EIA прогнозируют уровень добычи в 2016 году: 9,5 млн. баррелей в день. Это рост на 200000 баррелей в день год к году, самая низкая динамика роста с 2011 года.
P.S. Рынком на крупных ТФ продолжает править ФА. По факту видим замедление в США, но всё-равно высокий уровень добычи, это временно остановило падение сегодня, но нужны ещё «драйверы» для заметного роста. Пока старые причины в силе: smart-lab.ru/blog/228896.php smart-lab.ru/blog/225589.php
EIA FORECASTS 2016 U.S. OIL PRODUCTION OF 9.5 MLN BPD
RTRS
13-Jan-2015 17:14
NEW YORK, Jan 13 (Reuters) — The U.S. government said on Tuesday domestic oil production will rise by 200,000 barrels a day in 2016, the slowest rate of growth since 2011, reflecting the long-term impact of plunging prices on drilling, while holding its estimate for this year.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration said it expects U.S. production next year to rise by 200,000 barrels per day to 9.5 million bpd, according to its short term energy outlook.
Last month, the EIA forecast output in 2015 would rise by 720,000 bpd to around 9.3 million bpd.
(Reporting By Jessica Resnick-Ault) ((Jessica.Resnick-Ault@thomsonreuters.com; 646-223-6052;))
SG said that the main risk to Russia comes from Moody's, which has a Baa2 rating and S&P, which holds a negative outlook on its BBB- rating. S&P's rating review is scheduled for April 17 (though it could move earlier). Moody's has yet to set an official date for its review.
SG analysts aren't hopeful of Russia maintaining its IG status for too much longer. 'We expect Russia to fall from the IG category in early April/May,' they said.Беларусь второй раз за неделю снизила курс рубля к доллару на 7%.
UPDATE 2-BELARUS DEVALUES CURRENCY AGAIN TO PROTECT AGAINST RUSSIAN ECONOMIC FALLOUT
RTRS
08-Jan-2015 22:29
Central bank devalues currency by another 7 pct
Second devaluation this week
Raises refinancing rate; govt imposes new potash export tax
(Adds background on economy, imposition of potash export duty, higher refinancing rate)
By Andrei Makhovsky
MINSK, Jan 8 (Reuters) — Belarus took further emergency steps on Thursday to defend itself from economic turmoil in Russia, devaluing its currency by around 7 percent for the second time this week, raising its main refinancing rate and imposing a new export tax on potash.
Former Soviet countries are feeling the pain as Russia, often the main trading partner, suffers from Western sanctions over Ukraine and a sliding oil price, which sent the Russian rouble RUB= down by about 40 percent against the dollar last year.
Belarus, with a population of 9.4 million, has had to take swift action to protect its command economy that is closely tied to that of its giant neighbour, which accounts for half of Belarussian exports and provides Minsk with substantial subsidies.
The Belarus central bank, which cut the Belarussian rouble's official rate USDRBYFIX= by about 7 percent on Monday, said it was further clipping the rate to 13,760 roubles per dollar starting on Jan. 9, from 12,740.