Как перестать гадать на рынке: Квантовый подход и поиск реальных возможностей

The market isn't a casino, yet many continue to treat it as such. In the fifth lesson of the Forcastermasterclass, we move from theory to practice and learn how to use mathematics and statistics to find specific entry points.

Mission Control: A Professional's Toolkit

The focus is on tools that allow you to scan the market and filter out the noise, leaving only probabilities.

1. Quantum Screener: The Jim Simons Method

We call this screener «quantum» because it allows you to invest quantitatively , similar to the methods of the legendary Renaissance Technologiesfund . The key is a complete lack of emotion and reliance on price mathematics.

                                    

• Seasonality vs. Projection:You can choose between historical patterns and algorithmic forecasts of future movement.

• Lean Hog ​​example:The system revealed a 94.52% correlation with the seasonal chart. Historically, the asset has risen 80% of the time, delivering an average return of over 22.3%.

• Forex and Stocks:The screener works effectively on both liquid pairs (CHF/JPY, EUR/USD) and stocks (for example, a short signal on Fox Corp or a long signal on Kering).

2. Break-even point

This tool identifies companies that have been unprofitable for at least five consecutive quarters but have just reported their first net profit. Historically, such moments have marked the beginning of powerful rallies for giants like Tesla, Palantir, and Crowdstrike.

• Russian Market:The tool highlighted interesting changes at M.Video(a possible reversal after a prolonged decline) and Vyborg Shipyard(although here the system warns of the risks of profit manipulation via Z-Score and M-Score).

• Global Sector: BigBear.ai, a promising AI player that has just crossed the profit threshold, has come into focus .

3. Macro Map and Ratings

Trading in a vacuum is dangerous. The Macromaptool shows the phases of the economic cycle for sectors:

                            

• Expansion (growth) stage:Healthcare, finance, industry and energy.

• Compression stage:IT, communications and the S&P 500 in general – here you should be more careful with purchases.

The main conclusion

Using these tools together gives you a complete advantage: you see the math, fundamentals, and macroeconomic context simultaneously. Remember: the market is all about probability. Use seasonality as a compass and always consider risk management (the ratio of stop-loss to potential profit).

Want to see how these tools work in real time and how to find your first idea today?

📺 Watch the full video tutorial here: YT  VK 

For those who want to test the platform for themselves, a free 7-day trial is available on FT.