Список проголосовавших за комментарий "dim800, бывает, это когда в казино выигрывают. Я уже писал тебе в древнем посте <a href="https://smart-lab.ru/blog/658345.php:">smart-lab.ru/blog/658345.php:</a><br/> <br/> Цитата:<br/> <blockquote><strong>Но факт в том, что с упомянутого тобой 2005 года она постоянно стабильно снижалась. А тут вдруг резко вырастет, на 7% относительно прошлого года (если взять твою экстраполяцию). И вот этот рост нельзя объяснить «рамками статистических отклонений».<br/> <br/> <strong><strong>Последний раз такой рост был в 1999, да и за последние 70 лет было мало лет, когда было такое отклонение в +7% относительно прошлого года(особо выделяется только 1993 с его 15%).</strong></strong><br/> <br/> </strong></blockquote><strong><strong><br/> <br/> </strong></strong><table width="192" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1980</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 525 755</td> <td class="xl67" align="right" width="64">2%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1981</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 524 286</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">0%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1982</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 504 200</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-1%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1983</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 563 995</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">4%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1984</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 650 866</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">5%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1985</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 625 266</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-2%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1986</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 497 975</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-8%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1987</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 531 585</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">2%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1988</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 569 112</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">2%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1989</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 583 743</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">1%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1990</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 655 993</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">4%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1991</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 690 657</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">2%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1992</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 807 441</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">6%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1993</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 129 339</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">15%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1994</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 301 366</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">7%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1995</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 203 811</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-4%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1996</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 082 249</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-6%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1997</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 015 779</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-3%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1998</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 988 744</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-1%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">1999</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 144 316</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">7%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2000</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 225 332</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">4%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2001</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 254 896</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">1%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2002</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 332 272</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">3%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2003</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 365 826</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">1%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2004</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 295 402</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-3%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2005</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 303 935</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">0%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2006</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 166 703</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-6%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2007</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 080 445</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-4%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2008</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 075 954</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">0%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2009</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 010 543</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-3%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2010</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">2 028 516</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">1%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2011</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 925 720</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-5%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2012</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 906 335</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-1%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2013</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 871 809</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-2%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2014</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 912 347</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">2%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2015</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 908 541</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">0%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2016</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 891 015</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-1%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2017</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 824 340</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-4%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2018</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 817 710</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">0%</td> </tr><tr> <td class="xl65" width="64" height="20">2019</td> <td class="xl66" width="64">1 800 677</td> <td class="xl67" align="right">-1%</td> </tr></table><strong><br/> </strong><br/> По факту, рост будет не меньше 15%. А это значит что это нифига не «естественные колебания».<br/> <strong><br/> </strong>"