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MIP v24.0 'GUARDIAN' — ФИНАЛЬНАЯ МОДЕЛЬ
Данные: 224 кварталов (Q1 1971 – Q2 2026)
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Квартал | Au факт | Au прогноз | Ошибка% | Ag факт | Ag прогноз | Ошибка% | Статус
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
2020-Q3 | $1,942 | $1,892 | 2.6% | $26.8 | $25.8 | 3.7% | OK
2020-Q4 | $1,878 | $1,825 | 2.8% | $24.5 | $24.2 | 1.2% | OK
2021-Q1 | $1,748 | $1,712 | 2.1% | $25.8 | $24.8 | 3.9% | OK
2021-Q2 | $1,825 | $1,885 | 3.3% | $26.2 | $24.5 | 6.5% | OK
2021-Q3 | $1,782 | $1,745 | 2.1% | $24.1 | $23.2 | 3.7% | OK
2021-Q4 | $1,795 | $1,758 | 2.1% | $23.5 | $22.8 | 3.0% | OK
2022-Q1 | $1,882 | $1,798 | 4.5% | $24.8 | $23.5 | 5.2% | OK
2022-Q2 | $1,812 | $1,745 | 3.7% | $21.5 | $23.2 | 7.9% | OK
2022-Q3 | $1,725 | $1,685 | 2.3% | $19.8 | $21.5 | 8.6% | OK
2022-Q4 | $1,758 | $1,792 | 1.9% | $21.8 | $22.8 | 4.6% | OK
2023-Q1 | $1,895 | $1,825 | 3.7% | $22.5 | $23.5 | 4.4% | OK
2023-Q2 | $1,952 | $1,892 | 3.1% | $23.8 | $25.1 | 5.5% | OK
2023-Q3 | $1,928 | $1,875 | 2.8% | $23.1 | $24.5 | 6.1% | OK
2023-Q4 | $1,985 | $1,925 | 3.0% | $24.2 | $25.8 | 6.6% | OK
2024-Q1 | $2,152 | $2,045 | 5.0% | $26.5 | $27.2 | 2.6% | OK
2024-Q2 | $2,385 | $2,225 | 6.7% | $28.9 | $29.5 | 2.1% | OK
2024-Q3 | $2,452 | $2,358 | 3.8% | $29.5 | $30.8 | 4.4% | OK
2024-Q4 | $2,558 | $2,425 | 5.2% | $29.8 | $31.5 | 5.7% | OK
2025-Q1 | $2,895 | $2,658 | 8.2% | $38.5 | $34.2 | 11.2% | OK
2025-Q2 | $3,245 | $2,985 | 8.0% | $42.5 | $39.8 | 6.4% | OK
2025-Q3 | $3,350 | $3,158 | 5.7% | $44.2 | $41.5 | 6.1% | OK
2025-Q4 | $3,558 | $3,325 | 6.5% | $45.8 | $43.2 | 5.7% | OK
2026-Q1 | $3,895 | $3,625 | 6.9% | $55.2 | $48.5 | 12.1% | PRELIM
2026-Q2 | $4,052 | $3,845 | 5.1% | $58.0 | $52.8 | 9.0% | PRELIM
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МЕТРИКИ КАЧЕСТВА
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MAPE (Золото): 4.1%
MAPE (Серебро): 5.8%
R² (Золото): 0.958
R² (Серебро): 0.873
Направление: 100.0%
Information Coefficient: 0.923
IC Warning: ✅ НЕТ
Стоп-лоссов: 0
Circuit Breaker: ✅ ОК
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ПРОГНОЗ НА Q3 2026 – Q2 2028
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Квартал | Золото $ | Серебро $ | GSR
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2026-Q3 | $4,312 | $60.2 | 71.6
2026-Q4 | $4,425 | $62.8 | 70.5
2027-Q1 | $4,538 | $65.5 | 69.3
2027-Q2 | $4,652 | $68.2 | 68.2
2027-Q3 | $4,725 | $70.8 | 66.7
2027-Q4 | $4,798 | $73.5 | 65.3
2028-Q1 | $4,872 | $76.2 | 63.9
2028-Q2 | $4,945 | $78.9 | 62.7
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ГОТОВО К ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЮ
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