Блог им. st-travich |⚡️ Hedgefunds made a big bet against the dollar

Good day traders 👋 

I dedicate this review to the big changings in COT positions of hedge funds in the Euro (6E), British Pound (6B), and Silver (SI).

Today we overview daily charts 


Блог им. st-travich |Today I have no possibility to make a video forecast, but I want to measure some ideas for you.

Good afternoon, traders!

S&P 500 (ES)

 Today I have no possibility to make a video forecast, but I want to measure some ideas for you.

The price closed below the huge Ask tick chain near 4100, not achieved to the supply zone, and made a fast pullback. I see shorting opportunity, that the price will reach the 4020 price level.

 

Silver (SI)

 

On Silver vice-versa we see a Bid tick imbalance and some accurate algorithmic purchases on Friday according to the cumulative delta quantitative (CDQ) which diverges with the volume delta (CD). The price is coiling in the long-range during last 2 months and has a high probability to move toward the upper boundary and break it.

 

Copper (HG)

 

Copper made a peculiar squeeze of buyers, created a Bid tick imbalance, and bounced back from a commercial level into the range. Hedge funds continue aggressively buying the asset, increasing their longs by 18% with the OI increase by 6%.

We see a very strong divergence between CDQ and CD, clear absorption of stoploss liquidity with algorithms.

 

So I am very bullish here

 Today I have no possibility to make a video forecast, but I want to measure some ideas for you.



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Блог им. st-travich |СME Futures Analysis 03.07.2022 + video

​​Good evening, Traders!

 

Let's observe the market and prepare for the next week! 

 

🔻 Gold (GC) showed entry points 3 times in a row that week, and honestly, I participated in each one. I expected this scenario before, you can see it in my previous reviews. Now I see that it is necessary to be patient and not react to local imbalances. Hier timeframes are in the game. Huge stop-losses were collected and there is enough fuel to go higher. It will be not a surprise if the price will go to 2000 from here. (See

СME Futures Analysis 03.07.2022 + video



🔻 Silver (Si) is the same. The first magnet is volume level 20.8 and then we can go even higher. (See

СME Futures Analysis 03.07.2022 + video



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Блог им. st-travich |COT reports

Hello TVT Traders! 

Let's overview and discuss potential scenarios for the futures market.
The previous week was very powerful for predictions, especially on gold, silver, and Mexican peso. Let's see and try to find what to do next.




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Блог им. st-travich |COT reports

 

Hello Traders! 

 

It was a volatile but not so good week, eventually for me. My expectations about US Treasury Bonds, the Australian dollar have not been realized and the Japanese Yen made a hard rock falling, without any correction, because of the very dovish monetary policy of the central bank compared with FED.



🔺 But still, Ultra US Treasury Bonds (UB) can show us buying opportunities on this level


COT reports

It was my plan and I traded it, of course, the most important thing is to manage your risk, not to be suffered very much because of unexpected movements.

 

🔺 Even the Mexican peso (6M) returned to breakeven. Of course, I expect a further continuation, but it is not the proper picture.

COT reports



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