"Fiscal cliff" deal reached between White House

01.01.2013, Вашингтон 07:25:08 В США «фискальный обрыв» (одновременное резкое повышение налогов и сокращение государственных расходов) предотвращен на два месяца. Об этом говорится в специальном меморандуме, подписанном главой демократического большинства в сенате Гарри Ридом и лидером демократов в палате представителей американского конгресса Нэнси Пелози, передает Reuters.

Соглашение предусматривает баланс между сокращением государственных расходов и повышением налогов, которое позволит отложить автоматический секвестр бюджета (резкое сокращение государственных расходов).

Половина сокращений придется на оборонные расходы, в то время как вторую половину изыщут из гражданских трат. Это не потребует голосования в конгрессе. В Белом Доме подобный компромисс считают своей победой.

В случае полномасштабного «фискального обрыва» дефицит федерального бюджета США может сократиться в 2012-2013 финансовом году почти на 500 млрд долл., что конечно же улучшит состояние государственных финансов. Однако столь резкое сокращение дефицита наверняка окажет шоковое воздействие на экономику страны и приведет к новому спаду деловой активности.

Предполагалось, что при отсутствии политических договоренностей «фискальный обрыв» наступит в США в 9:00 мск 1 января 2013г.

«Половина сокращений придется на оборонные расходы, в то время как вторую половину изыщут из гражданских трат»

Типа это не секвестр?

«В случае полномасштабного «фискального обрыва» дефицит федерального бюджета США может сократиться в 2012-2013 финансовом году почти на 500 млрд долл.»

Да им пох, Беня их подстраховал на 45 млрд. х 12 мес. =? млрд.

P.S. Другое дело, что может измениться баланс в политической сфере, тк от размера ставки будет зависеть судьба Обамы и др. демократов. Потому что размер ставки = размер дефицита бюджета

спасибо

(CNN) — If a Senate deal to avert the fiscal cliff becomes law, all but a sliver of the U.S. population will avoid higher tax rates, some key issues will be put off for two months, and all sides in the battle will emerge with a mixed record: winning key points, while ceding ground on others.
The deal, which passed the Democratic-controlled Senate in an overwhelming 89-8 vote in the middle of the night, would maintain tax cuts for individuals earning less than $400,000 and couples earning less than $450,000. Technically, it would reinstate cuts that expired at midnight.
The bill faces an uncertain future in the Republican-controlled House. The House Republican Conference plans to meet at 1 p.m., two aides told CNN.
A decision about whether to vote Tuesday would likely follow that meeting.
Some GOP lawmakers, including Reps. Phil Gingrey of Georgia and Tim Huelskamp of Kansas, told CNN they won't support the bill.
«It's taxing, and still taxing, small businessmen and women, and I don't like that at all,» Gingrey said, referring to some small business owners who would be among those whose tax rates rise.
It's the opposite argument of some Democrats who oppose the bill. Sen. Tom Harkin, D-Iowa, complained that the deal «makes tax benefits for high-income earners permanent, while tax benefits designed to help those of modest means and the middle class are only extended for five years.»
The bill temporarily extends certain tax breaks, such as the one for college tuition, while making new tax rates permanent.
It would mark the first time in two decades that tax rates jump for the wealthiest Americans — giving some bragging rights to President Barack Obama, who has long insisted on such a move.
But it also leaves him breaking a promise. The president had vowed to raise tax rates for the top-earning 2% of Americans, including those with household income above $250,000.
«What I'm not going to do is to extend Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest 2% that we can't afford and, according to economists, will have the least positive impact on our economy,» the president said at a news conference in November, after being asked by CNN why Americans should believe he would not «cave again this time» by allowing those Bush-era tax cuts to be extended.
When asked whether closing loopholes instead of raising rates would be satisfactory, the president responded, «when it comes to the top 2%, what I'm not going to do is to extend further a tax cut for folks who don't need it, which would cost close to a trillion dollars. And it's very difficult to see how you make up that trillion dollars, if we're serious about deficit reduction, just by closing loopholes in deductions. You know, the math tends not to work.»
The deal passed by the Senate would cap itemized deductions for individuals making $250,000 and for married couples making $300,000.
Raising the threshold for higher tax rates to $400,000 shrinks the number of Americans affected. While nearly 2% of filers have adjusted gross incomes over $250,000, only 0.6% have incomes above $500,000, according to the Tax Policy Center.
Still, in a written statement early Tuesday, the president held on to the 98% figure he has so often touted.
The deal «protects 98% of Americans and 97% of small business owners from a middle class tax hike,» he said. «While neither Democrats nor Republicans got everything they wanted, this agreement is the right thing to do for our country and the House should pass it without delay.»
The president also acknowledged, «There's more work to do to reduce our deficits, and I'm willing to do it. But tonight's agreement ensures that, going forward, we will continue to reduce the deficit through a combination of new spending cuts and new revenues from the wealthiest Americans.»
However, many Americans are still likely to see their paychecks shrink somewhat, due to a separate battle over payroll taxes.
Senate vote 'sends a strong message'
«Glad it's over,» said Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nevada, after the vote on the fiscal cliff deal, just a couple of hours after the East Coast rang in the new year. «We'll see if the Republicans in the House can become functional instead of dysfunctional.»