СОТ отчёты

First of all I want to talk about Japanese yen (6J). The price went lower and provoked closing a huge put hedging position. I am waiting very much for stopping HFTvolume to enter the position. Good opportunities also come when the price retest POC as a mirror level. As we see a very huge rise: 22%of long positions by commercial traders, with the fact of OI rising to 19%. I am still waiting for the strong pullback from the downtrend next week.



In US treasuries (ZB) there was a good intraday longing opportunity, but the price did not achieve a bit to breakdown HFT level 150.4375. It flew further from  downtrend line on 15M TF + the mirror technical level on daily TF.   



Coffee futures (KC) showed what we expected till ASK HFT volume appeared. On the previous week hedgers added longs, I think this week will also be an effort to return to the uptrend channel. 



Gold (GC) went higher, but it seems to me that too many people are waiting for 2000, and this target will not be achieved soon. That's why I canceled a long priority for this week. 



Despite everybody seeing a trend continuation in the Canadian dollar (6C), I think it can be over. And we will see a return back to 0,79 commercial level. We see CallBlocks on extremums and a very big amount of divergence between CD and CDQ.  



Also I see Call Blocks on extremum in Natural gas (NG). As it happened after 2 Divergences of CD with price on rising OI, I am waiting for a shorting opportunity in this asset.



Previous week we saw a strong fall of VIX (fear index) with a breaking uptrend.



Be careful, I think that soon we will see falling in the broad market index!!! Hedge funds dramatically increased shorts. I put sell priority on S&P 500 (ES) for the next week  



Thank you for being with us! Glory to Ukraine and its heroes!

Legend:

CD — cumulative delta

CDQ -  cumulative delta which counts the amount of aggregated ticks (trades)

OI — open interest

CallBlocks/PutBlocks — large transactions that take place outside the order book

CL — commercial level — zone of the huge changings in positions according to the COT report.

Sincerely, Taras Sviatun