Блог им. Merovingian

FOMC Statement


Release Date: March 16, 2016

For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace despite the global economic and financial developments of recent months. Household spending has been increasing at a moderate rate, and the housing sector has improved further; however, business fixed investment and net exports have been soft. A range of recent indicators, including strong job gains, points to additional strengthening of the labor market. Inflation picked up in recent months; however, it continued to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run objective, partly reflecting declines in energy prices and in prices of non-energy imports. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance, in recent months.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee currently expects that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market indicators will continue to strengthen. However, global economic and financial developments continue to pose risks. Inflation is expected to remain low in the near term, in part because of earlier declines in energy prices, but to rise to 2 percent over the medium term as the transitory effects of declines in energy and import prices dissipate and the labor market strengthens further. The Committee continues to monitor inflation developments closely.

Against this backdrop, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. In light of the current shortfall of inflation from 2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.

The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction, and it anticipates doing so until normalization of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way. This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Stanley Fischer; Loretta J. Mester; Jerome H. Powell; Eric Rosengren; and Daniel K. Tarullo. Voting against the action was Esther L. George, who preferred at this meeting to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1/2 to 3/4 percent.

  • Ключевые слова:
  • ES,
  • FOMC
Приветствую!
Kartashov, Я с Вами. 
Давненько не было Вас. Возвращайтесь. Скучно без толкового собеседника
Kartashov, Константин, здравствуйте. Постараюсь :-) Очень много работы и к тому же я в основном сконцентрирован на торговле внутри дня, что не очень удобно (уместно) публиковать здесь своевременно.
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Mérovingien

Mérovingien, нормально и внутри дня. Мы тут тоже не особо тренды ловим сейчас. Такие времена…
Mérovingien, Я Вас приветствую, будут рекомендации по рынку?
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Brus

Brus, здравствуйте. Только быть готовыми к 2035, 2043 в случае закрепления 2020. Касаемо цифр внизу, то их довольно много — 1985-1989, 1960-1964, 1943; вопрос смены сентимента или его позитивного направления по крайней мере до экспирации.
Сейчас я стараюсь работать внутри дня, так как рынок возвращается к нормальной волатильности в пределах range 20-25 единиц, что позволяет совершать трейды полным рабочим объемом с короткими целями и stops.
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Mérovingien

Mérovingien, а по мамбе и сберу какие думы?
Лупин Пастор, здравствуйте. К сожалению, я совсем не разбираюсь в русском рынке.
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Mérovingien

А че не на Китайском :-)
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Юрий

Юрий, 

释放日期:三月16日,2016
放在2:00缆绳

收到的资料以来,联邦公开市场委员会在一月表明,经济活动的扩大缓慢进行,尽管全球经济和金融近几个月的事态发展的。 家庭开支已经增加率不高,住房部门的进一步的改善;但是,商业固定投资和净出口的柔软 最近的一系列指标,其中包括强有力的工作成果,指出了增强劳动力市场。 通货膨胀率在最近几个月的人; 然而,它继续管理下的委员会的2%的长期目标,这在一定程度上反映了下跌的能源价格上涨和价格的非能源进口。 以市场为基础的措施的赔偿通货膨胀仍然很低;以调查为基础的措施的长期通货膨胀的预期变化不大,总的来说,在最近几个月了

按照其法定任务,委员会力求促进最大程度地就业及价格的稳定性。 委员会目前预计,逐步调整货币政策的立场,经济活动将扩大在一个温和的步伐和劳动力市场指标继续得到加强。 然而,全球经济和金融的事态发展继续构成的风险。 预计通货膨胀仍然很低,在近期内,这部分是因为早期出现的下降趋势,能源价格上涨,但上升到2%,中期以来的变化无常的影响减少能源进口价格和消除劳动力市场进一步加强的。 委员会继续监测通货膨胀的事态发展密切的合作。

在此背景下,委员会决定维持目标范围的联邦资金率在1/4号为1/2%。 货币政策虽然仍具适应性,从而支持进一步改善在劳动力市场条件和返回的2%的通货膨胀。

在确定的时间和规模的未来调整的目标范围的联邦资金率,委员会将评估实现和预期的经济条件相对于其目标的最大限度就业的2%的通货膨胀。 这一评估将考虑到一系列广泛的信息,包括采取措施,劳动力市场的条件,指标通货膨胀的压力和通货膨胀的期望,并监测财务和国际事态发展。 鉴于目前资金短缺,通货膨胀率从2%,委员会将仔细监测的实际和预期的进展向其通货膨胀的目标。 委员会期望的经济状况将逐步发展的方式将保证仅仅逐渐增加的联邦资金率;联邦资金率很可能继续一段时间里,以下各级的各个预期存在的较长期的。 然而,实际途径的联邦资金率将取决于经济的前景看作通报以来的数据。

委员会保持其现有的政策,几乎未作任何再投资的主要支付来自其财产的机构的债务和机构的抵押贷款支撑的证券机构的抵押贷款支撑的证券,到期财务证券拍卖,并它预计这样做,直到恢复正常水平的联邦资金率正在顺利进行之中。 这一政策,确保委员会持有的长期证券,在相当大的级别,应有助于保持通融的金融条件。

参加表决的《联邦开放市场委员会货币政策行动是:珍妮特*耶伦,主席;William C.达德利副主席;Lael Brainard的;詹姆斯*布拉德的;Stanley Fischer的;Loretta J.Mester;以杰罗姆H*鲍威尔;Eric Rosengren;和丹尼尔*K*Tarullo的。 投票反对该行动是埃丝特*乔治,他希望在本次会议上提出的目标范围的联邦资金率为1/2至第3/4%。
Домо Кун, 5 баллов!!!
Домо Кун, bravo!
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Mérovingien

Kartashov, ну да ну да :)
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Green_Yard


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