2%, NGVC +0.8%, UNFI +0.5%
  • Homebuilders are in the red after BZH / CAA disappointing results: 
  • Beverage/soda names are underperforming after Coca-Cola reported in-line qtr with downside guidance: FIZZ -0.5%, DPS flat
In the news:
  • Leaders: PAG 0.8% (increases quarterly dividend), TUES 1.9% (CEO disclosed purchase of 200K shares worth total of $731.8K), SONC 2.5% (Sonic chief marketing officer Todd Smith will resign effective March 9; search is underway to fill the chief marketing position),  ALV 0.4% (upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts)
  • Laggards:  GRUB -2.4% (cont weakness following earnings), TWX -0.3% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Drexel Hamilton)
Other notable trends:
  • For profit education names are seeing modest bounce: UTI +3.9% (announces the U.S. Department of Education approved Universal Technical Institute Welding & CNC Machining Technology Programs), APEI +2.4%, LOPE +2%, DV +1.9%, CECO +1.8%, CPLA +1.5%, STRA +0.7%, EDU +0.4%, GHC +0.3%, BPI +0.2%

Looking ahead:

  • On the earnings front: EXPE, P, SKX, ZNGA, YELP, RGC, COLM report today after the close.
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  Early Options Activity

Taking an early look at the options market, we found the following names that may be worth watching throughout the day for further indication of investor expectations given their options volume and implied volatility movement.

Stocks seeing volatility buying (bullish call buying/bearish put buying):

Calls:

  • DLTR May 82.5 calls are seeing interest with 5680 contracts trading vs. open int of 3710, pushing implied vol up around 2 points to ~33% — we noted bullish activity in the Mar 77.5 calls late January (see 1/31 13:33 OPTNX). Co is expected to report earnings early March.

Puts:

  • LYB Weekly Feb10 are seeing interest with 1560 contracts trading vs. open int of 4150, pushing implied vol up around 3 points to ~31% — co reported earnings earlier this month and is expected to report its next quarterly earnings late April.

Stocks seeing volatility selling:

  • DNKN, GCI, TWTR, VIAB, GLUU implied vol is lower following earnings/guidance

Sentiment: The CBOE Put/Call ratio is currently: 0.87… VIX: (11.09, -0.36, -3.1%).
February 17 is options expiration — the last day to trade February equity options.
*Please use the Talk to Us link at the top of the page to provide feedback on this comment as well as the OPTNX comments.
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 Morning Commodities: Gold retreats from yesterday's 3-month high, snaps a 3-session streak on renewed strength in the dollar index; natural gas drifts lower post-EIA
  • In precious metals, gold retreated from yesterday's 3-month high, snapped a 3-session streak on renewed strength exhibited in the dollar index
    • April 2017 gold futures were down about $5.80 (-0.5%) around the $1233.60/oz level
    • Mar 2017 silver futures were down about $0.07 (-0.4%) around the $17.64/oz level
  • Natural gas drifted lower after EIA reported an inventory draw in-line with expectations, nearly unchanged with the prior day's level
    • Mar 2017 natural gas futures were nearly unchanged around the $3.13/MMBtu level 
    • EIA highlights:
      • Natural gas inventory showed a draw of -152 bcf vs expectations for inventory to be a draw of approx. -153 bcf.
      • Working gas in storage was 2,559 Bcf as of Friday, February 3, 2017, according to EIA estimates.
      • Stocks were 325 Bcf less than last year at this time and 45 Bcf above the five-year avg of 2,514 Bcf.
      • At 2,559 Bcf, total working gas is within the five-year historical range.
  • Crude oil extended yesterday's surprise rally on the heels of yesterday's decidedly bearish EIA petroleum report; rig count data on tap tomorrow 1 pm ET
    • Mar 2017 crude oil futures were up about $0.59 (+1.1%) around the $52.92/barrel level
  • The dollar index was +0.2% around the 100.48, weighed on precious metals in morning pit trading
    • Commodities, as measured by the Bloomberg Commodity Index, were +0.1% around the 88.51 level
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  Notable movers of interest: ZEN +15.9% on Q4 EPS and revenue beats, guidance

The following are some of today's most notable movers of interest, categorized by market capitalization (large cap over $10 billion and mid cap between $2-10 billion) and ranked by % change (all stocks over 100K average daily volume).

Large Cap Gainers

  • FLT (166.09 +9.81%): Shares rise on Q4 EPS beat.
  • VIAB (44.01 +4.6%): Shares rise on Q1 EPS and revenue beats; new strategic plan including focus on six priority flagship brands and deeper integration of Paramount Pictures.
  • EFX (127.37 +4.41%): Reports Q4 EPS beat.

Large Cap Losers

  • TWTR (17.05 -8.93%): Reports Q4 revenue miss; issues disappointing guidance.
  • COTY (18.3 -8.68%): Reports Q2 EPS and revenue miss.
  • MAS (32.38 -4.17%): Shares drop on Q4 EPS miss.

Mid Cap Gainers

  • ZEN (28.43 +15.9%): Reports Q4 EPS and revenue beats; guides FY17 revs above consensus.
  • PAYC (51.1 +12.9%): Shares rise on Q4 EPS and revenue beats; guides Q1 revs above consensus; announces an additional $50 mln is available for repurchases through Jan 2019.
  • MDSO (54 +12.5%): Reports Q4 EPS beat.

Mid Cap Losers

  • CDE (9.85 -18.06%): Reports Q4 revenue miss.
  • DNB (103.61 -15.4%): Shares fall on Q4 EPS miss; FY17 EPS guidance.
  • SEE (46.33 -7.76%): Reports Q4 revenue miss; guides FY17 EPS below consensus.
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  DRDGOLD: Ruffer discloses an 8.1% passive stake  (6.22 -0.19)
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  Bonanza Creek Energy: Fir Tree increases passive stake to 17.29% (to approximately 8.59 mln shares vs. approximately 2.01 mln shares held at the end of Q3)  (2.16 +0.08)
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  SandRidge Energy: Fir Tree discloses 9.99% passive stake  (20.06 +0.11)
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  New Supply

Treasury Auction Preview

  • $15 bln 30-year Treasury auction (results at 13:00 ET)
    • Prior auction results
      • High yield: 2.914%
      • Bid-to-cover: 2.32
      • Indirect bid: 66.7%
      • Direct bid: 4.5%
    • Average results of prior 12 auctions
      • High yield: 2.605%
      • Bid-to-cover: 2.30
      • Indirect bid: 62.2%
      • Direct bid: 8.9%
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  Rumor Round Up

Rumor Activity was slow today.

  • Tempur Sealy Int'l (TPX 45.52 +2.62) M&A speculation circulated.
  • Bloomberg discussed that HSBC (HSBC 43.15 +0.57) might consider wealth management acquisitions.
  • Dish Network (DISH 60.81 -0.05) M&A speculation circulated.

While many rumors circulate during the day, and the validity of the source of these rumors can be questionable, the speculation may increase volatility in the near term
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 Sector Summary: The Healthcare sector (+0.39%) is trading higher today, lagging the S&P 500 (+0.62%)General Commentary: A federal judge blocked the proposed $48 bln merger of Anthem (ANTM) and Cigna (CI). The judge agreed w/ the Justice Department's arguments against the deal. Anthem is obligated to pay Cigna a $1.85 bln breakup fee. Both cos have commented on the judge's decision, saying that they will appeal the decision. ANTM shares are currently trading up ~1.4% while CI shares are trading down ~1% following the news.

Gainers on news:
  • Jaguar Animal Health (JAGX +38.17%) to merge with Napo Pharmaceuticals; will host call February 9 at 9am ET
  • Acorda Therapeutics (ACOR +15.69%) announces 'positive' Phase 3 data of CVT-301 'showing a statistically significant improvement in motor function in people with Parkinson's disease experiencing OFF periods'
  • Peregrine Pharma (PPHM +9.91%) announces the publication of positive proof-of-concept data for a novel exosome-based cancer detection platform
Decliners on news:
  • Moleculin Biotech (MBRX -18.67%) prices a 3.71 mln unit underwritten public offering for gross proceeds of approx. $5 mln
  • Apricus Biosciences (APRI -5.9%) notified that the Nasdaq has granted its request for continued listing pursuant to an extension through May 30, 2017
  • Sierra Oncology (SRRA -4.9%) prices an underwritten public offering of 19.5 mln shares of common stock at $1.35/share for expected gross proceeds of approx $26.3 mln
Gainers on earnings:
  • OraSure (OSUR +25.37%) beats by $0.07, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs above consensus
  • Medidata Solutions (MDSO +14.65%) beats by $0.06, reports revs in-line; guides FY17 revs in-line
  • Array Biopharma (ARRY +11.21%) beats by $0.06, beats on revs
Decliners on earnings:
  • Ensign Group (ENSG -16.15%) misses by $0.07, reports revs in-line; guides FY17 EPS below consensus, revs in-line; announces buyback
  • Invacare (IVC -3.04%) misses by $0.16, misses on revs
  • Fluidigm (FLDM -1.77%) misses by $0.09, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 revs below consensus
Upgrades/Downgrades:
  • Spark Therapeutics (ONCE +3.24%) initiated with a Outperform at Leerink Partners; tgt $85
  • Ascendis Pharma (ASND +3.45%) initiated with a Outperform at Credit Suisse; tgt $28
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  Today's biggest point gainers/losersBiggest point gainers: TYL 166.05(20.06), FLT 166.72(15.47), THS 85.57(9.94), REGN 363.04(9.79), CMG 412.25(9.31), BLKB 71.3(9.24), PXD 190.62(8.94), ROP 201.19(8.18), MDSO 55.03(7.03), NSIT 44.05(6.77), CMI 152.35(6.67), HUM 206.05(6.41), PAYC 51.48(6.22), PRLB 57.65(6.05), TSLA 267.95(5.87), AGN 246.74(5.57), EFX 127.18(5.19), GS 242.22(4.49), AQMS 15.5(4.09), ALNY 44.66(4.03), ZEN 28.48(3.95), BWLD 161.35(3.95), TDG 251.22(3.79), IMPV 46.65(3.75), PANW 155.6(3.71)

Biggest point losers: DNB 102.84(-19.63), IRBT 53.98(-7.26), VSTO 20.29(-5.45), NTES 261.21(-4.31), SEE 46.08(-4.14), SNCR 31.59(-3.79), CHTR 322.23(-3.5), MTRX 18.1(-3.15), ENSG 16.92(-3.08), QLYS 34.68(-2.18), UFS 40.8(-2.02), CI 145.83(-2.01), GRUB 37.9(-1.96), AVGO 204.98(-1.91), SON 52.58(-1.88), GOLD 93.07(-1.87), TWTR 16.88(-1.84), MCHP 72.08(-1.72), CREE 26.27(-1.68), TRI 43.07(-1.61), COTY 18.44(-1.6), DTE 97.15(-1.58), OHI 31.02(-1.55), VRNS 28.7(-1.55), AMGN 166.61(-1.51)
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 Stocks/ETFs that traded to new 52 week highs/lows this session — New highs (219) outpacing new lows (43)Stocks that traded to 52 week highs: A, ACGL, ACWI, ADBE, ADES, ADI, AEL, AER, AERI, AGC, AGCO, AGD, AGO, AJG, AL, ALLY, AMAT, AME, AOD, APO, AQMS, ARCC, ARE, ARRY, ATHM, AUDC, AVK, AXL, BAM, BCO, BDJ, BGB, BGCP, BGX, BHE, BIP, BKMU, BNS, BOX, BSBR, BST, BSX, CAG, CAMT, CDW, CFO, CGNX, CHW, CIBR, CII, CIM, CLF, CM, CMI, CNP, COHR, COST, COTV, CRNT, CTXS, CUZ, CVCY, DE, DGRW, DIAX, DPZ, DSCI, ECPG, EMES, EMF, ENIA, EQM, ESPR, EVG, EVT, EXEL, EXTR, FEM, FEX, FORM, FTA, FTV, FWRD, GAIN, GEO, GER, GGAL, GKOS, GLBL, GOF, GT, HAS, HIX, HON, HSBC, HYI, IAC, ICLR, IIVI, IR, IRS, ITUB, JGH, JRO, KEM, KLXI, KYN, LFC, LITE, LNCE, LOB, LOXO, LPX, LUV, MAR, MASI, MBUU, MC, MDCO, MED, MFA, MIE, MMC, MMSI, MOBL, MPG, MPSX, MTD, NFLX, NGVT, NMIH, NSIT, NTAP, NUVA, NYT, ORC, OSUR, PATK, PCH, PCLN, PCMI, PCYG, PF, PJT, PLKI, PLXS, PME, PNNT, PNRA, POOL, PPSI, PRI, PRU, PSCT, PSEC, PTC, PVTB, PXLW, QQEW, QQQ, QRVO, QSR, QTEC, RDN, RDWR, REN, ROL, ROP, RP, RVT, RY, RYN, SGM, SHG, SHOP, SKYY, SLAB, SLM, SNPS, SOHO, STAY, STMP, SYMC, TAL, TAST, TDC, TEO, TER, THO, TICC, TQQQ, TRMB, TROX, TRTN, TSE, TSEM, TSLA, TSRO, TSU, TTMI, TY, UBNT, UEPS, UNM, USA, VAC, VCRA, VIAV, VMW, VVC, VVR, WBC, WD, WEN, WMGI, WYN, YUM, ZLTQ, ZTS

Stocks that traded to 52 week lows: ADPT, AOBC, BSTG, COSIQ, COYN, DMTX, EMGC, ENSG, FCEL, FIT, FOSL, GBIM, GBSN, GEVO, GILD, ICLD, III, KTOV, LN, MBRX, MFIN, NAO, NCMI, OHRP, PLUG, RELY, RGSE, RNVA, SAEX, SBOT, SHIP, SHOS, SOL, SQQQ, STAF, TVIX, TWER, ULTRQ, VMEMQ, VNCE, VSTO, XCOMQ, XOMA

Thinly-Traded Stocks (ADV below 45k) that traded to 52 week highs on High Volume: ARL, ASND, BBGI, BBP, BCBP, BOCH, CFA, CFCO, CIVB, DNI, ENFC, ESLT, FAD, FEMS, FMK, FNY, FRBA, FTCS, FUND, FUSB, GGE, GGZ, HFBC, IBUY, KMDA, LAND, LFGR, MPB, MRLN, MSL, MTLS, ONEQ, OSB, OVLY, PBIP, PCF, PKBK, PLSE, PNQI, QQXT, SBCP, SGF, SLCT, SSBI, UCBA, USLB, VONE, VONG, VTHR, WAYN, WEBK, Y

Thinly-Traded Stocks (ADV below 45k) that traded to 52 week lows on High Volume: LUB, NMRX, SRSC

ETFs that traded to 52 week highs: BKF, CROP, DBB, DIA, EPOL, EPP, IGN, IGV, IWF, KIE, OEF, PIN, QQQ, SKYY, SPY, VTI, XLK

ETFs that traded to 52 week lows: NIB, VXX
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  Today's biggest % gainers/losersThe following are today's top 20 percentage gainers and top 20 percentage losers, categorized by sectors (over $300 mln market cap and 100K average daily volume).

Today's top 20 % gainers
  • Healthcare: OSUR (11.16 +26.05%), ACOR (23.55 +15.44%), MDSO (55.25 +15.1%), ARRY (11.81 +10.33%), ALNY (44.73 +10.09%)
  • Materials: FTK (12.3 +16.59%), CLF (11.07 +16.28%)
  • Industrials: PRLB (57.9 +12.21%)
  • Information Technology: NSIT (43.9 +17.76%), ZEN (28.69 +16.96%), BLKB (71.11 +14.58%), PAYC (51.81 +14.47%), TYL (165 +13.02%), CRAY (20.22 +12.96%), FLT (166.78 +10.27%), TDC (33.13 +9.81%), IMPV (46.75 +8.97%)
  • Financials: BANC (18.73 +16.3%)
  • Consumer Staples: THS (84.32 +11.49%), PPC (20.46 +9.12%)
Today's top 20 % losers
  • Healthcare: ENSG (16.82 -15.9%)
  • Materials: CDE (9.78 -18.66%), SEE (45.66 -9.08%)
  • Industrials: DNB (102.06 -16.67%)
  • Consumer Discretionary: VSTO (20.03 -22.18%), IRBT (53.98 -11.85%), BZH (12.92 -7.85%), SPWH (6.25 -5.73%)
  • Information Technology: GLUU (2.11 -15.3%), SNCR (31.54 -10.85%), TWTR (16.83 -10.1%), CREE (26.21 -6.23%), QLYS (34.57 -6.19%), MXL (25.27 -5.85%), VRNS (28.7 -5.12%)
  • Financials: FSC (4.85 -13.55%)
  • Energy: MTRX (18.1 -14.82%)
  • Consumer Staples: COTY (18.47 -7.83%)
  • Utilities: JE (5.66 -5.98%)
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 Today's most active stocksThe following are today's most active stocks ranked by volume and relative volume, categorized by sectors (over $300 mln market cap and 100K average daily volume).

Today's top 20 volume
  • Healthcare: GILD (11.15 mln -1.73%)
  • Materials: CLF (48.77 mln +16.28%), MT (19.01 mln +2.35%), AKS (16.38 mln +6.09%), X (15.1 mln +6.76%), FCX (14.48 mln -1.29%), VALE (9.97 mln +1.74%),
  • Consumer Discretionary: F (10.18 mln +0.2%)
  • Information Technology: TWTR (58.68 mln -10.1%), AMD (28.96 mln +2.06%), MU (13.85 mln +2.47%), AAPL (10.19 mln +0.32%), ISIL (10.14 mln -1.34%), MSFT (8.99 mln +1.45%)
  • Financials: BAC (51.74 mln +1.85%)
  • Energy: CHK (18.37 mln +2.12%), SDRL (10.21 mln +7.14%)
  • Consumer Staples: KO (12.69 mln -2.2%), COTY (12.36 mln -7.83%)
  • Telecommunication Services: FTR (10.58 mln -0.5%)
Today's top relative volume (current volume to 1-month average daily volume)
  • Healthcare: OSUR (8.42x +26.05%), ACOR (5.38x +15.44%), MDSO (4.89x +15.1%), ENSG (3.19x -15.9%)
  • Materials: UAN (5.12x +0.98%), CLF (3.87x +16.28%), SEE (3.05x -9.08%)
  • Industrials: DNB (6.25x -16.67%), PRLB (3.46x +12.21%)
  • Consumer Discretionary: IRBT (6.91x -11.85%), VSTO (3.06x -22.18%)
  • Information Technology: ISIL (6.07x -1.34%), BLKB (6.02x +14.58%), SNCR (4.9x -10.85%), TWTR (3.84x -10.1%), IMPV (3.53x +8.97%), LPSN (3.23x +5.15%)
  • Financials: FSC (6.74x -13.55%), FGL (4.44x +1.62%)
  • Consumer Staples: THS (4.47x +11.49%)
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  FirstService increases quarterly dividend to $0.1225/share from $0.11/share  (51.08 +0.22)
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 European Markets Closing PricesEuropean markets are now closed; stock markets across Europe performed as follows:
  • UK's FTSE: + 0.6%
  • Germany's DAX: + 0.9%
  • France's CAC: + 1.3%
  • Spain's IBEX: + 1.2%
  • Portugal's PSI: + 0.8%
  • Italy's MIB Index: + 1.1%
  • Irish Ovrl Index: + 0.9%
  • Greece ASE General Index: + 0.1%
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  LCI Industries near all time highs following strong Q4 results: Call notes  (114.40 +4.00)
  • Dealers are restocking inventories from healthy levels — green light for continued momentum.
  • Sees industry hitting 500K units in coming years.
  • Drivers: RVs enable more economical vacations; demographics are favorable and events like tailgating increasing in popularity.
  • Non-RV sales were 34% of sales last year
  • Will implement more automation as market for manufacturing jobs is tight.
  • See healthy pipeline for M&A; sees oppty overseas in RV and other markets like marine.

RV suppliers: LCII +3.7%, PATK +2.7%… RVs: WGO +1.9%, THO +1.2%… retailer: CWH
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Currency Commentary: DXY Jumps on Trump Tax Talk
  • The Dollar Index saw a spike at approx 9:55am as President Trump stated he would announce a 'phenomenal' tax plan in 2-3 weeks. There was little detail on the news but one would assume market expectations for a border tax have declined given the recent rally in retailers. Regardless of the details, a tax deal would be seen as potentially inflationary and pro-dollar. Thus we got the spike in the greenback with the DXY running approx 40 pips. A few other things to add here, the dollar held up well despite pretty dovish comments from St Louis Fed President James Bullard. Mr. Bullard is not a voter this year so perhaps his comments were viewed as having less of an impact on Fed direction. In addition, the snow storms impacting the East Coast have clipped volume on the day. That has helped make some of these moves in currencies a little exaggerated. 
  • The euro was testing the 1.07 level before seeing the sell off on the dollar ramp. Of interest, the German Trade Balance surplus came in at EUR 18.4 bln compared to expectations of approx EUR 23 bln. One data point will not make a difference but trade data from the region will be closely watched following attacks by the Trump Administration on the value of the euro.
  • The pound is holding steady at the 1.25 level. Yesterday, Theresa May's government passed its last parliamentary hurdle for initiating Brexit. This should clear the way for Article 50 to be invoked at the end of March. A 30-year gilt auction this morning saw a yield of 1.86% and bid/cover of 1.6x comapred to 1.96% and 1.7x, respectively in the prior month sale.
  • The yen dipped back below the 112 level as it slides to 113.28. The move comes ahead of tomorrow's visit by PM Shinzo Abe as he arrives at the White House for bilateral trade talks.
  • The China yuan is sliding lower as it moves to 6.86. The currency is down 6 pips since the Chinese markets came back from the New year Celebration (BONDX, FOREX). 
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  Hearing Pennant Investment was downgraded earlier to Neutral from Buy at Ladenburg Thalmann  (8.20 +0.07)
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  Hearing Bombardier was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Societe Generale  (1.95 +0.00)
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  Market Internals

The broader market surges into midday, led up now by the Dow Jones Industrial Average which gains 139 points (+0.69%) to 20193, the Nasdaq Composite is higher by 37 (+0.64%) to 5719, and the S&P 500 adds 14 (+0.62%) to 2308. As it were, all three major US indices have made new all-time highs today intraday. Action has come on mostly higher than average volume (NYSE 320 vs. avg. of 321; NASDAQ 821 mln vs. avg. of 775), with advancers outpacing decliners (NYSE 1994/988, NASDAQ 2035/692) and new highs outpacing new lows (NYSE 134/6, NASDAQ 160/23).

Relative Strength:

Reg. Banking-KRE +1.9%, Poland-EPOL +1.8%, Steel-SLX +1.7%, Banking-KBE +1.7%, US Broker/Dealers-IAI +1.7%, Oil&Gas E&P-XOP +1.6%, Turkey-TUR +1.5%, Russell 2K-IWM +1.5%, Retail-XRT +1.5%, China Lg. Cap-FXI +1.3%, Emrg. Mkts. M. East&Africa-GAF +1.3%, Mexico-EWW +1.1%, Spain-EWP +0.9%, Israel-EIS +0.8%.

Relative Weakness:

Silver Miners-SIL -3.1%, Gold Miners-GDX -2.2%, Jr. Gold Miners-GDXJ -2.2%, Short-Term Futures-VXX -1.6%, 20+ Yr. Treas. Bond-TLT -1.1%, Social Media-SOCL -1.1%, Japanese Yen-FXY -1.0%, Cocoa-NIB -1.0%, Swiss Franc-FXF -0.6%, Sweden-EWD -0.5%, Thailand-THD -0.5%, New Zealand-ENZL -0.4%, Australian Dollar-FXA -0.2%, British Pound-FXB -0.1%.
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  Marchex: Edenbrook Capital raises active stake to 8.01% (prior 7.01%)  (2.93 +0.39)
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  Xcerra: Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss discloses a 7.06% passive stake  (7.38 +0.07)
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  Hearing Viacom was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Drexel Hamilton  (43.16 +1.09)
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 Midday Market Summary: Major Averages Hover Near All-Time Highs at Midday

Equity indices have pushed through the cautious tone that has defined this week thus far to hit new record highs in the first half of Thursday's session. The S&P 500, the Nasdaq, and the Dow all hold a gain of 0.6% while the small-cap Russell 2000 index (+1.5%) outperforms.

The most notable factor driving the market higher today has been President Trump's announcement that he will release a major tax announcement in the next few weeks. However, it is important to note that a snowstorm on the East Coast has kept some participants away from their trading desks today, which makes it easier for the market to be pushed around.

The financial sector (+1.3%), which paced the post-election rally on promises of deregulation and tax reform, has provided solid sector leadership today following Mr. Trump's announcement. The space has also been aided by a steepening yield curve as short-term Treasuries have been able to resist selling pressure better than their longer-dated peers. The benchmark 10-yr yield is six basis points higher at 2.38% while the 2-yr yield is up only one basis point at 1.15%.

Energy (+0.8%) and industrials (+0.9%) have also outperformed the benchmark index, while the top-weighted technology sector (+0.3%) lags. The space's gains have been capped by a lackluster performance from Apple (AAPL 131.82, +0.35) and a bearish sentiment among chipmakers. The PHLX Semiconductor Index is lower by 0.3%.

Consumer staples (+0.2%) neighbor the technology sector following mixed earnings results from its components this morning. Coca-Cola (KO 41.02, -1.01) has slipped 2.4% after the company's disappointing guidance overshadowed above-consensus revenues. Meanwhile, CVS Health (CVS 76.60, -0.45) also trades lower, losing 0.6% after worse than expected revenues outweighed better than expected earnings. On the upside, Kellogg (K 76.50, +2.98) trades 4.1% higher after reporting above-consensus earnings per share.

The lightly-weighted utilities (-0.8%) and materials (unch) sectors are the only spaces trading in the red. Sealed Air (SEE 45.73, -4.47) has had its hand in pushing the materials space lower, plunging 8.9% in reaction to the company's disappointing guidance and lower than expected revenues.

Today's economic data included Initial Claims and December Wholesale Inventories:

  • The latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 234,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 250,000. Today's tally was below the unrevised prior week count of 246,000. As for continuing claims, they rose to 2.078 million from the revised count of 2.063 million (from 2.064 million).
    • The key takeaway from the report is that employers appear reluctant to trim their payrolls, which is a reflection of the tightness in the labor market and the difficulty in finding new employees with the right skill set.
  • December Wholesale Inventories increased 1.0%, which was in line with the Briefing.com consensus. The prior month's reading was left unrevised at 1.0%.
    • December marked the second straight month that wholesale inventories increased 1.0%, helping to explain the positive contribution the change in inventories made to Q4 GDP growth.

Investors will not receive any more economic data on Thursday.

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  HealthEquity shares ticking lower in recent trade following cautious mention at HedgEye  (43.83 +0.83)
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  Auction Out

Treasury Auction Results

  • $15 bln 30-year Treasury auction
    • Auction results
      • High yield: 3.005% (mostly on screws)
      • Bid-to-cover: 2.25
      • Indirect bid: 66.2%
      • Direct bid: 4.9%
    • Average results of prior 12 auctions
      • High yield: 2.605%
      • Bid-to-cover: 2.30
      • Indirect bid: 62.2%
      • Direct bid: 8.9%
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  Sector Summary: Industrials trade higher than the broader market; Airlines (JETS) +1.9% after President Trump meets with airlines executives and repeats that airline regulations will be rolled back

The Industrials sector (XLI) is trading +0.9% higher today, higher than the broader market (SPY +0.6%). In the Industrial Sector, airlines (JETS +1.9%) are leading the sector after President Trump meets with airline execs and repeats that airline regulations will be rolled back, and spoke about US need for fast transit systems.

Notable airlines moving today: DAL +2.6% LUV +2.3% AAL +2.9% UAL +1.6% ALK +1.3% JBLU +3.2% LFL +1.6% SAVE +2.2%

Earnings/Guidance

  • Cummins (CMI +3.8%) reports Q4 earnings of $2.02 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.02 better than the consensus of $2.00; revenues fell 5.6% year/year to $4.5 bln vs the $4.34 bln consensus.
    • Co issues in-line guidance for FY17, sees FY17 revs of flat to down 5% between $16.63-17.5 bln, vs. the $16.95 bln consensus.
  • Roper (ROP +5.3%) reports Q4 earnings of $1.86 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.02 better than the consensus of $1.84; revenues rose 6.6% year/year to $1.01 bln vs the $1.01 bln consensus.
    • Co issues upside guidance for Q1, sees EPS of $1.92-2.00, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $1.73 consensus.
    • Co issues guidance for FY17, sees EPS of $8.82-9.22, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $7.41 consensus; sees FY17 revs of +20-22% (Approx $4.54-4.62 bln) vs. $4.58 consensus.
  • Willis Towers Watson (WLTW -1.2%) reports Q4 earnings of $1.88 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.27 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $1.61; revenues rose 0.3% year/year to $1.93 bln vs the $1.97 bln consensus.
    • Co issues in-line guidance for FY17, sees EPS of $8.40-8.55, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $8.51 consensus
    • Sees constant currency revenue growth of 2-3%
  • FleetCor (FLT +10.7%) reports Q4 earnings of $1.90 per share, $0.04 better than the consensus of $1.86; adj revenues was $489.4 mln while total revs were $515 mln vs the $509.44 mln consensus.
    • Co issues in-line guidance for FY17, sees EPS of $8.10-$8.30 vs. $8.16 consensus; sees FY17 revs of $2.17-$2.23 bln vs. $2.17 bln consensus. Expects weighted fuel prices equal to $2.43 per gallon average in the U.S. for those businesses sensitive to the movement in the retail price of fuel for 2017 compared to $2.15 per gallon average in the U.S. in 2016, up approximately 13%.

Additional Industrials reporting earnings/guidance: RLGT +10.7% TBI +1.9% STRL -4.6% DNB -16.49% ENS +1.8% EFX +4.2% UHAL +0.5% BGC +1.7% FWRD +6.6% HNI +1% AIN +2.8% GWW +0.1% ALLE +5.4% VSTO -21.9% MAS -3.3% DLAKY +2% LCII +3.2% CETX +10.8% HDNG +7.4% CETX +10.8% DNB -16.5%

News

  • Alaska Air (ALK +1.3%) reports January 2017 results
    • On a combined basis, Air Group reported a 6.9% increase in traffic on a 7.6% increase in capacity compared to January 2016. Load factor decreased 0.5 points to 78.1%.
    • Alaska reported a 5.9% increase in traffic on a 6.4% increase in capacity compared to January 2016. Load factor decreased 0.3 points to 79.3%.
    • Virgin America traffic increased 10.3% on an 11.9% increase in capacity compared to January 2016. Load factor decreased 1.0 point to 76.2%.
    • Regional traffic increased 5.3% on a similar increase in capacity compared to January 2016. Load factor was flat at 74.2%.
  • Delta Air Lines (DAL +2.6%) announces plan to hire 25,000 people over the next five years following meeting with President Trump. 

Broker Research

Upgrades

  • Engility (EGL +4.4%) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Noble Financial

Downgrades

  • Sterling Construction (STRL -5.8%) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts.
  • Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK +0.9%) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Pareto Securities; $9 tgt. 

Other

  • Cowen raises their Alaska Air (ALK +1.4%) tgt to $100 from $95.
  • Cowen raises their Triton International (TRTN +4.8%) tgt to $30 from $23; Outperform.
  • Cowen raises their Genesee & Wyoming (GWR +0.4%) tgt to $77 from $72 following the Q4 print.
  • Williams Capital Group initiates 8point3 Energy Partners LP (CAFD -0.73%) with a Hold and price target of $14.
  • Needham raises their Trimble (TRMB +5.4%) tgt to $33 from $27 following the Q4 print and Q1 guidance.
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  Earnings Calendar for Thursday, February 9th
  • Today after the close look for the following companies to report:
    • ATVI, AGU, MHK, NWSA, NVDA, EXPE, NCR, WU, CERN, LPLA, CSL, CCJ, RGC, COLM, SKX, KMPR, ATR, ZAYO, BFAM, NE, VSAT, P, WTS, CUB, CATM, VRSN, NUVA, VVI, JCOM, UBNT, YELP, ZNGA, WEB, MX, FFG, INFN, TCO, UEPS, SWIR, EGN, OFC, FET, NR, CXP, SGEN, MPWR, ELLI, QUOT, CPSI, CYBR, MN, ATEN, CTRL, MCFT, CARB, HDP, MIME, RPD, APTI, RSYS, INVA, VCRA, ECOM, TLND, ARCW, ASYS, MCC, SANW, CPST, EGAN, ZIXI, DTRM, APDN
  • Tomorrow before the open look for the following companies to report:
    • MT, CBG, AON, IPG, CPN, AXL, VTR, BPL, G, FSV, ESNT
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 Unusual Options Activity

The following options are exhibiting notable trading, potentially indicating changing sentiment toward the underlying stocks, and/or potentially representing positioning for increased volatility.

Bullish Call Activity:

  • FINL Mar 18 calls (volume: 3480, open int: 4950, implied vol: ~38%, prev day implied vol: 32%) — co is expected to report earnings late March.
  • DLTR May 82.5 calls (volume: 5810, open int: 3710, implied vol: ~33%, prev day implied vol: 30%) -- over 4400 contracts traded in a single transaction. We noted bullish activity in the Mar 77.5 calls late January (see 1/31 13:33 OPTNX). Co is expected to report earnings early March.
  • KMX Mar 70 calls (volume: 5880, open int: 2240, implied vol: ~26%, prev day implied vol: 2%) — over 2600 contracts traded in a single transaction. Co will report earnings April 6 before the open.

Bearish Put Activity:

  • RCII Mar 7.5 puts are seeing interest ahead of earnings next week, February 13 after the close (volume: 5500, open int: 790, implied vol: ~70%, prev day implied vol: 66%) — 3600 contracts traded in a single transaction on the offer. Co provided guidance mid-January.
  • LYB Weekly Feb10 (volume: 2140, open int: 4150, implied vol: ~28%, prev day implied vol: 26%) — co reported earnings earlier this month and is expected to report its next quarterly earnings late April.

Sentiment: The CBOE Put/Call ratio is currently: 0.92… VIX: (11.04, -0.41, -3.6%).
February 17 is options expiration — the last day to trade February equity options.
*Please use the Talk to Us link at the top of the page to provide feedback on this comment as well as the OPTNX comments.

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  Events and conferences of interest for tomorrow

Events and conferences of interest for tomorrow, February 10th include:

  • China Trade Balance at 2:00 ET
  • IZEAFest (Feb 10-11th)
    • Scheduled to appear: GOOG, HPE, VRA, CMG, IZEA

Conference in progress:

  • Keefe Bruyette and Woods Winter Financial Services Symposium (February 9-10th)
    • Scheduled to appear: ABCB, BANC, BANR, BMTC, BNCN, BOFI, BPFH, BRKL, UBNK, UBSI, SRCE, APO, ASB, BXS, OZRK, BHLB, BOKF, CBOE, CSFL, NBHC, ONB, CHFC, PACW, CNS, COLB, CBSH, CBU, CFR, CUBI, ETFC, EGBN, FCB, FBNC, FCF, FFBC, FHB, FHN, FIBK, FMBI, FBC, FULT, GCAP, GBCI, GBDC, GWB, GHL, HBHC, HAFC, HOMB, PNFP, HOPE, HLI, IBKC, INDB, IBKR, ICE, ISBC, LBAI, LAZ, MKTX, MBFI, NDAQ, NYCB, PBCT, PJC, RNST, BPOP, PFS, RJF, SFNC, SSB, SBSI, STL, SF, SYBT, SGBK, SIVB, SNV, TCB, TCBI, TOWN, TCAP, TRMK, UMBF, UMPQ, UBSH, UBNK, VLY, WD, WBS, WAL, WTFC, WSFS, FBP, WSBC, HTH, HAFC
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 Metals Closing Prices: Gold retreats from yesterday's 3-month high on renewed strength in the dollar index
  • April gold ended today's session down $2.70 (-0.2%) to $1236.80/oz
  • March silver closed today's session $0.03 higher (+0.2%) at $17.74/oz
  • March copper closed $0.02 lower (-0.8%) at $2.65/lb

— The dollar index was +0.4% around the 100.65 level.

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  Twitter: Hearing downgraded to Underperform at Cowen following earnings  (16.64 -2.08)
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  Sinclair Broadcast Group & Frontier Communications (FTR) reach agreement for the carriage of Tennis Channel & of the co's broadcast television stations in Washington & Oregon as well as several stations in markets where Frontier recently launched subscription video services; terms not disclosed  (34.63 +0.98)
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  Neustar — volume alert as shares pop above the pending deal price of $33.50/share in cash  (34.35 +0.90)
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  SPY up 0.6%; Financials and Energy are the best performing sectors and Utilities are the only sector in the red
Sector Ticker % Change YTD % Change
Financials XLF 1.2% 2%
Energy XLE 1.2% -3%
Industrials XLI 0.9% 3%
Telecom IYZ 0.9% -1%
Cons. Disc. XLY 0.7% 5%
Healthcare XLV 0.5% 4%
Technology XLK 0.4% 6%
Cons. Staples XLP 0.3% 4%
Real Estate XLRE 0.3% 1%
Materials XLB 0.0% 4%
Utilities XLU -0.9% 1%
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  Oceaneering Intl: Hearing upgraded to Overweight at Capital One  (26.92 +0.48)
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  Twitter making new lows following earnings; hearing was downgraded to Underperform from Mkt Perform at Raymond James  (16.54 -2.18)
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  The materials sector is trading lower by -0.3% which is underperforming the S&P 500 +0.6%

General Commentary:

  • Oil is trading lower by +1.5% in today's session
  • Gold prices are lower by -0.2%, while copper is -0.4%
  • There is no notable M&A news in the sector today

Earnings:

  • Gainers:
    • PRLB +15%, FTK +14.3%, CX +2.2%, WMS +1.5%
  • Decliners:
    • CDE -20%, CLW -6%, KS -4%

News:

  • Decliners:
    • PKG -2% confirms explosion at DeRidder paper mill; current assessment indicates that annual outage work is expected to be delayed by up to one week
    • PVG -2% prices offering $90 mln of 2.25% of Convertible Senior Subordinated Notes due 2022

Analyst Actions:

  • Gainers:
    • WLK +2% l initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $72
  • Decliners:
    • SCCO -4% downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays
    • SLW -3.2% downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman
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  Hershey Foods seeing strength in recent trade; higher by 2%  (109.14 +2.35)
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 Currency Market Summary

Dollar Trades near 8-Day High as Trump/Abe Meeting Looms

  • The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.36% to 100.64 today as the greenback rallies against all of the majors, but particularly the Japanese yen. Japan's prime minister, Shinzo Abe, is set to meet with U.S. President Trump on Friday and so investors may be trimming yen longs ahead of that event. The Bank of Japan has also been buying JGBs from the five to 10-year tenor every day since last Friday and lower rates in Japan should push capital eastward across the Pacific. Stocks traded sharply higher around the world today as Trump said that there will be an announcement on tax cuts in two to three weeks, so that helped push the U.S. dollar higher and weighed on the funding currencies (euro, yen, Swissy). The kiwi dollar fell sharply after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept rates on hold but issued a more dovish statement than expected
  • EUR/USD: -0.25% to 1.0661
    • Germany's trade surplus narrowed more than expected to EUR18.4 bln in December from EUR21.8 bln in November. The narrowing was driven by a larger-than-expected decline in exports (3.3% m/m)
    • Greece's unemployment rate was steady at 23% in November
  • GBP/USD: -0.17% to 1.2502
    • In the U.K., the RICS House Price Balance rose to 25% for January from 23% for December, slightly beating forecasts
  • USD/CHF: +0.52% to 1.0009
    • Switzerland's unemployment rate remained at a seasonally adjusted 3.3% in January, as expected
  • USD/JPY: +1.00% to 113.10
    • Japan sold JPY800 bln ($7.14 bln) of 30-year JGBs with an average yield of 0.907% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.23
      • While the auction's reception was not all that strong, the 10-year JGB yield trade below 0.08% for the first time this month
      • The Bank of Japan has intervened in the JGB market three times since last Friday to purchase JGBs with maturities from five to 10 years
    • Separately, Core Machinery Orders jumped by 6.7% m/m in December (6.7% y/y), beating estimates and reversing November's 5.1% drop
  • USD/CNY: -0.10% to 6.869
  • USD/RUB: -0.48% to 58.92
  • USD/TRY: -0.81% to 3.682
  • USD/BRL: +0.29% to 3.126
  • USD/MXN: -0.79% to 20.34
    • Mexico's central bank hiked its overnight rate by 50 basis points to 6.25%
    • The central bank expects consumer price inflation to begin slowing by year-end and then average 3% in 2018
  • USD/CAD: -0.10% to 1.3136
    • Canada's New Housing Price Index edged up by 0.1% m/m in December, missing forecasts and slowing from November's 0.2% growth
  • AUD/USD: unch at 0.7631
    • Australi's HIA New Home Sales Index edged 0.2% higher m/m in December after a 6.1% gain in November
  • NZD/USD: -0.59% to 0.7189
    • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its Official Cash Rate at 1.75%, as expected. The central bank's near-term outlook was more dovish than expected although the RBNZ now forecasts an average policy rate of 1.8% through June 2019, up from 1.7%
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  Energy Closing Prices: Natural gas modestly higher for a 3rd consecutive session after EIA reports a draw in-line with Consensus; crude extends yesterday's rally ahead of tomorrow's rig count data
  • Mar crude oil futures rose $0.62 (+1.2%) to $52.98/barrel
    • Baker Hughes rig count data will be released tomorrow at 10:30 am ET
  • Mar natural gas closed $0.02 higher (+0.6%) at $3.14/MMBtu
    • EIA highlights:
      • Natural gas inventory showed a draw of -152 bcf vs expectations for inventory to be a draw of approx. -153 bcf.
      • Working gas in storage was 2,559 Bcf as of Friday, February 3, 2017, according to EIA estimates.
      • Stocks were 325 Bcf less than last year at this time and 45 Bcf above the five-year avg of 2,514 Bcf.
      • At 2,559 Bcf, total working gas is within the five-year historical range.
  • Mar RBOB gasoline closed $0.02 higher (+1.3%) at $1.57/gallon
  • Mar heating oil futures closed flat at $1.64/gallon
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  Sector Summary: Energy leads the broader market higher, crude futures extend yesterday's gains ahead of tomorrow's rig count, & natural gas closes modestly higher for a 3rd consecutive session post-EIA

The Energy Sector (XLE, +1.3%) leads the broader market (SPY, +0.7%) higher as the last hour of the trading day draws near. Crude oil (USO, +1.0%) futures extend yesterday's surprise post-EIA gains, despite EIA reporting a notably larger-than-expected build in crude yesterday. Lastly, natural gas (UNG, +0.1%) futures closed pit trading modestly higher after EIA reported a draw in-line with expectations. The data is summarized below:

EIA natural gas highlights:

  • Natural gas inventory showed a draw of -152 bcf vs expectations for inventory to be a draw of approx. -153 bcf.
  • Working gas in storage was 2,559 Bcf as of Friday, February 3, 2017, according to EIA estimates.
  • Stocks were 325 Bcf less than last year at this time and 45 Bcf above the five-year avg of 2,514 Bcf.
  • At 2,559 Bcf, total working gas is within the five-year historical range.

Baker Hughes (BHI, +0.5%) rig count data will be released tomorrow at 1 pm ET.

  • Last week's data showed a US oil rig count increase for the third consecutive week in a row.
  • US oil rigs have been added for 13 out of the past 14 weeks.
  • The number of active U.S. rigs drilling for oil rose by 17 to 583 rigs last week.
  • The rig count is at its highest level since Oct 2015.

Factors affecting the price of oil:

  • Crude oil extended yesterday's post-EIA gains ahead of tomorrow's rig count data, shrugging off yesterday's builds in both crude & gasoline stocks.
  • Oil prices saw a boost from Energy Information Administration data published yesterday showing gasoline inventories in the U.S. fell by 0.9 mln barrels in the most recent week, vs expectations for an increase.
  • Gasoline implied demand rebounded last week, up 631k barrels a day to 8.941 mln barrels a day.
  • The latest EIA data also showed U.S. crude production increased by 63k barrels a day last week to 8.98 mln barrels.
  • Reminder: On Tuesday, the EIA predicted U.S. production growth of ~100k barrels a day this year from 2016, and another 500k barrels a day by 2018.

Other factors to consider:

  • On Tuesday, EIA lowered their US crude oil production growth forecast to +0.3%, compared to last month.
    • EIA now expects US production to grow about 100k bpd to 8.98 mln barrels in FY17.
    • EIA also noted they expect US oil production to grow by 550k bpd in 2018.
  • It is worth noting that the coordinated OPEC/non-OPEC production cuts call for a total output reduction of 1.8 mln barrels/day.
    • Russia has already cut 100k barrels/day and has committed to cut as much as 300k barrels/day as part of the agreement.
    • The total OPEC portion of the accord is expected to result in a reduction of ~1.2 mln barrels/day.
    • Saudi Arabia is expected to make up the bulk of the OPEC portion of the cut.
  • On Monday, Iran reported they found a massive 15 bln barrel oil reserve & expect about 2 bln barrels to be recoverable.
    • Note that Iran has been raising their oil production since international sanctions over its nuclear program were lifted in 2016.

Notable Gainers:

  • Oil & Gas Drilling & Exploration: Legacy Reserves (LGCY, +8%)
  • Equipment and services: Newpark Resources (NR, +6%)
  • Independent oil & gas: Fieldpoint Petroleum (FPP, +8%)
  • Major-integrated: Encana (ECA, +6%)
  • Refining & Marketing: HollyFrontier (HFC, +3%)
  • Pipelines: Blueknight Energy Partners (BKEP, +4%)

Notable Laggards:

  • Oil & Gas Drilling & Exploration: Vanguard Natural Resources (VNR, -14%)
  • Equipment and services: National-Oilwell Varco (NOV, -0.3%)
  • Independent oil & gas: US Energy (USEG, -3%)
  • Major-integrated: Mitsui & Co (MITSY, -2%)
  • Refining & Marketing: Ferrellgas Partners (FGP, -4%)
  • Pipelines: Energy Transfer Equity (ETE, -4%)

Closing Energy Prices:

  • Mar crude oil futures rose $0.62 (+1.2%) to $52.98/barrel
  • Mar natural gas closed $0.02 higher (+0.6%) at $3.14/MMBtu
  • Mar RBOB gasoline closed $0.02 higher (+1.3%) at $1.57/gallon
  • Mar heating oil futures closed flat at $1.64/gallon

Earnings/News

  • Total (TOT, +1.1%) beat on top and bottom lines; raised dividend by 1.6%
    • Reported a Q4 EPS of $0.96 vs $0.94 Capital IQ consensus; revs increased 14% YoY to $36.87 bln vs $33.68 consensus
  • Occidental Petro (OXY, +1.8%) missed by $0.11, reported revs in-line
    • Reported a Q4 loss of $0.13 per share, $0.11 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($0.02); revenues fell 0.6% year/year to $2.83 bln vs the $2.84 bln two analyst estimate.
    • Total avg daily production volumes were 607k BOE for the fourth quarter of 2016, compared to 605k BOE for the third quarter of 2016 and 680k BOE for the fourth quarter of 2015. The operations that were exited or sold produced avg daily volumes of 83k BOE for the fourth quarter of 2015, resulting in production volumes from on-going operations of 597k BOE.
  • Precision Drilling (PDS, +1.5%) beat by CAD 0.05, beat on revs
    • Reported a Q4 loss of CAD $0.10 per share, excluding non-recurring items, CAD $0.05 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of (CAD $0.15); revenues fell 17.7% year/year to CAD $283.9 mln vs the CAD $265.77 mln Capital IQ Consensus.
  • Halcon Resources (HK, +4.0%) commenced a $700 mln offering of senior unsecured notes due 2025
    • Co intends to use the net proceeds from the offering, together with additional borrowings under its senior secured revolving credit facility or cash on hand, to repurchase and/or redeem the co's $700 mln of currently outstanding 8.625% second lien notes due 2020.

Broker Calls

  • Transocean (RIG, -0.7%) initiated with a Buy at R. F. Lafferty
  • Baker Hughes (BHI, +0.4%) upgraded to Positive at Susquehanna
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  New York Times initiated with a Sell at Singular Research; tgt $7.80  (14.80 +0.00)Singular Research initiates NYT with a Sell and price target of $7.80 as they feel NYT's efforts to modernize and transition from print to digital has had mixed results and will fail. NYT is trapped by legacy costs and embedded structural disadvantages, to wit a $500 million pension fund deficit. Additionally, NYT's efforts to achieve significant penetration in digital ad space is too little, too late in a market place dominated by Google (GOOGL) & Facebook (FB). Further, NYT, after the Trump Bump, will experience dwindling revs, ebit and eps, a culture clash, a mismatch of demographics, old print vs. younger digital readers.
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  Hearing Tempur Sealy Int'l was downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS  (45.67 +2.77)
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  Treasury Market Summary

Treasuries Take Losses as Trump Talks Taxes

  • U.S. Treasuries unwound all of Wednesday's gains today as global equities rallied and President Trump said that a tax plan would be announced in two to three weeks. Pessimism about the size and timing of fiscal stimulus has taken the mojo out of the reflation trade in recent weeks and Trump's remarks today, while far from conclusive, prompted Treasury selling, equity buying, and dollar buying. The U.S. economic data was light although initial jobless claims came within a hair of a 43-year low last week (234K). St. Louis Fed President Bullard remains an uber-dovish non-voter (irrelevant) and said that only one rate hike would probably be necessary in 2017. Chicago Fed President Evans (FOMC voter) said that three rate hikes this year may «not be unreasonable» and that inflation is moving towards target but remains too low. The $15 bln 30-year auction came out mostly as expected after the very weak result to Wednesday's 10-year auction. The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.36% to 100.64 and the S&P 500 is 0.65% higher at 2,309.65, on track for all-time closing high
  • Yield Check:
    • 2-yr: +3 bps to 1.18%
    • 5-yr: +6 bps to 1.87%
    • 10-yr: +8 bps to 2.40%
    • 30-yr: +6 bps to 3.01%
  • News:
    • Initial jobless claims fell to within a whisker of their 43-year low of 233K last week. Claims for the week ending February 4 totaled 234K, below the Briefing.com consensus of 250K and the prior week's reading of 246K
      • Continuing jobless claims rose to 2078K for the week ending January 28 from the prior week's 2063K
    • U.S. wholesale inventories rose 1.0% m/m in December, matching both the Briefing.com consensus and November's growth
      • December marked the second straight month that wholesale inventories increased 1.0%, helping to explain the positive contribution the change in inventories made to Q4 GDP growth
      • Wholesale sales rose 2.6% m/m, the fastest growth since March 2011
    • Chicago Fed President Evans said this afternoon that he supports gradual rate hikes and that inflation needs to hit 2% for the Fed to maintain credibility
      • He went on to say that three rate hikes in 2017 «not unreasonable» but that inflation is too low, although it is moving in the right direction
    • St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (non-FOMC voter) said this morning that he does not expect the incoming administration's policies to overheat the U.S. economy in 2017
      • Bullard also said that he sees no undue inflation pressure building so far and that most of the undershooting of the Fed's 2% target was due to commodity prices
      • On the subject of the Fed's balance sheet, Bullard said, «A more natural normalization process [than the current Fed funds-based one] would allow the entire yield curve to adjust appropriately as normalization proceeds»
      • He also said that only one rate hike is necessary in 2017 and that no decision is imminent in any sense on balance sheet wind-down
    • $15 bln 30-year Treasury auction
      • High yield: 3.005% (when-issued: 3.007%)
      • Bid-to-cover: 2.25
      • Indirect bid: 66.2%
      • Direct bid: 4.9%
  • Commodities:
    • WTI crude: +1.26% to $53.00/bbl.
    • Gold: -0.53% to $1,232.9/troy oz.
    • Copper: -0.28% to $2.659/lb.
  • Currencies:
    • EUR/USD: -0.27% to 1.0660
    • USD/JPY: +1.16% to 113.27
  • Data out Friday:
    • January Export Prices ex-agriculture and Import Prices ex-oil (08:30 ET)
    • February Michigan Sentiment — Preliminary (10:00 ET)
    • January Treasury Budget (14:00 ET)
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 Closing Commodities: Natural gas higher for a 3rd session post-EIA; crude extends yesterday's gains ahead of tomorrow's rig count; gold declines on renewed dollar index strength
  • Natural gas ended pit trading modestly higher for a 3rd consecutive session after EIA reported a draw in-line with Consensus
    • Mar natural gas closed $0.02 higher (+0.6%) at $3.14/MMBtu
    • EIA highlights:
      • Natural gas inventory showed a draw of -152 bcf vs expectations for inventory to be a draw of approx. -153 bcf.
      • Working gas in storage was 2,559 Bcf as of Friday, Feb 3, 2017, according to EIA estimates.
      • Stocks were 325 Bcf less than last year at this time and 45 Bcf above the five-year avg of 2,514 Bcf.
      • At 2,559 Bcf, total working gas is within the five-year historical range.
  • Crude oil extended yesterday's surprise post-EIA gains ahead of tomorrow's rig count
    • Mar crude oil futures rose $0.62 (+1.2%) to $52.98/barrel
    • Baker Hughes rig count data will be released tomorrow at 1 pm ET.
  • In precious metals, gold retreated from yesterday's 3-month high on renewed dollar index strength
    • April gold ended today's session down $2.70 (-0.2%) to $1236.80/oz
    • March silver closed today's session $0.03 higher (+0.2%) at $17.74/oz
  • The dollar index was +0.4% around the 100.65 level, weighed on gold futures
    • Commodities, as measured by the Bloomberg Commodity Index, were +0.1% around the 88.53 level
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  Merck recent volatility attributed to report that company might sell some dermatology drugs  (64.50 +0.18)
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