ФРС ОСТАВИЛА БАЗОВУЮ СТАВКУ В ДИАПАЗОНЕ 0-0,25%

rwsmart, сопоставьте график нефти и рубля с 2008 года и увидите ))) и цели увидите по нефти и по рублю)))

Тюренков Олег, 2013.01.30 21:26:04 *ФРС: Чрезвычайно мягкая позиция уместна в течение значительного времени

Тюренков Олег, Уровень безработицы понижается когда увеличивается кол-во рабочих мест, т.е.когда существует высокий уровень потребления производимых товаров! Чего уже нет и не будет в ближайшие годы! Удачи!

Василий Олейник,

Release Date: January 30, 2013

For immediate release

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December suggests that growth in economic activity paused in recent months, in large part because of weather-related disruptions and other transitory factors. Employment has continued to expand at a moderate pace but the unemployment rate remains elevated. Household spending and business fixed investment advanced, and the housing sector has shown further improvement. Inflation has been running somewhat below the Committee’s longer-run objective, apart from temporary variations that largely reflect fluctuations in energy prices. Longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects that, with appropriate policy accommodation, economic growth will proceed at a moderate pace and the unemployment rate will gradually decline toward levels the Committee judges consistent with its dual mandate. Although strains in global financial markets have eased somewhat, the Committee continues to see downside risks to the economic outlook. The Committee also anticipates that inflation over the medium term likely will run at or below its 2 percent objective.

To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee will continue purchasing additional agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month and longer-term Treasury securities at a pace of $45 billion per month. The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction. Taken together, these actions should maintain downward pressure on longer-term interest rates, support mortgage markets, and help to make broader financial conditions more accommodative.

The Committee will closely monitor incoming information on economic and financial developments in coming months. If the outlook for the labor market does not improve substantially, the Committee will continue its purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage-backed securities, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate, until such improvement is achieved in a context of price stability. In determining the size, pace, and composition of its asset purchases, the Committee will, as always, take appropriate account of the likely efficacy and costs of such purchases.

To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee expects that a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy will remain appropriate for a considerable time after the asset purchase program ends and the economic recovery strengthens. In particular, the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that this exceptionally low range for the federal funds rate will be appropriate at least as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6-1/2 percent, inflation between one and two years ahead is projected to be no more than a half percentage point above the Committee’s 2 percent longer-run goal, and longer-term inflation expectations continue to be well anchored. In determining how long to maintain a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy, the Committee will also consider other information, including additional measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial developments. When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; James Bullard; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles L. Evans; Jerome H. Powell; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Eric S. Rosengren; Jeremy C. Stein; Daniel K. Tarullo; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against the action was Esther L. George, who was concerned that the continued high level of monetary accommodation increased the risks of future economic and financial imbalances and, over time, could cause an increase in long-term inflation expectations.

Василий Олейник, Текст только что опубликованного заявления FOMC не претерпел никаких серьезных изменений и содержит все те же ключевые постулаты:

— объем QE сохраняется на уровне $85 миллиардов в месяц;
— ставка по федеральным фондам сохраняется на уровне 0-0.25%;
— монетарное стимулирование будет продолжаться до тех пор, пока уровень безработицы не опустится ниже 6.5%;
— инфляционные ожидания составляют 2% или ниже;
— к ужесточению монетарной политики в будущем будет применен сбалансированный подход;
— восстановление экономики замедлилось, благодаря погодным условиям и иным временным факторам;
— уровень безработицы остается высоким, создавая экономические риски;
— голосование закончилось с результатом 11-1.

osle, так лонгуй )

osle, скорее в пятницу, завтра будем опять торговать ренж…

Скромнее

это не ВВП это первая оценка за 4-ый квартал, и даже с ней 2012 идет к 2011 как 2.2% к 2.1% YtY

А оценку почти наверняка выправят в итоге на 0.2% грубо говоря…

Единственный существенный риск реальный это сокращение расходов США — все остальное пыль. Это фундамент если смотреть.

Скромнее надо быть, на чем расти собрались.
за месяц рост составил 5% ( с 3% гэпом)

мозгоебство а не рост.

ЭТОТ РОСТ СДУЕТСЯ ЗА 1-2 ДВА ДНЯ ПРИ НАЧАЛЕ СНИЖЕНИЯ АМЕРИКИ.

Покупайте я не против.
оптимизм зашкаливает а народ все покупает и покупает и думает что до мая падать не будут.

Ближайшее время очень жестко вынесут вниз…

sergey-110, только не пиши свой бредовый прогноз, пожалуйста))))

sergey-110, заметил, что последнее время азиаты прут с утра когда у амеров не очень)

DGD, завтра только не завидуй сильно)

DGD, не совсем. Слили там 2к контрактов, в р-не 161500. Это были покупки в надежде на рост. НО все навернулось)))