COT отчет

Нефть сегодня продолжает свой рост. Напомню, что 26 ноября заседание ОПЕК+. Возможно, рынки это и отыгрывают. Закладывают продление ограничений по добыче и экспорту со стороны Саудовской Аравии и России. 

В пятницу Комиссия по торговле товарными фьючерсами опубликовала новые данные по позициям трейдеров. Так вот, там очередной многолетний рекорд по чистому «шорту» по фьючерсам и поционам по контрактам WTI на ICE — почти 46 тыс. контрактов, чего не было с 2016 г. 

На NYSE с физическими контрактами чистый «лонг» среди спекулянтов продолжил падение — до 124,3 тыс. контрактов.

Как по мне, по-прежнему бычья картина для нефти, поэтому продолжаю держать длинную позицию по ней.

Мой телеграм-канал

Hello traders!

The time has come! Sell in May and RUN away. 🏃‍♂️

Today I want to give you a long-term forecast.

I have a Bearish view on all American Indices S&P500 (ES), Nasdaq (NQ), and Dow Jones (YM).

● I never saw such a big amount of Bid HFTs with no one ASK, even a little!!! 😱 

● The market made a breakout of the important resistance level on the daily chart and all the Bear passengers are exhausted to wait falling

Good evening, traders! 

Today observed all the assets, but exceptionally don’t see potential understandable scenarios 🤷‍♂️ Everything went on Thursday and Friday.

🔹 British pound this week showed us how amazing involvement in buys looks like. (Watch) 

How long does it take for the pattern to be created and how quickly should a decision be made on it, — only 15 minutes after the formation of HFT volumes. So fast reaction from the market makers limit orders.

Our mind is rather inert and in good situations, he especially begins to hesitate “Can we wait a little more, maybe a little more to see what will be around the corner?” As a result, the next 15-minute candle already changes the risk-reward ratio by 2 times! Not in our favor...

An excellent quote by Linda Raschke fits here: “In trading, as in fencing, there are either quick or dead.”

Markets operations are based more on psychology than on fundamentals, says El Weiss in Jack Schwager's book “The New Market Wizards”. “Markets are completely based on human psychology, and by charting markets, you are only converting human psychology into graphical form.”

​​​​​​​Good evening, traders! 👋

Today I decided to make a video market forecast highlighting situations in British Pound (6B), Aussi (6A), Coffee (KC), Crude and Brent Oil (CL, BR).

Also measured possible continuations of scenarios that I executed in my previous Sunday forecast.

This 11-minute video is for you today 

Thank you very much for watching.

Have a good week!

Good evening, TVT traders! 

Today I have a few forecasts for you in Swiss Frank (6S), Dow Jones (YM), and Crude Oil (CL).

🔹 Swiss Frank (6S) has enough information to make a forecast that the price will go to test the zone 1.1150, where liquidity is concentrated. Despite we see that the price closed above commercial resistance, where hedge funds added their long position by 30% for the third week in a row. OI increased by +6,7%. Also, the trading week closed above technical resistances on the 15M charts. But no energy for further rising, and in such case downside movement is more probable. (Watch)

🔹 As for Dow Jones (YM) (Watch)

Good evening, traders!👋

Today I want to measure a Canadian Dollar (6C). 

▪️ So we see how the price came to the solid technical support on the daily chart. (watch) 

But look at significant block trades on the options market passed on strike 0,74. 

▪️ Moreover, on the 15M chart, we also came to double strong volumetric support zone. (watch) 

Good day traders, we still don’t have CFTC report because of the impact of the cyber-related incident at ION is being mitigated.

Multiple reporting firms continue to experience technical issues that prevent submission of timely and accurate data to the CFTC. As a result, the weekly CFTC Commitments of Traders report will continue to be delayed until the receipt and validation of all reportable data is completed.

I already started to miss this data, as it really gives a better market understanding.

Nevertheless, I want to share with you with few engaging scenarios which may realize in the next week.

Natural Gas (NG) has a chance to reach 3$ target per MMBtu (watch)

We see that all the cumulative delta is negative, but the price grows and fixed above 2.5 technical and round number structure.

But to my mind everything is too sweet, that's why I think that the market will activate the liquidity under the level and only then will go to fair value. (watch) 

Such enforcement of QD on Friday is not an empty sound.

​​

​​Добрый вечер, трейдеры!  ✨

В эти выходные я возвращаюсь из Киева, где проводил вебинар для криптофонда «Ufuture» в Unit.City.  У меня нет времени делать воскресный утренний обзор, но вместо этого я хочу поделиться с вами 1-м видео из моего нового образовательного курса (англоязычного), над которым я сейчас работаю.

💻 Как я организую свое рабочее пространство 

Hallo, Traders! ☀️

This week I want to focus on Crude oil, Precious metals, also Agricultural products.

We see a significant increase in open interest, which means good opportunities for us. ☝️

Watch this 13 minutes video and be prepared