комментарии QCAP на форуме

Шорт держу, не дергаюсь

Тимофей Мартынов,
Я шорчу выносы вверх, но при этом прикупил колов SPY 283 = дешего сейчас по 38с взял 25штук

Нормально валят
Лахи взяли дно как всегда
Профи шортили евро гэп вверх
Амеры не любят когда без них на такие гэпы возят.

Тимофей Мартынов,
Амеры не любят когда без них на такие гэпы возят. — В точку!

This morning's Trader Bite at *9:00 AM* Eastern US:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=dPUMgYgwrd0

(US) US Treasury Sec Mnuchin: Trump administration needs concrete action items from China to rebalance trade relationship for talks to resume; markets experiencing normal market correction — U.S.-China annual trade relationship could be worth $1T if rebalanced approaching size of NAFTA- Markets not efficient, sometimes overshoot both downside and upside- IMF funds loaned to Pakistan should not be used to repay China or other creditors.

День скальпера на фьючерсе, куда не ткни закроешся в плюсе… ))

This morning's Trader Bite at *9:00 AM* Eastern US:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=4nGW_wXouAM

Те кто успешно торгует биткоин, сегодня могут с успехом торговать фьючерс…

Почему фондовый рынок США может продолжить падение (оценка влияния выборов в конгрессе)

Основной вывод:
Мы считаем, что S&P 500 продолжит снижение в преддверии выборов в конгресс США (они состоятся 6 ноября) и рекомендуем сохранять шорт на индекс S&P 500.

В качестве целевого уровня к моменту публикации итогов выборов можно рассматривать отметку 2 600 пунктов. Это на 6–7% ниже текущих значений.

Ближайший важный уровень поддержки — 2 765 (100-дневная скользящая средняя MA), 2 741 (Уровень Фибоначчи 23,6%) и 2 613 (Уровень Фибоначчи 38,2%).

Мы ожидаем усиления волатильности и полагаем, что индекс VIX может достичь отметки 30 пунктов и выше.

ITI Capital

(US) Pres Trump: — Market selloff is a correction that we've been waiting for, for a long time
I think the Fed has 'gone crazy' and is too tight; the Fed is making a mistake — Market selloff is a correction that we've been waiting for, for a long time

Сиплый -3,5%, да это чисто подарок Олейнику!!! Завтра четверг, а по четвергам он ходит в баню на радио вести «Живые деньги», ох завтра будет в ударе умничать)))

bobef,
Уважаемые трейдеры, давайте не будем превращять ветку форума в обсуждение сделок трейдеров. Для этого у вас есть основной сайт. Здесь форум фьючерса его движений и цены, а не коментариев про людей.

Seeing notices from FCMs/Clearing Firms raising margins overnight and for tomorrow due to heightened volatility.

Многие брокеры увеличили маржинальные требования по фьючерсам

(US) Market Close Summary: Broad selloff accelerates into close amid rates and trade worries as earnings season approaches
Wed, 10 Oct 2018 16:46 PM EST

US Session
-WTO Director General Azevedo: not sure if U.S.-China talks going far
-(US) MBA Mortgage Applications w/e Oct 5th: -1.7% v 0.0% prior
-(US) National Hurricane Center (NHC): potentially catastrophic Category 4 Hurricane Michael strengthens further; maximum sustained winds of 145 mph v 140 mph prior
-(US) Treasury to issue new rules requiring all foreign investors in certain deals involving critical technology to submit to national security reviews or face fines as high as the value of their proposed transactions from Nov 10th — press
-(US) SEPT PPI FINAL DEMAND M/M: 0.2% V 0.2%E; Y/Y: 2.6% V 2.7%E
-(US) AUG FINAL WHOLESALE INVENTORIES M/M: 1.0% V 0.8%E
— (US) Atlanta Fed raises Q3 GDP forecast to 4.2% from 4.1% prior
— *(US) TREASURY'S $36B 3-YEAR NOTE AUCTION DRAWS: 2.989%; BID-TO-COVER RATIO: 2.56 V 2.68 PRIOR AND 2.84 OVER THE LAST 12 AUCTIONS
— (US) Association of American Railroads weekly rail traffic report for week ending Oct 6th: 554.2K, +1.2% y/y
— (US) Fed's Evans (non-voter, dove): The US economy is doing quite well on employment and inflation at the moment; Extremely pleased where inflation is at the moment
— *(US) TREASURY'S $23B 10-YEAR NOTE REOPENING DRAWS 3.225%; BID-TO-COVER RATIO: 2.39 V 2.58 PRIOR AND 2.54 OVER LAST EIGHT REOPENINGS
— (US) USPS raises postal stamp price to $0.55 from $0.50 in 2019

Europe
-(UK) EU Brexit Negotiator Barnier: Decisive progress needed on Brexit
-(UK) BOE to ask UK lenders about loans, funding and derivatives 4 times a day in the event of a 'no-deal' Brexit — financial press
-(UK) UK Labour Party spokesman: Should take earlier reports of 30 to 40 Labour Lawmakers ready to back Brexit Deal with 'a pinch of salt'
— (UK) Northern Ireland DUP Leader Foster: Any border in Irish Sea will impede access; Brexit proposal not offering best of both worlds

Corporate Headlines:
-IMPV taken private by Thoma Bravo for $2.1B
-CPB Third Point takes stake
-AET/CVS receives DOJ approval with divestments
-ESL to be acquired by TransDigm for $4B
-FAST slips after earnings
-Luxury group falls after MS downgrade and European earnings
-Hurricane names GNRC HD LOW lift as Hurricane Michael intensifies
— SHLD said to be nearing bankruptcy
— SAVE lifts off on raised quarterly guidance
— Mitek reportedly rejects takeover approach from ASG Technologies backed by Elliott
— James Murdoch reportedly favored candidate to take Elon Musk's place as Tesla Chairman
— Altria reportedly in discussions to acquire stake in Canada cannabis co Aphria

Summary:
Stocks saw a broad market selloff which accelerated into the close. The S&P broke its 100-day moving average, the NASDAQ Composite slipped under its 200-day for its biggest one-day drop since the Brexit vote, and the Dow saw its worst day since Feb. Much of the pressure appeared to be technical and perhaps seasonal in nature, but the Chinese Yuan has held near the recent lows from this summer. Rates have also held higher, and worries around emerging markets and trade wars lingered and likely weighed on sentiment. The 10-year notes sale saw its highest yield since 2011 as demand fell to its lowest since February. Defensive flows were evidenced by relative strength in utilities and some traditionally defensive sectors like pharma and portions of consumer staples. The VIX reached the 20 handle for the first time since April 11th. WTI gave back over 2% ahead of weekly inventory readings and Hurricane Michael's landfall in the Gulf.

Markets:
— Dow Jones -3.2%
— S&P500 -3.3%
— Nasdaq -4.1%
— Russell 2000 -2.9%

-After Market Movers-
— CRSP FDA has lifted clinical hold on CTX001 Investigational NDA for treatment of Sickle Cell Disease; +11.6% afterhours
— SQ CFO Sarah Friar to step down to become CEO of Nextdoor; to remain in current position into December; -4.0% afterhours
— FLR Reports prelim Q3 Rev $4.6B v $4.99Be, new awards $9B; -6.6% afterhours

Народ, а почему пауза в торгах es была сейчас?
Минут 15 стояли

Тимофей Мартынов,
Clearing