Список проголосовавших за комментарий "polymarket вчера ставил на несколько недель закрытия пролива<br/> <br/> <p>Polymarket odds on Strait of Hormuz (real-time March 3, 2026 evening):</p><ul><li>Strait of Hormuz fully reopens by March 31: ~38–44%<br/> (down from ~55% a day ago—traders are pricing in more prolonged disruption)</li><li>Strait of Hormuz fully reopens by June 30: ~72–78%<br/> (still the heavy favorite—most bet on eventual de-escalation or forced reopening)</li><li>No full reopening in 2026 (i.e., permanent or semi-permanent closure): ~8–12%<br/> (low but non-zero; tail risk of Iran mining lanes or sustained harassment)</li></ul>"