Блог им. Cossack718

Анализ долгосрочный трейд от Кери Чимино

My long-term projection for the British pound has not changed. The ideal target remains 82 cents by 2026. Britain is without a leader right now after Johnson has thoroughly pushed the British economy over the edge. The close of August was very weak. Even Putin sent three warships into the Irish Sea as a warning after Johnson's stupid remarks that they would use nuclear weapons outside of NATO against Moscow.

The sun is setting this time on the British Empire. A simple break of the August low will continue to warn that the British pound remains weak even near-term.

As discussed the Euro when it was 118, writing it would trade to 95. In 2025 we will see .55 cents before the final blow to the end of the EU.

My projections for the dollar rising are linked to geopolitics. People have to realize that the old theories no longer work. We are in a new age where nations are self-destructing in what perhaps history will call the Cultural Revolution of the West that will destroy society the same as took place in both Russia and China. I had back written that September of '21 we passed the proverbial Rubicon and the slide into chaos would start. The final blow would be the US Midterm Elections. Keynesian Economics is dead ( I projected the US deficit at $45 trillion by 2026 and State and Local at 7 trillion). I have written that for 4 years, CONFIDENCE is governments have eroded and as predicted the US 10 Year will trade to 5%. Do you really believe that the government has the ability to pay back $50 trillion dollars and $200 trillion in unfunded liabilities? Over the next 20 years? 

Money has been lost both being shorting Bonds via IEF (higher rates), option spreads ran out of time. Crudes break down has hurt as well. Long term energy prices will spike dramatically next year. However after yesterday's close crude could spike down in a watershed sell-off to 65.00 per barrel. Then a march, straight up to 300. per bbl by September '23.

There are several tremendous opportunities missed this summer, but as the fall unfolds what lies ahead is nothing to what has ever been seen or experienced. It's time to make money and stock up.

Over the holiday weekend I will put out a report on 4 long term must trades.

It's time to make money again!

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